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To: Reagan80

New York State had only 41 in that 750 figure. There’s probably 300 missing just there.

Are the figures inflated in any case? Sure.

But if reported semi-consistently within each state, then the trend is what matters; and numbers don’t move suddenly like that in large populations. That’s a 2 or 3 sigma change off trend. Extremely unlikely that 41 figure for NYS is real.


11 posted on 05/10/2020 5:48:38 PM PDT by Reagan80 ("In this current crisis, government is not the solution to our problems, government IS the problem")
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To: Reagan80
But if reported semi-consistently within each state, then the trend is what matters; and numbers don’t move suddenly like that in large populations.

Each of the seven days of the week have their own reporting patterns. Sundays and Mondays are low, and Tuesdays and Wednesdays are high, for examples.

If you use a seven day running average, you can ignore the inconsistencies of the specific days of the week and you can see a real trend down over the last four weeks.

17 posted on 05/10/2020 5:59:00 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Reagan80

Total deaths reported in NYS was actually 207 based on what was reported by Cuomo.


21 posted on 05/10/2020 6:04:35 PM PDT by hawkaw
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