He won’t need to cave on the filibuster since Sinema said unequivocally no on that too. That filibuster is saving them from taking some crazy votes.
So, they’re down at least 2 votes there. D’s see a favorable Senate map in 2022 and hope they can hold the house and break the filibuster without them.
Manchin will probably lose in 2024 but definitely will if he votes to impeach Trump twice.
the oddly hot lesbian will fold on the filibuster before manchin does.