Posted on 02/11/2026 4:42:47 PM PST by sopo
Who has time to read all this?
In a nutshell, what big is happening?
babel 2.0
A quick skim seems to indicate it’s something to do with AI.
What, I did not discover.
Maybe “How Great Thou Aren’t!”
someone likes to listen to themselves talk...
Hugh.
“Who has time to read all this?”
You can copy / paste this in an AI chat window and ask AI to summarize it for you in a couple of sentences.
It seems to have become trendy very recently to say, “We were worried about AI — but it turned out to be nothing. It’s not all that good. It’s not taking our jobs. It’s over. It’s nothing. AI is no threat to anyone.”
This guy is taking the opposite view. He’s saying that it’s very good and it’s getting better and we’ve already passed the point — we’re in a new world right now.
I think he’s right.
“Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, says AI is now writing “much of the code” at his company, and that the feedback loop between current AI and next-generation AI is “gathering steam month by month.” He says we may be “only 1–2 years away from a point where the current generation of AI autonomously builds the next.””
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I believe there is a name for that...
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It get's really interesting on page 2 and beyond. Little imagination needed.
2 new models released on 2/5, GPT-5.3 Codex from OpenAI, and Opus 4.6 from Anthropic (the makers of Claude, one of the main competitors to ChatGPT. They make him feel superfluous in tech work .Will take over all fields in 1-5 years.
A
AI summary of the article :
Matt Shumer, founder and CEO of an AI company (Otherside AI / HyperWrite), published a personal essay on February 9, 2026, warning his non-tech friends and family that something transformative is happening in AI right now. He points to the February 5, 2026 releases of advanced models like GPT-5.3 Codex and Opus 4.6, which can autonomously handle complex projects (such as writing, iterating on, and testing entire codebases) with real judgment and taste — shifting AI from a tool to something closer to an independent, highly capable worker.
He compares the current moment to early 2020 before COVID exploded, arguing this “intelligence explosion” will disrupt cognitive/white-collar jobs across fields like law, finance, medicine, and more within 1–5 years, and urges people to immediately start experimenting with frontier AI tools, adapt their workflows, build financial buffers, and rethink education around adaptability to avoid being blindsided.
I would have excerted except I’d be called a blog pimp.
The text is a long personal warning from an AI startup founder and investor (posted around February 2026, associated with @mattshumer_) comparing the current moment to early 2020 before COVID's full impact.
It argues that AI progress has accelerated dramatically in recent months, entering a phase of rapid, compounding advancement that most people are underestimating, similar to how COVID seemed "overblown" at first.
Key personal experience — The author, who works in AI, describes their own job (building/investing in AI) becoming obsolete for technical work. Using new models released February 5, 2026 — OpenAI's GPT-5.3 Codex and Anthropic's Opus 4.6 — they can now describe desired outcomes in plain English, walk away for hours, and return to finished, high-quality work (e.g., complete apps with code, design, user flows, self-testing, iteration, and refinement without fixes needed). The models exhibit judgment, taste, and autonomous decision-making previously thought impossible.
Why coding first — Labs prioritized coding excellence because it enables AI to improve itself (self-bootstrapping via code for training, debugging, deployment). GPT-5.3 Codex reportedly helped build itself (debugging training, managing deployment, analyzing results). This creates a feedback loop: current AI builds smarter next-gen AI faster.
Broader implications — The same displacement tech workers experienced (AI shifting from tool to superior replacement) will soon hit other knowledge-work fields: law (contracts, research, briefs), finance (models, analysis), medicine (diagnostics, literature), writing/content, consulting, accounting, customer service. Timeline: 1–5 years for major disruption (e.g., 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs, per Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei), possibly sooner. Unlike past automation, AI advances across all cognitive tasks simultaneously — no easy pivot industries.
Pace of progress — Exponential improvement:
Public perception gap — Most people judge AI on outdated free versions (1+ year behind paid frontier models) or old experiences (hallucinations, limits). Current paid models (e.g., GPT-5.x series, Claude Opus 4.x) are far more capable, reliable, and agentic.
Advice — Urges immediate action for those who care:
I doubt if AI will be able to handle black swan events. I know it won’t be able to handle God.
AI is going to replace humans in cognitive tasks and, once the robotics get an inch better, in everything else.
We will become Eloi, sustained in a dreamworld by machines we no longer understand.
As long as we remain in control of the machines. Which may not be for very long.
Of course the caveat always is, “Just because you can do something, doesn’t mean that you should.”
Either ‘We’re all gonna die’ if we embrace AI, or ‘We’re all gonna die’ if we don’t?
“They say it got smart. A new order of intelligence..” - Kyle Reece
It’s a full-time job just to keep up with all the changes. I probably spend 2-3 hours every day just reading and watching about the day’s news in AI.
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