we are all in this together!
I do like the point made yesterday that the only indicator that biden is winning is the media polls
everything else points to Trump: intensity, car/boat parades (spontaneous rallies), the secondary polling info (who do you think will win? who are your neighbors voting for?) and African American numbers (if they hold); registration trends, etc.
So it “feels” like Trump is doing great...YET, we know that the fraud machine is working overtime. And we know that the D’s likely depressed their vote with Covid fear (oops!), and we also know that fraud does take some work, some planning, and does have limits to it (very helpful on the margins...but can you create 500,000 votes? That seems hard).
We also know that social media is censoring Trump, but....it’s not like he’s an unknown.
Soooooo....net net. Trump is doing really well. He has an excellent shot. His lawyers seem very ready for the chaos to come. He might well win.
He might even win big.
The question is whether there are enough Pub inroads into the black community this year to overcome traditional Dem tactics. This morning it was reported the Dems had dozens of vans bringing Black and other Dem voters to the early voting in Georgia. Lines were so long that some waited more than just a couple of hours to vote. The unknown is how many are going to abandon the traditional one-party vote to take a chance with the other party.To overcome the optics of this, pubs have to likewise make sure their voters don’t get discouraged and get them to vote to counter and overcome the lead in the polls that the media says exist.