Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: ConservativeDude
"....if either CMB or AS were not in the race, the remaining candidate might well be in second place, at about 12"

I don't find anything particularly surprising or relevant about Sharpton’s and Mosely-Braun’s numbers. My reasoning is that this is a poll of Dimocats, 95% of blacks are Dimocrats and 95% of blacks vote for blacks, hence the CMB and AS numbers.

Neither can win the nomination nor is it likely either stay in throughout the primaries, so those black votes will be spread among the “front runners.”

So, when you consider that blacks amount to about 13% of the population and 95% of the blacks vote black when given the opportunity…95% of 13% is 12.3 %...just about the cumulative total of the AS and CMB percentages, it just makes too much sense.

Of course I recognize one little fly in my logical ointment…that is how many of the participants in the poll know that AS and CMB are black?

18 posted on 12/22/2003 12:25:33 PM PST by Positive
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies ]


To: Positive
I would not give too much credence to this poll.

of whom 393 were Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents

393 is too small to get a good accurate response. It is probably + or - about 7%...which means these low level numbers (4% vs 6%) are meaningless. It takes about 1000 to get to +/- 3%.

31 posted on 12/22/2003 12:44:40 PM PST by blanknoone (No, I will not capitalize 'france'...they don't even deserve that little respect.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson