Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Howard Dean Now Clear Democratic Leader in National Poll (Moseley-Braun Beats Ketchup Boy!)
PR Newswire ^ | December 11, 2003

Posted on 12/22/2003 11:53:00 AM PST by PJ-Comix

    ROCHESTER, N.Y., Dec. 22 /PRNewswire/ -- Howard Dean has established a
strong national lead over all other candidates for the Democratic candidates.
While the selection of the Democratic candidate will depend on the Iowa
caucuses and primary elections in New Hampshire and many other states, the
former Vermont governor has pulled ahead of all other candidates among
Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide.
    The Harris Poll(R) finds that Dean is now the preferred candidate of 21%
of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, with a strong lead over
Senator Joe Lieberman (10%), who is in second place, and all the other
candidates.
    These are the results of a nationwide Harris Poll of 993 adults, of whom
393 were Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents, surveyed by telephone
by Harris Interactive(R) between December 10 and 16, 2003.
    In the two months since an earlier mid-October poll, Dean has increased
his share of the vote from 11% to 21%, while Senator Lieberman has seen his
share decline slightly from 13% to 10%.
    Below Lieberman on this list, four candidates are bunched together,
General Wesley Clark (7%), Congressman Richard Gephardt (7%), Al Sharpton (6%)
and Carol Moseley-Brown (6%). Senator John Kerry, who was once regarded by
some pundits as the strongest candidate is preferred by only four percent
(4%), with Senator John Edwards (3%) and Congressman Dennis Kucinich at the
end of the pack.

TABLE 1 2004 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES HEARD OF (Among Democrats and Independents) "Which of the following Democratic presidential candidates have you heard of?"

Base: Democrats and Independents

October December 10-16 All Democrats All Democrats and & Independents Democratic- Leaning Independents

% % Joe Lieberman 81 85 Howard Dean 58 76 Al Sharpton 70 70 Richard Gephardt 68 67 John Kerry 63 65 John Edwards 50 58 Wesley Clark 53 52 Carol Moseley-Braun 44 43 Dennis Kucinich 30 27

NOTE: October 2003 poll did not separate the direction the Independents' political leanings.

TABLE 2 2004 Democratic Presidential Candidates - First Preferences "And which one of these would you prefer to be the Democratic candidate?" (Among Democrats and Independents)

Base: Democrats and Independents

October December 10-16 All Democrats All Democrats and & Independents Democratic- Leaning Independents

% % Howard Dean 11 21 Joe Lieberman 13 10 Wesley Clark 12 7 Richard Gephardt 8 7 Carol Moseley-Braun 5 6 Al Sharpton 5 6 John Kerry 10 4 John Edwards 4 3 Dennis Kucinich 3 1 Not sure 26 34

NOTE: October 2003 poll did not separate the direction the Independents' political leanings.

Methodology The Harris Poll(R) was conducted by telephone within the United States between December 10 and 16, 2003 among a nationwide cross-section of 993 adults (ages 18+). Figures for age, sex, race, education, number of adults and number of voice/telephone lines in the household were weighted where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. In theory, with a probability sample of this size, one can say with 95 percent certainty that the results have a statistical precision of +/-3 percentage points of what they would be if the entire adult population had been polled with complete accuracy. Unfortunately, there are several other possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be interviewed (non-response), question wording and question order, interviewer bias, weighting by demographic control data and screening (e.g., for likely voters). It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

About Harris Interactive(R) Harris Interactive (http://www.harrisinteractive.com) is a worldwide market research and consulting firm best known for The Harris Poll(R), and for pioneering the Internet method to conduct scientifically accurate market research. Headquartered in Rochester, New York, U.S.A., Harris Interactive combines proprietary methodologies and technology with expertise in predictive, custom and strategic research. The Company conducts international research through wholly owned subsidiaries-London-based HI Europe (http://www.hieurope.com) and Tokyo-based Harris Interactive Japan-as well as through the Harris Interactive Global Network of local market- and opinion-research firms, and various U.S. offices. EOE M/F/D/V To become a member of the Harris Poll Online(SM) and be invited to participate in future online surveys, visit http://www.harrispollonline.com.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: dean; demprimary; howarddean; johnkerry; poll; polls
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-55 last
To: PJ-Comix
"I guess Ketchup Boy will now have to send out more flyers reminding everybody how he is a Vietnam Veteran."

he has mortaged his house.. Perhaps if he would sell his soul?

blessings, bobo
41 posted on 12/22/2003 1:11:12 PM PST by bobo1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PJ-Comix
"Hey, polls show me up in some & down in another. My poll shows me at 80% but the real poll is in a few months, Blah Blah Blah... "
42 posted on 12/22/2003 1:15:46 PM PST by Digger
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dano1
Robert Novak is saying that if Dean wins in Iowa and New Hampshire he basically has a lock on it, because the system is so front-loaded now. How can it be that front-loaded?

The word was that McAuliffe and the DNC set up the primaries to allow a single candidate to grab the nomination quickly. This was supposed to help save money and the party infighting of a protracted race. Like the rest of their best designed plans, it looks like this will backfire. And why they ever thought that Iowa (with its caucus) or New Hampshire were sufficiently representative of the general electorate, I'll never know.

43 posted on 12/22/2003 1:18:08 PM PST by Dolphy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: PJ-Comix
As I see the numbers For Dean, 21% For another DemocRat, 44%, and I guess undecided?, 35%.
44 posted on 12/22/2003 1:49:34 PM PST by NavyCaptain
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mark
Which side was he on?


You really should consider those of us at work getting strange looks for incessant giggling. Please no more.
45 posted on 12/22/2003 2:01:19 PM PST by gbaker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: PJ-Comix
"Senator John Kerry, who was once regarded by some pundits as the strongest candidate is preferred by only four percent (4%)"

Just TOO funny!

46 posted on 12/22/2003 2:11:50 PM PST by sweetliberty (Better to keep silent and be thought a fool than to open your mouth and remove all doubt.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ladtx
Kerry's a viet vet? Imagine that

Yes, if only this would get out!

47 posted on 12/22/2003 2:13:47 PM PST by T Minus Four
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: NavyCaptain
I guess undecided?, 35%.

Buchanan, 35%

48 posted on 12/22/2003 2:27:38 PM PST by TheBigB (...international law is whatever the United States and Great Britain say it is. - Ann Coulter)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]

To: bobo1
Nah. Another $7.98 wouldn't help him at all.
49 posted on 12/22/2003 2:30:15 PM PST by SAJ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: PJ-Comix
All of which he tossed over a fence in a PR stunt.

He didn't toss over his own medals. He used someone else's. It shows how calculating and cynical he really is.

50 posted on 12/22/2003 2:34:46 PM PST by kabar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: hobson
If his wife cannot give him money for his campaign, beyond the legal hard money limit, can she repay the 2nd mortgage he took out on his house? Anyone?

He can spend as much of his own money (and his wife's) as he wants. As far as I know, there are no limits to personal spending. Look at Ross Perot or Corzine.

51 posted on 12/22/2003 2:37:10 PM PST by kabar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: PJ-Comix
Dick Morris says Dean may ask Hillary to be his VP running mate. The guy (Dean, I mean) must have a death wish.
52 posted on 12/22/2003 2:38:56 PM PST by Lancey Howard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PJ-Comix
This is important news. If Dean does not select either Sharpton or Mostly-Fraud as his Vice-Presidential nomineee, it will be a clear indication of DISCRIMINATION. The Dem's most loyal voting block deserve no less.
53 posted on 12/22/2003 2:45:07 PM PST by Malesherbes
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Comment #54 Removed by Moderator

To: Dolphy
The word was that McAuliffe and the DNC set up the primaries to allow a single candidate to grab the nomination quickly. This was supposed to help save money and the party infighting of a protracted race. Like the rest of their best designed plans, it looks like this will backfire. And why they ever thought that Iowa (with its caucus) or New Hampshire were sufficiently representative of the general electorate, I'll never know.

Thanks for the info. January should be real interesting. They still have a month to try to pull the rug out from under Dean, so with a few more weeks like Dean has been having lately it could happen. Also, the press may get merciless with Dean if they smell blood. I think Gephardt is quietly lining up a lot of ducks in Iowa and may win there, and even it Dean wins New Hampshire he could still fall short of expectations there. As an illustration of how far from the mainstream Dean is, I noticed that even Soros said in his book that its a good thing Saddam is out of power. Apparently there are still about 3 democrats who aren't supporting Dean for each 1 who is, so maybe its not over yet. IMHO, the best possible ticket for them could be Gore/Dean, but of course that is almost impossible now.
55 posted on 12/22/2003 9:09:55 PM PST by dano1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-55 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson