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"Groundswell" Pool - Kerry Campaign Deathwatch
Vanity | 9/21/04 | LikeLight

Posted on 09/21/2004 5:57:21 AM PDT by LikeLight

It happens at some point to every doomed campaign. The candidate, hopelessly behind in the polls and coming down to the wire, starts talking about sensing a "groundswell" of support. The groundswell is never really there, but losing candidates are always able to see it (through the lens of vain self-deception, I suppose) . . . Anyway, the FR pool is: On which date will either Kerry or Edwards first publicly utter the "groundswell" word in this campaign?


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: anotheruselessvanity; derangedcandidate; dole; doomedcampaigns; groundswell; kerry; landslide; mondale; political; selfdeception; spamspamspam; stupidvanity; useanexistingthread
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Of course, polls can sometimes influence the event they are trying to assess. If the DNC sees us running the "groundswell" campaign deathwatch pool, maybe they'll put out talking points banning the use of the term. But what a nail in the coffin THAT internal campaign memo would be! Personally, as the creator of this pool, I get first pick, so I'm going with October 17 (as measured by Eastern time) . . .
1 posted on 09/21/2004 5:57:22 AM PDT by LikeLight
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To: LikeLight; hchutch; mhking; Luis Gonzalez

You're optimistic, I see.

October 2nd.


2 posted on 09/21/2004 5:58:41 AM PDT by Poohbah (If you're not living on the edge, you're taking up too much room.)
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To: LikeLight

What's the reward for getting it right. Fame and fortune?


3 posted on 09/21/2004 5:58:47 AM PDT by WashingtonSource (Freedom is not free.)
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To: LikeLight

Matthew Dowd has said the last sign of a dying campaign is when it takes up the mantra "The only poll that counts is the one held on Election Day." All of the other pieces have already fallen into place.


4 posted on 09/21/2004 5:59:37 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: LikeLight

Put me down for 10/10/04.


5 posted on 09/21/2004 6:00:26 AM PDT by e5man_r_u? (A Man's mission: Build, Protect, Provide)
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To: LikeLight

Don't get complacent -- it's not over till the fat lady sings! With the debates and Iraq and the terrorist threat, things could change quickly.


6 posted on 09/21/2004 6:01:14 AM PDT by Unam Sanctam
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To: LikeLight; All

And let's not forget, "polls go up and down. The only poll that counts is the one on election day."

And did you ever notice that when a candidate talks about what people are saying out on the campaign trail, it inevitably coincides PRECISELY with the candidate's views?:

"Out on the trail, people aren't interested in talking about [my fraudulent medals, etc.]. They want to hear my proposals for reforming tax credits for corporations making foreign investments, and the details of my plans to revise CAFE standards in accordance with Sierra Club recommendations."


7 posted on 09/21/2004 6:02:11 AM PDT by governsleastgovernsbest
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To: LikeLight

I'm not going to jinx anyone--no pool for me. I'm confident, but not 100% confident. More like 85%.


8 posted on 09/21/2004 6:02:16 AM PDT by cwiz24
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To: Poohbah
You're optimistic, I see. October 2nd.

That's my birthday. I'm going with Poohbah!

What a present...lol

9 posted on 09/21/2004 6:03:37 AM PDT by houeto
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To: LikeLight

Sep 30, during the first debate.


10 posted on 09/21/2004 6:04:48 AM PDT by idkfa
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To: WashingtonSource
What's the reward for getting it right. Fame and fortune?

A Free Republic No-Prize, and the MSM searching you out as they did Buckhead.

11 posted on 09/21/2004 6:04:53 AM PDT by Poohbah (If you're not living on the edge, you're taking up too much room.)
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To: LikeLight
Will it be a heavily nuanced groundswell--emanating from the penumbra?
12 posted on 09/21/2004 6:05:07 AM PDT by Mamzelle (Pajamamama)
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To: LikeLight
http://www.al.com/opinion/birminghamnews/

From September 13:

The Associated Press may believe there is an inevitability about the outcome of the presidential race in Alabama, but that is not a belief or feeling I share, nor is it shared by the many, many volunteers who are working to help make John Kerry the next president of the United States. There is a groundswell of support for Kerry in Alabama. Every day, more and more people come to the headquarters and ask what they can do to help take back America.

http://tinyurl.com/3rbx3

13 posted on 09/21/2004 6:05:10 AM PDT by VisualizeSmallerGovernment (Question Liberal Authority)
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To: LikeLight
Seen parked outside the DNC.

Suicide watch at DNC headquarters.
Dims downing valium at an alarming rate.

14 posted on 09/21/2004 6:05:13 AM PDT by Liz
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To: WashingtonSource

The prize is fame and fortune BEYOND your wildest dreams. Yes.


15 posted on 09/21/2004 6:05:13 AM PDT by LikeLight (__________________________)
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To: LikeLight

Put me down for October 11 (that was the day America was founded and also my oldest daughter's b-day)!


16 posted on 09/21/2004 6:06:36 AM PDT by meandog ("Do unto others before they do unto you!")
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To: goldstategop

http://www.howstuffworks.com/quicksand.htm


17 posted on 09/21/2004 6:06:52 AM PDT by Revelation 911
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To: LikeLight
Morning after the first debate. That's when, regardless how the debate actually turns out, the MS will say Kerry has the momentum. A groundswell of support is a building for the dead one.

Kerry could fall on his face at the debate, and be sat on by a dead donkey the next day, but the MSM will say Kerry won the first round. Yeeeeaaaaarrrrrggggghhhhh
18 posted on 09/21/2004 6:07:31 AM PDT by snooker (French Fried Flip Flopper still Flouncing, be careful out there.)
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To: Mamzelle

"No, no, that's not my groundswell, it belongs to the family"


19 posted on 09/21/2004 6:08:37 AM PDT by LikeLight (__________________________)
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To: LikeLight

Oh, goody! Put me down for September 29.


20 posted on 09/21/2004 6:09:19 AM PDT by WashingtonSource (Freedom is not free.)
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