[LdSentinal]

I have a bad feeling that Bush will lose North Dakota

[Shakes Head]

Bush: 60.66%
Gore: 33.06%

Bob Dole won this state by 7% in 1996 with Perot atracting 12% of the vote.

[RugerM77]

I said>>> Ihave a bad feeling that Bush will lose North Dakota<<<

LdSentinal said
[Shakes Head]

Bush: 60.66%
Gore: 33.06%

Bob Dole won this state by 7% in 1996 with Perot atracting 12% of the vote<<<<

Yes, I am familiar with that history but I still think we may wake up the morning after the election saying "WTF happened in North Dakota?" regardless of whether Bush is reelected or not.
1) Any state that elects a solid Democrat slate to congress for the last 20 years is not as solidly in the Republican column as Presidential results indicate-A lot of ticket splitters who have voted for Dems in the past may take it one step farther up.

2) Iraq-ND has a lot of guardsmen there-I haven't run the numbers but given its small population base it may be one of the sates most directly affected by the war-basically EVERYBODY knows somebody there. A couple of guardsmen were killed recently-If conservative sentiment starts to turn against the war by the war , North Dakota has extra reason to do so.

3) Central American Free Trade Agreement-Getting a lot of discussion in the region-as I said before Republican sugar beet farmers don't like it.

4) Anecdotally, the populist winds seem to be a 'blowin.