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The Great UFO Debate
SPACE.com ^ | Thursday, July 14, 2005 | Seth Shostak

Posted on 07/15/2005 5:21:02 PM PDT by Momaw Nadon

The good news is that polls continue to show that between one and two-thirds of the public thinks that extraterrestrial life exists. The weird news is that a similar fraction thinks that some of it is visiting Earth.

Several recent television shows have soberly addressed the possibility that alien craft are violating our air space, occasionally touching down long enough to allow their crews to conduct bizarre (and, in most states, illegal) experiments on hapless citizens. While these shows tantalize viewers by suggesting that they are finally going to get to the bottom of the so-called "UFO debate", they never do. That bottom seems perennially out of reach.

So what are the contentious issues here? First off, despite heated discussion by all concerned, let’s admit that interstellar travel doesn’t violate physics. It’s possible. After all, the Pioneer and Voyager probes are nearly three decades into an inadvertent interstellar journey right now. The kicker, of course, is that these craft will take 70,000 years to cover the distance to even the nearest stars (and they’re not aimed that way). With the physics we know, it’s extremely difficult to substantially, and safely, shorten that travel time. Sure, it might be theoretically possible to create wormholes or some other exotic facility for high-speed cosmic cruising; but that approach is entirely speculative.

And it’s not really the point. The problem I have with the claim that strange craft are prowling our planet is not with the transportation mode, but with the evidence. I’ll worry about how they got here once I’m convinced that they’ve really made the scene.

Well, have they? How good is the evidence? In the course of a recent TV broadcast in which I participated, guest experts who have long studied UFOs argued the case for their alien nature by showing photographs of putative saucers hovering at low altitudes. Some of these objects appeared as out-of-focus lights, while others resembled hubcap-shaped Frisbees caught in mid-trajectory.

Since the former are perforce ambiguous, the latter commanded more of my attention. How can we know they’re NOT hubcaps, tossed into the air by a hoaxer with a camera? The reply from one expert: "these photographs pass muster." When quizzed on exactly which muster was mastered, the response was that "atmospheric effects give us a limit on the distance, and careful examination has ruled out photographic trickery." Well, the former is pretty chancy, and relies on some assumption about atmospheric conditions (was it a smoggy day in Los Angeles?), and the latter proves nothing. A real shot of an airborne hubcap would, after all, be free of photographic trickery.

Additional evidence that is endlessly cited is "expert testimony." Pilots, astronauts, and others with experienced eyes and impressive credentials have all claimed to see odd craft in the skies. It’s safe to say that these witnesses have seen something. But just because you don’t recognize an aerial phenomenon doesn’t mean that it’s an extraterrestrial visitor. That requires additional evidence that, so far, seems to be as unconvincing as the trickery-free saucer snaps.

What about those folks who have experienced alien beings first-hand? Abduction stories are an entirely separate field of study and one which I won’t address here, although I must confess that it’s intriguing to see photos of scoop marks on the flesh of human subjects, coupled with the claim that these minor disfigurements are due to alien malfeasance. But even aside from the puzzling question of why beings from distant suns would come to Earth to melon-ball the locals, this evidence is, once again, ambiguous. The scoops might be due to aliens, and then again, they could be the consequence of spousal abuse or many other causes.

When push came to shove, and when pressed as to whether there’s real proof of extraterrestrial visitation, the experts on this show backed off by saying that "well, we don’t know where they come from. But something is definitely going on." The latter statement is hardly controversial. The former is merely goofy. If the saucers and scoopers are not from outer space, where, exactly, are they from? Belgium?

The bottom line is that the evidence for extraterrestrial visitors has not convinced many scientists. Very few academics are writing papers for refereed journals about alien craft or their occupants. Confronted with this, the UFO experts usually take refuge in two possible explanations:

* The material that would be convincing proof has been collected and secreted away by the U.S. government. While endlessly appealing, this is an argument from ignorance (tantamount to saying "we can’t show you good evidence because we haven’t got it"), and perforce implies that every government in the world has efficiently squirreled away all alien artifacts. Unless, of course, the extraterrestrials only visit the U.S., where retrieval of material that falls to Earth is supposedly a perfected art form.

* Scientists have simply refused to look carefully at this phenomenon. In other words, the scientists should blame themselves for the fact that the visitation hypothesis has failed to sway them.

Not only is this unfair, it’s misguided. Sure, rather few researchers have themselves gone into the field to sift through the stories, the videos, and the odd photos that comprise the evidence for alien presence. But they don’t have to. This complaint is akin to telling movie critics that films would be better if only they would pitch in and get behind the camera. But critics can compose excellent and accurate evaluations of a movie without being participants in the business of making films.

The burden of proof is on those making the claims, not those who find the data dubious. If there are investigators who are convinced that craft from other worlds are buzzing ours, then they should present the absolute best evidence they have, and not resort to explanations that appeal to conspiratorial cover-ups or the failure of others to be open to the idea. The UFO advocates are not asking us to believe something either trivial or peripheral, for after all, there could hardly be any discovery more dramatic or important than visitors from other worlds. If we could prove that the aliens are here, I would be as awestruck as anyone, however, I await a compelling Exhibit A.


TOPICS: Astronomy; Conspiracy; Miscellaneous; Science; Society; UFO's; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: abduction; alien; alienbeings; aliencraft; aliens; beings; callingartbell; debate; evidence; extraterrestrial; extraterrestrials; flyingsaucer; flyingsaucers; great; interstellar; interstellartravel; physics; saucers; science; scientists; sethshostak; shostak; space; ufo; ufodebate; ufos; visitor; visitors
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To: Momaw Nadon
If we are being observed by extra-terrestrials it will more likely be by nano-probes not much bigger than molecules.

Our technology is close to this devleopment already.

21 posted on 07/15/2005 7:36:13 PM PDT by Semper Paratus
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To: TAquinas
She did not draw those maps. LOL!

I DIDNT say she did. Those maps are more professionally drawn versions if the Zeta Reticuli.

22 posted on 07/15/2005 7:55:58 PM PDT by lowbridge
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To: lowbridge

You wrote: "How did abductee Betty Hill manage to draw an accurate picture of a distant star system years before it was discovered by astronomers?"

And I mentioned that it didn't look like a map, much less accurate. Now that I take a look at it, it looks more like a flashlight.

And then you presented me with more professional maps. But not of Betty Hill. We were talking about BH's maps, not professional maps.

Betty Hills' so-called accurate map of a distant star system looks like a scribble my daughter could have made.

LOL! That ain't no map. That ain't no accurate, and that ain't a distant (nor near) star system.


23 posted on 07/15/2005 8:12:42 PM PDT by TAquinas (Demographics has consequences.)
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To: TAquinas

The resemblance of B.H. map to the professional one is about the same as my rendetion of the Mona Lisa would be to the original.

(I can't draw squat)


24 posted on 07/15/2005 8:15:00 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Remember and pray for Sgt. Matt Maupin - MIA/POW- Iraq since 04/09/04)
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To: lowbridge
I'm not taking sides on this pro or con although I have followed the story for many decades -- quite interesting, if nothing else.

Lowbridge, you may want to check out THE HILL ALIENS Part of Chapters 11 & 12 ... you may find it quite interesting.

25 posted on 07/15/2005 9:51:48 PM PDT by Boomer Geezer (Sgt. Wanda Dabbs, 22, of the 230th, called out, "That's my president, hooah!" and there were cheers.)
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To: Momaw Nadon
between one and two-thirds of the public thinks that extraterrestrial life exists

What's the margin of error? ;-)

26 posted on 07/15/2005 10:28:25 PM PDT by My2Cents (If Mama Cass had only shared that ham sandwich with Karen Carpenter, both might still be alive today)
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To: Momaw Nadon
to allow their crews to conduct bizarre (and, in most states, illegal) experiments

Not illegal in California.

27 posted on 07/15/2005 10:29:10 PM PDT by My2Cents (If Mama Cass had only shared that ham sandwich with Karen Carpenter, both might still be alive today)
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To: Las Vegas Dave
Hey Dave,
(Thanks for the ping BTW)
Have you read Corso's book, "The Day After Roswell"?
How about Friedman's book, "Crash at Corona"?

Oh, and for anyone interested, they finally synthesized element 115 - and it's not stable, so Bob Lazar is discredited.

28 posted on 07/16/2005 12:43:00 AM PDT by Bon mots
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To: TAquinas
You wrote: "How did abductee Betty Hill manage to draw an accurate picture of a distant star system years before it was discovered by astronomers?"

And I mentioned that it didn't look like a map, much less accurate.

True. Your words were: "That's "an accurate picture of a distant star system?" And I pointed out that it was drawn by hand under hypnosis. So I can understand not accepting hand drawn maps under hypnosis.

Now that I take a look at it, it looks more like a flashlight.

And the big dipper looks like....a big dipper.

And then you presented me with more professional maps. But not of Betty Hill. We were talking about BH's maps, not professional maps.

I presented the professional maps because obviously you didnt want to accept a hand drawn map by someone under hypnosis (which is understandable).

Astronomers at Ohio State University had a computer put them in their exact position out beyond the double star system of Zeta Reticuli 1 and Zeta Reticuli 2--220 trillion miles, 37 light years from earth, looking toward our sun. The computer duplicated with virtually no variation, the map of Betty Hill.

http://ufocasebook.com/Hill3.html

Betty Hills' so-called accurate map of a distant star system looks like a scribble my daughter could have made.

Well I'm sorry that Betty Hill's profession was not professional map maker.

LOL! That ain't no map. That ain't no accurate, and that ain't a distant (nor near) star system.

It's a map, it's accurate, It's the Zeta Reticuli.

http://www.nicap.dabsol.co.uk/hillmap.htm

29 posted on 07/16/2005 5:36:17 AM PDT by lowbridge
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To: lowbridge





30 posted on 07/16/2005 6:15:35 AM PDT by vannrox (The Preamble to the Bill of Rights - without it, our Bill of Rights is meaningless!)
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To: carlr

You've brought out some good points, although the conclusions might be a bit hasty IMHO.

I've considered the issue in a different vein.

I've found remarkable similarity of the style of problem between discerning supernatural phenomenon and the 'UFO/alien' issues.

In both cases, numerous eyewitness testimonies have provided the basis of assertions that these phenomenon exist. In both cases the testimonies indicate other persons are involved in the reported phenomenon and that said persons are able to perform supernatural feats.

To argue UFO/aliens do not exist because insufficient reproducible evidence exists is a poor argument. Considering a good percentage of humanity rejects even the historicity of Jesus Christ, not to mention his ressurrection and status as the Son of God on similar premise, for those who testify to His status as Lord and Savior, the counterargument for lack of evidence regarding UFO/aliens appears even more arrogant and untrustworthy.

Considering the similarities between UFOlogy and Theology, yet also their differences, I suspect many of the problematic areas of UFOlogy might be better understood upon a btter grasp of Theology. Especially since in Scripture we are warned of deceiving spirits and malevolent persons in the spiritual domain. This revelation from God is far more truthful than following a materialist perspective that an anthropology from another world travelled billions and billions of miles only to manifest a primeivel fascination with human tissue sampling,..or else rejecting even the existence of such phenomenon.


31 posted on 07/16/2005 6:42:15 AM PDT by Cvengr (<;^))
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To: Momaw Nadon; vannrox; demlosers; FreedomNeocon; Swordmaker; Quix

"The burden of proof is on those making the claims, not those who find the data dubious."

Actually, if there is a burden of proof, it is on those who, through denial, are accusing lots of people of being liars, fools, cads, etc.

And no one is under any obligation to please the deniers with data or anything else. **** 'em.

Refuting Fermi: No Evidence for Extraterrestrial Life?
National Institute for Discovery Science | John B. Alexander, Ph.D
Posted on 01/02/2005 4:43:04 AM PST by SunkenCiv
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1312384/posts


32 posted on 07/16/2005 11:12:16 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (last updated by FR profile on Tuesday, May 10, 2005.)
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To: Las Vegas Dave

Please put me on the Art Bell/weird/Ufology ping list!

Me too!
Me too!

Thanks!


33 posted on 07/16/2005 11:53:19 AM PDT by A knight without armor
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To: SunkenCiv

May see if I can post some docs from this site. Some good qulity reports from quality, well trained observers:

http://www.nuforc.org/

Well put post, BTW, Thanks.


34 posted on 07/16/2005 1:08:57 PM PDT by Quix (GOD'S LOVE IS INCREDIBLE . . . BUT MUST BE RECEIVED TO . . .)
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To: Momaw Nadon
Visits by aliens who hit and run and don't attempt to make official and obvious contact make no sense to me. The physics of interstellar travel make the whole thing unlikely.

I have absolutely no doubt that the universe if full of all kinds of life but the lights in the sky could more easily be time machines from our own future than alien space craft, IMHO.

35 posted on 07/16/2005 1:15:04 PM PDT by muir_redwoods (Free Sirhan Sirhan, after all, the bastard who killed Mary Jo Kopeckne is walking around free)
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To: Momaw Nadon

I've been looking for hard evidence in the sense of hardware. I have also been watching the sky since Sputnik 1. If something is going on, there ought to be some actual evidence besides mysterious scoops and Moses-like burns, but so far, nothing.


36 posted on 07/16/2005 1:19:39 PM PDT by RightWhale (Substance is essentially the relationship of accidents to itself)
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To: Las Vegas Dave

Please put me on the Art Bell/weird/Ufology ping list!

Me also! and...thanks!!


37 posted on 07/16/2005 1:58:57 PM PDT by BigSkyVic
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To: carlr

I agree.IMO,even if there is intelligent life out in space,the chances of us ever meeting are maybe 1 in a billion?Too many conditions have to be met,and as you pointed out we're nowhere near the necessary technological level.


38 posted on 07/16/2005 4:46:41 PM PDT by Thombo2
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To: Las Vegas Dave

UFO list? Yeah, I'll try it for a while, if it's no trouble.


39 posted on 07/16/2005 9:46:43 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (last updated by FR profile on Tuesday, May 10, 2005.)
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To: Las Vegas Dave; Quix

Thanks for the ping.

I think it's not big news that alien visitation is *unproven.* To most of us, anyway [Quix :-)]. In that sense, the article does nothing more than state the obvious.

The fact that so many highly respected professionals have witnessed UFO's, combined with the real possibility of their existence, should at the very least be provocative to all of us.


40 posted on 07/17/2005 7:27:16 PM PDT by Sam Cree (Democrats are herd animals)
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