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What's doing with Hurricane Laura?
8/27/20 | Me, Myself, and I

Posted on 08/26/2020 10:11:20 PM PDT by EinNYC

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1 posted on 08/26/2020 10:11:20 PM PDT by EinNYC
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To: EinNYC

It’s coming in at about the best possible spot. Lots of pasture to the east of Lake Charles. So that’s a plus.

Going to be a major hit.


2 posted on 08/26/2020 10:14:40 PM PDT by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
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To: EinNYC

And the turn North should spare Houston.


3 posted on 08/26/2020 10:16:11 PM PDT by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
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To: EinNYC

I will be shocked if roofs of houses in Lake Charles are covered, except for those in the very lowest areas.


4 posted on 08/26/2020 10:19:19 PM PDT by oldplayer
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To: EinNYC

This will be the biggest storm with the greatest impact since Katrina.


5 posted on 08/26/2020 10:19:50 PM PDT by Meatspace
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To: oldplayer

But, I wouldn’t want to be in Cameron, Louisiana this very instant!


6 posted on 08/26/2020 10:20:10 PM PDT by oldplayer
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To: Meatspace

October 2018, Panama City to Port Joe still 50% damaged, cat 5. Not 4, 5.


7 posted on 08/26/2020 10:24:14 PM PDT by enduserindy (IÂ’m done explaining basic math and the definition of freedom.)
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To: oldplayer

I hear there are people in Cameron that refused to evacuate.


8 posted on 08/26/2020 10:27:50 PM PDT by Meatspace
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To: enduserindy

Granted, there is not a whole lot of people south of Lake Chuck, but what is there will be wiped out.

There will be severe damage from west of Sabine Pass to Lafayette

This storm will have a huge impact both physically and culturally.


9 posted on 08/26/2020 10:30:55 PM PDT by Meatspace
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To: EinNYC
Steve Lookner on AgendaFreeTV has probably the best coverage online right now. Laura is making landfall now at Cameron, LA.
10 posted on 08/26/2020 10:31:50 PM PDT by radu (God bless our military men and women, past and present)
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To: EinNYC

The storm is so devastating. So epic in proportion The Weather Channel has their people outside right in the middle of an epic catastrophe. With camera crews.


11 posted on 08/26/2020 10:33:57 PM PDT by ocrp1982
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To: ocrp1982

6 Aug: Dr. Roy Spencer: Even with Laura, Louisiana Hurricanes Have Not Increased Since 1851
As I write this, it looks like major Hurricane Laura will arrive on the Louisiana coast late tonight as a Category 4 hurricane somewhere south of Lake Charles.
There will be the inevitable fake news coverage claiming how U.S. landfalling hurricanes are getting worse, a subject which I addressed in my Amazon Kindle e-book Inevitable Disaster: Why Hurricanes Can’t Be Blamed on Global Warming.

Of course, hurricane damage has increased, as people flock to the nation’s coasts and associated infrastructure increases. But we should remember that (for example) Miami only had 444 residents when incorporated in 1896, and now the Miami metroplex has over 6,000,000 inhabitants.
So, yes, storm damage will increase, but not because the weather has gotten worse...
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2020/08/even-with-laura-louisiana-hurricanes-have-not-increased-since-1851/

24 Aug: Forbes: Stop Blaming Climate Change For California’s Fires. Many Forests, Including The Redwoods, Need Them.
by Michael Shellenberger
https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelshellenberger/2020/08/24/stop-blaming-climate-change-for-californias-fires-many-forests-including-the-redwoods-need-them/#604cc08270b3


12 posted on 08/26/2020 10:39:39 PM PDT by MAGAthon
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To: MAGAthon

Thanks. I’m familiar with Dr. Roy Spenser. Rush refers to his work quite regularly and apparently is a friend.
Joe Bastardi of Weatherbell Analytics also refers to his work regularly.


13 posted on 08/26/2020 10:46:15 PM PDT by ocrp1982
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To: Pikachu_Dad

‘Best possible spot”? That’s refinery central being slammed


14 posted on 08/26/2020 10:47:10 PM PDT by diverteach (You canÂ’t buy arms from the NRA, but you can buy them from Planned Parenthood.)
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To: ocrp1982

It’s a serious storm, certainly, but hyped beyond belief, as always. We’ll see how much surge by morning.

And, there is not a less populated area along the Gulf Coast that a storm could hit than this strip east of Beaumont


15 posted on 08/26/2020 10:51:34 PM PDT by chiller (Davey Crockett said: "Be sure you're right. Then go ahead'. I'm going ahead.)
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To: All
Northern Eyewall of Laura Moving Over Cameron Parish...

...Catastrophic Storm Surge, Extreme Winds, and Flash Flooding
Occurring In SW Louisiana...


100 AM EDT Update

Location...About 40 MI S of Lake Charles LA
...About 45 MI E of Port Arthur TX
Max Sustained Winds...150 MPH
Moving...NNW at 15 MPH
Minimum Pressure...938 MB

16 posted on 08/26/2020 10:56:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Trumptilla MOAB--Mother of All Boat Parades--Clearwater FL, 8-15-2020)
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To: chiller

000
WTNT43 KNHC 270255
TCDAT3

Hurricane Laura Discussion Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 26 2020

Extremely dangerous Laura has the signature of a classic hurricane
on satellite images, with a well-defined eye surrounded by very
deep convection. There is little evidence of shear, and the
upper-level outflow pattern is extremely well defined, while the
cyclone is over sea surface temperatures near 30 deg C.
Observations from both NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunter
aircraft show that Laura continued to strengthen during the
evening. Using a blend of adjusted flight-level and SFMR-observed
surface winds, the intensity estimate is 130 kt for this advisory.
Since there is now little time remaining for the system over water,
no significant change in intensity is anticipated until the center
crosses the coastline. Laura will weaken rapidly after it begins
to move over land, but destructive winds should spread well inland,
more than 100 miles, along its path. Later in the forecast period,
the ECMWF and U.K. Met. Office global models indicate some
baroclinic re-intensification as the remnants of Laura move off the
U.S. East coast, and this is reflected in the NHC forecast.

Laura has begun to turn northward as it moves around the western
side of a subtropical high pressure area, and the initial motion is
about 340/13 kt. The track forecast is essentially unchanged
from the previous advisories. The cyclone should move through a
weakness in the ridge and turn to the northeast over the next day
or two. Then the system should accelerate toward the
east-northeast while embedded in the westerlies. The official
track forecast remains close to both the simple and the corrected
dynamical model consensus predictions, TVCA and HCCA.

Laura is a large hurricane, and users are reminded to not focus on
the precise track forecast since wind, storm surge, and rainfall
hazards extend far from the center.

Key Messages:

1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will
cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, Texas, to
Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Calcasieu and Sabine Lakes.
This surge could penetrate up to 40 miles inland from the immediate
coastline, and flood waters will not fully recede for several days
after the storm.

2. Hurricane-force winds are expected tonight in portions of the
hurricane warning area, with catastrophic wind damage expected
where Laura’s eyewall moves onshore. Hurricane-force winds and
widespread damaging wind gusts will spread well inland into portions
of extreme eastern Texas and western Louisiana early Thursday.

3. Widespread flash flooding along small streams, urban areas, and
roadways is expected to begin overnight tonight into Thursday from
far eastern Texas into Louisiana and Arkansas. This will also lead
to minor to moderate freshwater river flooding. The heavy rainfall
threat and flash and urban flooding potential will spread
northeastward into the middle-Mississippi, lower Ohio, and Tennessee
Valleys Friday night and Saturday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0300Z 29.0N 93.2W 130 KT 150 MPH
12H 27/1200Z 31.0N 93.7W 95 KT 110 MPH...INLAND
24H 28/0000Z 33.8N 92.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
36H 28/1200Z 35.6N 91.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 29/0000Z 36.8N 88.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
60H 29/1200Z 37.5N 82.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 30/0000Z 38.5N 75.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 31/0000Z 45.0N 60.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 01/0000Z 52.0N 46.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Pasch


17 posted on 08/26/2020 10:57:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Trumptilla MOAB--Mother of All Boat Parades--Clearwater FL, 8-15-2020)
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To: chiller

There’s no structure higher than a fence between Lake Charles and the Gulf!


18 posted on 08/26/2020 11:02:59 PM PDT by oldplayer
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To: EinNYC

I have been listening to WWL, 870 AM from New Orleans. I’m sure it can be streamed, too. They are covering the hurricane. It just made landfall. You may be able to receive WWL if you are within 1000 miles of New Orleans.


19 posted on 08/26/2020 11:10:24 PM PDT by Wilhelm Tell (True or False? This is not a tag line.)
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To: diverteach

That explains the overnight 20 cent jump in gas prices, here.


20 posted on 08/26/2020 11:27:24 PM PDT by Salamander (When Hillbillies Die In Battle, They Go To Y'allhalla)
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