"Apple Watch 1st Year's Sales Projection
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Posted on 12/10/2015 7:32:41 PM PST by Swordmaker
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With holiday sale pricing, It may drop to closer to $450 per unit average sales per unit price, but not as low as $400. Then the 21 million sales revenue would be more in the neighborhood of a little under $9.5 Billion.
Of course, Dennis keeps saying Apple's gonna go down in flames every week too, so maybe the Watch's funeral plans are a bit premature... :-)
No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people.
That's a limited time sale at BestBuy only, for the Holidays, ending right after Christmas.
Only 36% of Apple Watches are sold to American buyers.
How do you propose accounting for the other 64% of Apple Watch sales?
Apple is desperate to move this flop up and out. Sales are lower than projected, with non existent profits on these rejected gizmos. Being dumped on craigslist for $250 and lower, do your XMass shopping there. http://newyork.craigslist.org/jsy/ele/5351995765.html For cheap snobs and suckers only!!!
21m watches... about 1 in every 15 people in the US
i have yet to see a single one
someone should check the landfills...
but apple does sell a pointy stick for $100
I carry a Ruger LC9.
They haven't sold 21 million yet. This is the projected number through April 2016. And you are not thinking international, sten. Apple sells more than 64% of the Apple Watches they make outside of the United States. That means at the end of April, if this number is correct, there will be only 7.14 million in the US, or one for every 44 people.
Mr. Dewitt needs to stop smoking’ hemp. Last month Apple was on track to only sell 8 million watches by the end of the year, if that. We all know sales DECLINE the farther away from the product debut.
And your point about the pointy stick is?
Sorry, no. Apple has already sold 7.5 million in the first six months the Apple Watches have been on sale. Any time someone says "we all know" then you probably don't know. That certainly did not happen with the iPhone, iPad, iPod, or many other products. It may be true with the latest Samsung Galaxy phones, and Samsung gear devices.
Apple Watch Sales hit 7 million -- November 5, 2015 -- Forbes Magazine
That was more than a month ago. . . confirming YOUR link from November 5th. The six months the Apple Watches were on sale before those articles came out shows that Apple Watches were selling at a rate of approximately 1.1 million per month. Now add another month's sales ramping up to Christmas and that means 8 million by now. .
That was just two days ago. So if 62% of 8 million Apple Watch owners are planning to give an Apple Watch as a Christmas Gift, that is another 5,000,000 Apple Watches before December 25th. . . bringing the total to ~13 million or so by the end of the year.
By the way, revised figures from Canalsys, IDC and Gartner put the sales of Apple Watches in the first two quarters of availability at almost 8 million. . . and there was another month of sales after Forbes article published the 7 million estimate for those quarters.
So, sorry, Up Yours, you are just wrong.
Only if you assume 100% of Apple Watch owners planning to give an Apple Watch as a Christmas Gift are planning to buy a new one to one to give as a gift.
No, Darth. The survey was quite explicit. It stated that 62% of owners of an Apple Watch were planning to give Apple Watches as gifts. There is no 100% mentioned.
Are you implying they are going to give their OWN watch away? The utility of an Apple Watch is multiplied when more than one member of a household owns one. I know. I gave my girlfriend one when I got mine. We find them exceedingly useful as interpersonal communications devices between each other.
IBM's Watson following questions asked on multiple on-line forums and tracking queries on all the search engines predicted that the Apple Watch would be the #1 gift this Christmas Season.
Will this be an Apple Watch Christmas?-- Fortune Magazine -- November 27, 2015.IBM says yes. Google says no.
Whose artificial intelligence are you going to believe, Google's or IBM's?
The No. 1 most-talked about gift this holiday season, according to IBM Watson Trend, is the Apple Watch--pinning the scale at 100 nearly every day since Aug. 8. The latest iPhone, by contrast, is at the bottom of the pile with a measly score of 2.
A Google Trends search this Black Friday morning, on the other hand, gives the iPhone a 54 and has the Apple Watch at 2.
In other words, two of the world's most powerful analytic engines, given the task of monitoring the Internet for product buzz on the busiest shopping day of the year, are in total disagreement.
What are they thinking?
Here's how IBM describes Watson Trend, a free iPhone app based on the same natural language processing system that in 2011 beat two human Jeopardy champions on national television:
"Each day, Watson Trend scours the internet--social networks, blogs, forums, comments, ratings, reviews--looking for conversations related to purchase decisions. We look for conversations from those who are about to make a purchase, people who are conversing as they make a purchase, and conversations after a purchase decision. As we identify these conversations, we use Watson to understand the context, meaning and sentiment or tone of the conversation. If someone is talking about a new smartphone they have purchased, we understand if they are happy with that purchase, what features they liked, where they bought it, etc."Here's how Google describes Google Trends, a by-product of its effort to organize the world's information:
"When you search for a term on Trends, you'll see a graph showing the term's popularity over time in (nearly) real time. The numbers that appear show total searches for a term relative to the total number of searches done on Google. . . A line trending downward means that a search term's relative popularity is decreasing. But that doesn't necessarily mean the total number of searches for that term is decreasing. It just means its popularity is decreasing compared to other searches."Based on purely anecdotal evidence--the number of friends who've consulted me about buying Apple Watches for their twenty something kids--I think the gadget might be a bigger hit this holiday season than Wall Street expects.
But in the match-up of analytic engines, I'd put my money on Google. The consensus among the analysts Fortune polled last month was that Apple would sell 77.5 million iPhones this quarter. By Christmas morning, Apple probably won't have sold a tenth as many Watches.
But, the author neglected to note that Apple had already sold a tenth that many Apple Watches a month before this article was written. . . but he's talking THIS quarter. I doubt 7.75 million watches this quarter too. . . but Apple might surprise everyone. The Quarter is October through December.
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