Posted on 04/10/2023 3:53:09 PM PDT by marcusmaximus
Ukraine’s challenges in massing troops, ammunition and equipment could cause its military to fall “well short” of Kyiv’s original goals for an anticipated counteroffensive aimed at retaking Russian-occupied areas this spring, according to U.S. intelligence assessments contained in a growing leak of classified documents revealing Washington’s misgivings about the state of the war.
-snip-
The document forecasting only modest success in Ukraine’s forthcoming counteroffensive indicates that Kyiv’s strategy revolves around reclaiming contested areas in the east while pushing south in a bid to sever Russia’s land bridge to Crimea, the peninsula Moscow illegally annexed in 2014 and now uses as a supply route for its forces inside Ukraine. The potency of entrenched Russian defenses coupled with “enduring Ukrainian deficiencies in training and munitions supplies probably will strain progress and exacerbate casualties during the offensive,” the document says.
-snip-
In the weeks since the leaked document was drafted, U.S. officials have held talks with Ukrainian leaders to ensure that Kyiv’s ambitions for the offensive match its capabilities, said U.S. officials who, like others interviewed for this report, spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive matter.
-snip-
U.S. officials also have held tabletop exercises with Ukrainian military leaders to demonstrate how different offensive scenarios could play out, and the consequences of spreading forces too thin, one official said. This could stretch supply lines too far, making it difficult to hold retaken territory while trying to push further into occupied areas.
All parties came away from those conversations with a sense that Ukraine was beginning to understand the limitations of what it could achieve in the offensive and preparing accordingly, U.S. officials said. While severing the land bridge is unlikely to happen
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Tragic.
It’s the Clown Counteroffensive.
There’s two take aways from this war. Russia is a third rate military power and Ukraine is no better despite support from the U.S.
Hopefully it’s all misdirection. But I would not count on it. Biden and his woke admin are gloriously incompetent.
> Biden and his woke admin are gloriously incompetent.
That is something to be relied upon.
It's the last stand for NATO in Ukraine.
And, we know all about your track record and the Biden regime and British's in this war. It's consistently wrong.
If the Western media were consistently wrong then we would not be discussing a future Ukrainian offensive, 14 months after Russia invaded.
agreed
NO! The Ukrainian Army of Freedom will push back the Orks to recapture Marapol and cut the land link to Crimea. The Ruzzian Army will be crushed with the new drive, new army of the Ukraine and their new tanks and other system. Watch as the new Weapons shatter the enemies of Freedom and Democracy! The tide is turning. The Balkmut trap has killed Putin’s best fighters. He has nothing left. He will be powerless to stop the fall of Crimea—when it goes, he will be forced out of power and Russia surrenders to NATO. The war will be over with a Zelenskyy victory. This will be one for the history books!
When was the last time we won a war?
Zelensky has no one left to pull the triggers.
Probably not that high.
Alternative take away
Ukraine— a minor military power— stopped and repelled one of the top three military powers in the world.
US help was probably critical to that result
Especially president trump giving lethal aid such as javelins instead of non lethal aid like bidenobama.
“Especially president Trump giving lethal aid such as javelins instead of non lethal aid like bidenobama.”
When asked for munitions, Obumbler sent blankets!
So true
Armor without air support wont do the job. The new tanks on line this summer need much more air support. Plus Ukraine has lost some of their best soldiers so far and the untested reserves will be going against entrenched Russian forces with massive fire power.
And the massing of Ukr forces will be very visible to the Russians so they will have plenty of time to counter it.
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