I’m not smug. Unlike the rest of the keyboard warriors here i will likely soon be caring for these patients so I actually have skin in the game. I just choose not to panic
Director, Johns Hopkins SPH Center for Health Security
In other words, not a quack...
We don’t know what overall CFR will be w/ nCoV-that requires more data, time. SARS-like illness has been seen in some, but we don’t know what % of nCoV pts will get severe disease. We all hope it’ll be far less than SARS, but we don’t know enough to predict %. (4/x)
We also don’t have enough data on H2H transmission yet to make confident predictions about how it will spread. We don’t know enough about extent of asymptomatic cases, asymptomatic spread, proportion of spread happening in health care facilities vs community. (5/x)
But given uncertainties + very high stakes, part of global & national planning efforts should now be aimed at possibility that nCoV containment could fail. (6/x)
He’s quoting from an epidemiologist at Imperial College, London.
In other words, the top people have been communicating informally.
Try actually reading it.