2016 was an unique election. The Democrats were overconfident. No one told them that we were going to vote for Donald Trump. So they thought they had the election in the bag.
They're not making that mistake this time.
For God’s sake, WAKE UP.
It doesn’t matter if Democrats think this or that. They, and Republicans, have lost the numbers.
Look at the surveys. Independents are consistently over 45% of the electorate and Dems/GOP sub 30%.
Models that do not focus on that cannot be valid. And they can’t focus on it because there is no precedent.