Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

To: UMCRevMom@aol.com
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/03/ukraine-sitrep-avdiivka.html#more

Bakhmut is encircled. All roads in and out of it are under Russian artillery fire.

###

Meanwhile other encirclement has taken place in Avdiivka

Avdiivka is strongly fortified. Its coke plant is a strong-point. The Ukrainian army used the city to lob artillery into Donetsk city. But attempts to seize it were largely unsuccessful. Two week ago the situation suddenly changed. The Russian airforce started to bomb Avdiivka with heavy glide bombs. At the same time an operations was launched to envelope the city from two directions.

An east to west move north of Avdiivka cut the rail access to the city. Russian forces crossed the railroad and moved further west. Fighting is currently ongoing in Berdychi. South of Berdychi is Orlovka, a road crossing point (O0542, C015801, C015802) that is for now the only real supply route left for Avdiivka.

In the southwest of Avdiivka the Russian forces moved northward. They are currently trying to capture Siverne. The first progress there was stopped when on March 12 the Ukrainian 36th Marine Brigade was placed in the area.

Armed reconnaissance has also taken place into the southwest area of Avdiivka city which is made up of high rises.

The distance between the Russian positions in the southwest and in the northwest of Avdiivka is 8 kilometer (5 miles). That is sufficiently narrow for Russian artillery to interdict road traffic that goes through the area in between.

The landscape around Avdiivka is mostly featureless. There are a few slag hills that rise about 50 meter above their surrounding flatland. But they can be easily covered by artillery and are thus not really helpful for either side.

This is now the second Ukrainian held area on the Donetsk front that is in operational encirclement. In both areas the Russian follow Sun Tzu's advice to not completely close off an encirclement but to leave a route out. This prevents fanatical defenses by encircled troops or it may even lead the enemy to push more forces into a hopeless position.

If the Ukrainian military had plans to relieve Bakhmut with a counterattack it now has to think of the additional problem that the encirclement of Avdiivka brings. Should it start there? Should it split the forces it had accumulated and planned to use for the counterattack in Bakhmut and start a parallel one in Avdiivka? Should it give up on one or both cities? Those are difficult decisions.

I find it likely that the Russian attacks on Bakhmut were halted after the Avdiivka development succeeded to give the Ukraine military enough time to make an error.

52 posted on 03/21/2023 7:11:50 PM PDT by Kazan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: Kazan

DEFICIENT SOURCE: moonofalabama

“Moon of Alabama has become TOTALLY sympathetic toward Russia and the war in Ukraine while often citing misinformation.

Media credibility rater Newsguard has detailed an extensive list of false and misleading claims regarding Ukraine.

Generally, Moon of Alabama is a pro-Russian conspiracy website.”


54 posted on 03/21/2023 7:58:30 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God's intervention to stop Putin's invasion)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 52 | View Replies ]

To: Kazan

Thanks for that EXCELLENT summary from the very credible Moon of Alabama!


58 posted on 03/21/2023 9:49:46 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 52 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson