Posted on 02/01/2023 7:01:41 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Ukrainian Artillery losses Running Total: 205
RuZZian Tank losses RunningTotal: 1663
February 2023 - 2
January 2023 – 61
December 2022 – 76
November 2022 – 105
October 2022 – 212
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 488
February 2023 - 4
January 2023 – 31
December 2022 – 19
November 2022 – 55
October 2022 – 64
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
“U.S. Company Offers Advanced Drones to Ukraine for One Dollar, With Some Costs”
“Sale of long-range, high-speed Reaper unmanned aircraft would require Biden administration approval”
“A U.S. weapons maker is offering to sell the Ukraine government two Reaper MQ-9 drones for a dollar to help the country defend itself as it prepares for an expected Russian offensive.
The deal would require Kyiv to spend about $10 million to prepare and ship the aircraft to Ukraine, and about $8 million each year for maintenance and sustainment of the older model drones, which currently aren’t being used in Ukraine.
The proposal would include a ground control station to operate the drones almost anywhere, according to a letter reviewed by The Wall Street Journal. The proposal was made by Linden Blue, chief executive officer of General Atomics, which makes the Reapers, to Ukraine’s defense attaché in Washington last week.”
Short thread for now.
No electricity this morning.
Ice storm moving through Texas.
Just my little iPhone.
The Russians have lost 350 tanks.
How would 31 Abrams tanks make a difference and not suffer the same fate?
Actually, Russia lost 1,663 tanks. That’s enormous!
Just my little iPhone.
—
Well, at least you have good taste in phones! How’s the oak doing?
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Jan 31, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> The True State of Russian Army <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
—
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: The Battle For Dnipro River Islands <——
Ukraine captured Kherson City in November, but the two sides are fighting over nearby river islands, used by Russians to attack the city.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-the-battle-for-dnipro-river-islands
Excerpts:
Russia has been lobbying artillery and mortar fire on Kherson ever since evacuating. In response, Ukrainian forces have been attempting “small naval operations” on some of those islands to “establish control and push back Russian 122mm and 152mm artillery from the left bank,” a Ukrainian military advisor told The War Zone on Tuesday ... Russians have been launching sabotage raids from those islands, using smaller mortars to attack Kherson ... But the invaders are knowingly destroying housing and critical infrastructure to avoid the possibility of extinguishing fires or providing medical care to the wounded.”
But a large-scale Ukrainian river crossing, using pontoon bridges, “is impossible” right now due to the ongoing Russian shelling,” said the advisor ... “Do you want to be the driver of a tank crossing a huge river on a temporary bridge on barges?” the Ukrainian military advisor asked rhetorically. “Everything is shaking. The Russians are trying to shoot you with artillery. And how fast can you get one brigade from the right bank to the left bank over a temporary bridge? It’s impossible.”
—
The pine forests near the city of Kreminna have become one of the hottest combat zones in the war in eastern Ukraine ... Almost every weapon seems to be at work here, artillery, howitzers, tanks and mortars. But perhaps the most important is the smallest: The reconnaissance drone. CNN accompanied two Ukrainian drone operators from the Dnipro-1 battalion deep into the forest to see how they operate. The journey was along tracks of soft sand amid a thin canopy of pine trees, through an eerie landscape dotted with streams and bogs.
Speaking of drones, the Ukrainian Defense Ministry has placed orders for 105 more long-endurance Vector reconnaissance drones from Germany’s Quantum-Systems.
Not only does Ukraine have to contend with Russian troops, it has to deal with spies uncovering its positions and recruiting new informants, as this video, from Ukraine’s SBU security service, claims to indicate.
———————————————————————————————————————
••Day 342.
Over the last several months, the Ukrainians have been visibly slowing down, and some people concluded that the Ukrainian command is losing its edge and making mistakes by not continuing to push.
However, by slowing down their offensive actions, the Ukrainians were able to save much more equipment, build up their reserves and prepare for the next counteroffensive operation, and today I will tell you exactly how they did it.
As many noticed, the number and intensity of Ukrainian attacks have been slowly decreasing while the Russians slowly switched from passive defense to active defense, and later they started switching from active defense to offense.
The reason why Ukrainian momentum has been slowing down is twofold.
First of all, the Ukrainians have a very limited number of equipment, especially artillery, and tanks, which are indispensable for offensive operations.
Of course, the losses of equipment are very high when you conduct offensive actions, which is why you need to stop at the right time - otherwise, very soon, you will have nothing to fight with.
That is why the Ukrainian offensive operation in the Kharkiv region has been slowing down, and the Ukrainians went from taking vast areas in a matter of days to taking cities, to taking villages, to now fighting for individual positions.
Being short on the equipment also means that the Ukrainians are betting a substantial proportion of their mechanized army on every offensive operation.
So, one failed operation can lead to the loss of almost all heavy equipment and to virtually full demilitarization - one mistake can cost everything.
However, the number of equipment is shrinking even if you do not attack, although it shrinks significantly slower.
And even if a vehicle is not destroyed, it has a limited useful time and must be removed from the front for reparation of guns, for example, after a certain number of shots or tracks, after a certain number of kilometers.
The Ukrainian command is continuously faced with incredibly difficult choices.
They need to stop offensive actions at the optimal time, they need to build up reserves during the defensive period, and they need to prepare and commit these reserves to the next offensive operation as soon as possible, with no margin for error.
The second reason why the Ukrainian momentum has been slowing down is that the Russians finally deployed their mobilized troops that were undergoing training in Belarus, and they also delivered another batch of conscripts for Wagner Group Private Military Company.
That is how the Russians managed to flood the Soledar front line with troops and breach the Ukrainian defense. And they overcommitted their troops despite high losses deliberately.
They know that the Ukrainians are preparing for the next offensive operation, and they know that the tanks will soon arrive, so what they are trying to do is to force the Ukrainians to burn these precious reserves in an attempt to stabilize the situation.
But the Ukrainian command knows the price, and that is why sometimes certain territories are deliberately not saved, and certain counterattacks are deliberately not conducted.
However important Soledar was, ensuring the success of the next massive counteroffensive operation is much more important.
And when it comes to the next Ukrainian counteroffensive, the Ukrainians have three options.
First of all, when the tanks and artillery arrive, the Ukrainians can conduct a small-scale offensive operation and take Kreminna and Svatove. Most analysts agree that the Russians are preparing for an offensive operation here.
If the Ukrainians manage to push the Russians from Kreminna and Svatove, the Russian offensive operation will end before it even starts. So, this is more of a preventative action.
The 2nd option is to conduct a large-scale offensive operation in the Zaporizhzhia region. Here the Ukrainians need to get to Melitopol, which will effectively cut off the Russians in Kherson.
By using longer range missiles, the Ukrainians will be able to destroy bridges from Crimea and create exactly the same situation as in Kherson.
And there are a lot of indicators that the Ukrainians are preparing to do it, such as the recent destruction of another bridge around Melitopol, and the fact that they are not committing certain mechanized and tank brigades to the front.
The 3rd option is to conduct both operations, but as you understand, it will largely depend on how many pieces of equipment they receive and how quickly.
Based on the announced terms of delivery, the next Ukrainian counteroffensive operation is planned for late spring.
Overall, because the Ukrainians are dealing with a scarcity of equipment, they cannot afford to continuously push, they can only afford to conduct rapid but short-term large-scale breakthroughs.
Such breakthroughs require the Ukrainians to temporarily slow down and build up their reserves for the next counteroffensive.
Judging by the delivery times, the Ukrainians should be ready to start their next counteroffensive in late spring.
The main goal, for now, is to retain control over tactically important positions that will allow starting the counteroffensive under more favorable conditions.
The Grey Eagle probably has some highly sensitive avionics that the U.S. Army does not want exposed to possible shoot down and capture.
MQ-9 Reaper drones, currently owned by General Atomics, would not have the same avionics as the Grey Eagle drones, and would be exportable.
Unfortunately, we won't be able to see any video of these guys at work.
“By maximising the number of instructors, our time and our weekends, we can train an entire crew in five weeks,"
Hard to say what difference modern western tanks will make. A direct hit from artillery takes out everything , but the Russians are pretty weak on precision artillery. A coupe of brigades with leopards or abrams with bradleys and Strykers. Humvees with anti air and anti tank would be a handful for any Russian line of defense
Btw what was your source for 350 tanks lost,
Hope they put the antifreeze in the turbines this time
Take care
You mean you don’t have all your SPAM stored up on your little iPhone? You’re slipping .....
350 is the first few weeks of the war. It looks like 1663 is the number of tanks lost according to the initial post.
Very interesting capabilities...thanks for posting.
The Leopard joins the hunt (hat tip AdmSmith - 1:38, humor).
https://twitter.com/saintjavelin/status/1620458490836951041
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for February 1, 2023 + US and its potential war with China by 2025.
- Western media begins preparing public for the fall of Bakhmut;
- Recent Ukrainian losses is being used to call for more weapon shipments to Ukraine including calls for missiles and jets;
- Arms shipments are being accompanied by calls for arming Ukraine for taking Crimea;
- A 2013 US government-funded poll found that most people in Crimea identify as Russian or Crimean (not Ukrainian) and a majority leaned in favor of associating with Russia, not the EU;
- Announced arms shipments and threats toward Crimea represents the West's attempt to find leverage over Russia as Ukraine suffers growing setbacks on the battlefield;
- At the same time, the US appears to be preparing for war with China over Taiwan;
- The US is out of time in terms of encircling and containing both Russia and China, forcing it to commit to increasingly reckless policies to achieve its objectives;
Minimum confirmed losses. Confirmations are made via publicly available data from Russia, such as funeral notices, obituaries or news sites.
Retired Junior Lieutenant, volunteer Камалов Васим Сагитович (Kamalov Vasim Sagitovich), a platoon leader of the Bashkir Dostavalov Battalion, was killed in Ukraine on 3 January ’23.
Senior Lieutenant Усманов Руслан Ильгизович (Usmanov Ruslan Ilgizovich) from Volgograd was killed in Ukraine.
Wagnerovets, former Senior Lieutenant Шевелëв Юрий Владимирович (Shevelev Yury Vladimirovich) stumbled somewhere in his life and ended up in a penal colony. There he was recruited by Prigozhin and was killed near Bakhmut, Ukraine.
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