I can handle whatever is thrown at me because my analysis is data based. I’ve kept estimates, models, Chinese numbers, etc out of the that equation. My math is not wrong...the data however is what it is. The CDC uses positive cases for flu as reported to them by clinicians. If the clinicians misreport, then the CDC data is wrong. I can’t help that.
I think people concentrate too much on the immediate death rate. That;s important, of course, but it’s those that survive that are the core problem in all this.
The human and equipment resources needed to handle the cases over 10 days to a month’s time or more is tough enough. But since there is no immunity, vaccine or cure, more will keep coming in.
That is the problem and that’s why Trump is trying to “flatten the curve” in 15 days. The question is if 15 days is enough to have any impact of meaning.
Also, with such a specific time range, you can reasonably extrapolate that’s the amount of time the WH believe to be left before things begin hitting the fan, medical system collapse-wise on localitie’s basis.