Romney has a 20-point advantage among white voters.

RasmussenReports ^ | 7/31/2012 | Patrick1

[Impy]

Hopefully the small but crucial mostly White states of NH and Iowa go Republican.

[DaveA37]

When 97% of blacks support obama, it’s just fine......

No, it just means they are a stupid as he is.

[LS]

As I recall, Clinton got 93% of black vote (although Zero turned out more actual numbers) . Kerry also turned out a higher percent.

[LS]

Bradley Effect proved a total myth in 08.

[LS]

I can’t access the subscriber side; what is Romney’s white percentage in this (not just his percent lead over Zero)?

[ScottinVA]

“Add 5% more for the Bradley Effect”

I guess the complete disproving of the “Bradley Effect” theory in 2008 wasn`t enough, huh? It doesn`t exist.

[Red Steel]

Actually, the same type of reasoning but opposite effect for the squish voter. It goes something like this in the mind’s of a rationalizing squish: I know he’s not qualified but what the heck, we can make history here by voting for Obama. Now I feel better. It makes me feel good! I won’t feel guilt. Yippee. If you recall in 2008, about every two weeks like clockwork, Obama played the race card in some form or fashion.

[Red Steel]

The feeling “white guilt voter” lying to pollsters could be in play for 2012.

[LS]

Well, I do not buy the Bradley Effect. That was disproven in 08. I DO buy that the pollsters are turning cartwheels to create vastly inflated Dem samples to show Zero doing ok.

[Red Steel]

I don't know if it can be disprovable or completely provable or can it be accurately measured, but I DO think it's a distinct possibility.

I DO buy that the pollsters are turning cartwheels to create vastly inflated Dem samples to show Zero doing ok.

I agree. Now, this is measurable as we see in the oversampling of Dems and Independent voters in the AP and NBC/Wall Street polls

[wardaddy]

56 to 35 LS

Balance (9%) unknown at this time

[wardaddy]

56 to 35 LS

Balance (9%) unknown at this time

[LS]

And the magic number is 61%?

[wardaddy]

depends on who one reads on this

and there is not much on this...I would Google “ Buchanan, White Vote, 55% or 57%”..for starters to see

Human Events, VDare, Locust, and other sites some of which are not in favor here

mainstream media and I imagine..ahem...faculty...don’t spend a lot of time pining for how whites will vote

they are just pining for the day when how whites vote doesn’t much matter

Bush II got 58% in 2004 and won handily with nearly 4% more popular vote overall

again it depends on minority turnout and Dem enthusiasm