I think certain racial groups seem more susceptible
Do you think it’s still the epidemic you doomers said it would be?
It would be interesting to see which racial groups are more susceptible.
I don’t agree with the view that “blacks” are more at risk just for being “black” - that’s the NY times view, but it forgets that most black people in the USA have higher obesity levels, are more likely to live in cramped urban areas and have higher diabeties issues - so it’s difficult to remove that from the “race” issue.
As to East Asians or Mongoloid people, they seem to have lower rates in terms of country vs country, but within the USA it’s not possible to differentiate for the same reason - they have lower rates of obesity, diabetes and high blood pressure compared to “whites” or “blacks”.
When I’m looking at the data for Western Europe I don’t see a “racial” pattern at all:
Why is Spain hit so badly but Portugal isn’t?
Why is northern, richer Italy hit so badly while poorer, more genetically diverse Sicily isn’t?
It’s puzzling.
As to “Do you think it’s still the epidemic you said it would be?”
—> Yes, yes it is.
And for this I compare Swedish death rates versus Denmark+Norway. Sweden has thrice the number of deaths.
If there hadn’t been a lockdown, the death rate would have been higher. How much higher - let’s take the Swedish example as 3 times higher - so 210K now
Is this the time to lift restrictions? Yes, for non-urban parts of the country yes.
What about urban, high-density areas? In limited areas, with tracking, yes.