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[NOAA] Winter Outlook favors warmer temperatures for much of U.S. [of-course]
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ^ | October 18, 2018 | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Posted on 12/01/2018 7:04:17 AM PST by daniel1212

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To: stylin19a

Yes, that is almost true. Unless you live in East Texas, smile.

Thanks.


21 posted on 12/01/2018 9:09:54 AM PST by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: daniel1212
And what of the report I saw couple of weeks ago that claimed this winter would be long and very cold?

So which is it? Cold or mild?

My take is "they" (those vague, undefined, shadowy officials or experts in the background...somewhere) put out forecasts all over the board so they'll never be wrong.

Not unlike those serial scams the climate change crowd has been running on the population for decades. "They" troll enough uniformed, bottom feeders and someone is bound to believe them. Enough do, so they continue their hoax.

Cold or mild makes no difference to me. I still get up and do the same chores on the farm like I always do. It is what it is.

22 posted on 12/01/2018 9:15:31 AM PST by HotHunt
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To: mplc51

Yep, just got done shoveling snow this morning (in MT) ...now what did the article say...


23 posted on 12/01/2018 9:20:55 AM PST by Troublemaker
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To: daniel1212

Every few weeks they will update their forecast. By the end of the winter, they will once again be proven 100% accurate with their predictions.


24 posted on 12/01/2018 9:23:14 AM PST by beef (The more they tighten their grip, the more blogs will slip through their fingers.)
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To: BillyBonebrake

Vermont has a conservative? I though that was sparse in MA but more rare in Vermont. Frozen chosen.


25 posted on 12/01/2018 9:50:36 AM PST by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

Yeah, this arid weather is really killing us!

https://squawalpine.com/skiing-riding/weather-conditions-webcams/lake-tahoe-webcams

3 feet of snow in Tahoe over the last couple of days and snowing HARD right now!


26 posted on 12/01/2018 10:10:59 AM PST by Regulator
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To: daniel1212
"The Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic all have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures."

Hilarious!

27 posted on 12/01/2018 10:25:24 AM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: PIF

Huh?

You post the Goebbels’ wedding pic on a weather thread?

What, weather forecasts are the Big Lie?


28 posted on 12/01/2018 10:42:24 AM PST by skepsel (Apres moi, le deluge.)
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To: skepsel

the whole warming shtick


29 posted on 12/01/2018 11:06:32 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
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To: PIF

Yes. We had a cold, wet fall this year in SE Wisconsin. It got cold and snowy early too. I had heard back in the summer it would be like that through December, then moderate in January because of el nino. I hope so.


30 posted on 12/01/2018 12:41:25 PM PST by virgil (The evil that men do lives after them)
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To: mplc51

Why all the comments about “coldest fall” and weather in November when the article is forecasting winter temps, not fall?


31 posted on 12/01/2018 12:50:18 PM PST by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc O'Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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To: Regulator
Yeah, this arid weather is really killing us! https://squawalpine.com/skiing-riding/weather-conditions-webcams/lake-tahoe-webcams 3 feet of snow in Tahoe over the last couple of days and snowing HARD right now!

But remember, whatever happens it must be because of Climate Change.

32 posted on 12/01/2018 5:52:10 PM PST by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

I know.

If it’s 10 degrees on Sunday, it must be Climate Change (said with and echo chamber)

If it’s 80 degrees on Tuesday, it must be Climate Change (cue the echo chamber yet again)

In fact, all ordinary phenomena outside of a 72 degree day with no wind is....Climate Change (there’s that echo again)


33 posted on 12/01/2018 6:07:20 PM PST by Regulator
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To: steve86; mplc51
Well as said in the first comment, "In Sept. it predicted the next 3 months to be higher [temps] than average."

Then there is this from Brian Donegan, September 18 2018 at weather.com: https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2018-09-17-fall-early-winter-temperature-outlook-october-november-december

image

Also, is it not odd that not once in 13 consecutive 3 month NOAA forecasts are below average temps forecast, and it seems there is no list for past forecast prediction graphics?

34 posted on 12/01/2018 6:19:55 PM PST by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: Regulator
And for the record: NOAA now expects 'below-normal' 2018 Atlantic hurricane season ... https://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2018/.../noaa_hurricane_forecast_update.ht. .. Updated August 9, 2018 at 12:04 PM ; Posted August 9, 2018 at 12:03 PM. Hurricane Maria's eye is captured by a ... For the entire 2018 season, NOAA predicts:.

Followed by,

Hurricane season: Most active on record for Atlantic, Pacific combined https://www.usatoday.com/story/.../2018/10/.../hurricane-season...record.../174122600... Oct 23, 2018 - When all the hurricanes and tropical storms in the Atlantic and Pacific are added together, the 2018 hurricane season is the most active season ...

35 posted on 12/01/2018 6:31:04 PM PST by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

Why would data matching your predictions be of any value?

What’s important is your intent!

And having a really groovy theory, even if it’s nonsense...


36 posted on 12/01/2018 6:38:21 PM PST by Regulator
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To: Regulator
Why would data matching your predictions be of any value? What’s important is your intent! And having a really groovy theory, even if it’s nonsense

It's n not data matching , but just the opposite, and with above average temps being what is almost always predicted but which hardly seems to be consistently true.

And the Atlantic hurricane outlook was clearly off.

NOAA's 2018 updated Atlantic hurricane outlook indicates a 60% chance this season will be below normal, a 30% chance it will be near-normal, and a 10% chance it will be more active than normal.

An Active and Destructive 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Ends

37 posted on 12/01/2018 7:14:43 PM PST by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

It has been warmer than normal here in the PNW.


38 posted on 12/01/2018 7:40:36 PM PST by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc O'Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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To: daniel1212

And no, I don’t believe in significant anthropomorphic-caused global warming.


39 posted on 12/01/2018 7:47:10 PM PST by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc O'Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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To: steve86
I don’t believe in significant anthropomorphic-caused global warming

But I do believe in El Nino.

40 posted on 12/01/2018 8:58:24 PM PST by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc O'Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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