CA-10: GOP Rep. Jeff Denham vs. Democrat Josh Harder. (Likely D)
CA-39: Republican Young Kim vs. Democrat Gil Cisneros. (Toss up)
CA-45: GOP Rep. Mimi Walters vs. Democrat Katie Porter. (Tilt D)
GA-07: GOP Rep. Rob Woodall vs. Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux. (Toss up)
ME-02: GOP Rep. Bruce Poliquin vs. Democrat Jared Golden. (Likely D due to the Ranked Choice Voting)
NJ-03: GOP Rep. Tom MacArthur vs. Democrat Andy Kim. (Solid D)
TX-23: GOP Rep. Will Hurd vs. Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones. (Lean R)
UT-04: GOP Rep. Mia Love vs. Democrat Ben McAdams. (Toss up)
Of these 8, I think the best the GOP can do is +4 or +5. And that’s a longshot. CA-10, ME-02 and NJ-03 are gone. Of these, TX-23 is probably in the best shape. GA-07 depends on how many votes Atlanta can manufacture. UT-04 depends on how many votes are out in Utah County.
I am very pessimistic on the outstanding CA races.
Mitch McConnell, right before the election: ‘Cut Social Security to trim the federal deficit’. The Dems don’t need to cheat when GOP is writing their attack ads
Utah 4th was called for McAdams some time ago. Love lost. New York 22nd is not decided yet though the Democrat has a slight lead.