Ukraine: military situation update with maps, July 5, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••denotes transcribed dialogue.
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Extras:
Russia Seems To Be Preparing The Vital Kerch Bridge For Missile Attacks
Deployment of decoy barges and smokescreens implies Russia is preparing for a possible attack on its highly prized Kerch Strait Bridge.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russia-seems-to-be-preparing-the-vital-kerch-bridge-for-missile-attacks
Ukraine Situation Report: Russian Forces Expand Hold On The Donbas
Improved coordination among Russian units has allowed some progress westward against Ukrainian resistance.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-russian-forces-expand-hold-on-the-donbas
Russia, Ukraine Take Turns Bombing Snake Island
The Russians didn’t want weapons to fall into Ukrainian hands. Ukraine wanted to destroy them before Russia tried to retrieve them.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russia-ukraine-take-turns-bombing-snake-island
Excerpt:
On July 1, Russians hit the island with phosphorous bombs, said Ryzhenko, destroying at least four Pantsir and three Tor short-range air defense systems, known by the NATO reporting names SA-22 Greyhound and SA-15 Gauntlet. They also blew up some signals intelligence equipment used to identify “a wide spectrum of electromagnetic signatures from the Ukrainian coastline,” Ryzhenko said ... The Russians, he said, left behind a Pantsir air defense system, a P-18 Spoon REST D radar system and a Tornado multi-launch rocket system (MLRS).
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••Kazakhstan
Russia blocking oil export - 67-69 million tons per year. Leaderships of K is acting independent so Russia sends message - creating lot of Paine in K.
••Norway, Spetsbergen:
Clash over Spetsbergen. Belonged to Norway, taken by Russia and returned in 1920, but Russia kept right to extract resources. Norway blocking sanctioned suppliers to mines on the island. Settled the boundary line and returned some area in 2010 because Russia wanted to exploit oil & gas resources there. Now with the block on supplies to the island, Russia is threatening to revoke the boundary agreement.
••RU Real Estate Market
Price of apts dropped 2.2% in Moscow. Where most of money and resources are concentrated there. Mortgage interest rates reduced, as a result mortgages increased as people took advantage. Russian Government trying to keep economy going with new construction. 60% jump in economy, relative to pre-war. Moscow economy is a big multiplier on the rest of Russian economy.
••Ukraine Internal Situation:
Was 1st time riff between Zelenski and ZSU General Staff over their order that men needed permit to leave their towns. Big outcry that this makes no sense. Zelenski asked politely that he need to be consulted before these sorts of decisions are made by the General Staff. Also another problem is that the Head of the ZSU General Staff became more popular because of the war and Zelenski sees this as a rivalry to his personal political situation.
••Immediate Orc Plans:
Once their rest and consolidation ends, they plan to squeeze UA troops from he Donetsk region. UA still holds quit a bit of probably more or less ~50%. ButUA has good defensive positions around Kramatorsk and Slovyansk - may take quite some time to exploit. Next goals would be Zaporizhzhia because UA defensive forces there are are relatively weaker than everywhere else - from the Orc perspective. Then Mykolaiv and Kryvyi Rih. After those goals would come Odessa and Dnipro.
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Summary: No major changes.
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead: No changes.
- Popasna/Lysychansk area: Russian troops made some gains near village Spirne.
- Svitlodarsk area: no changes.
- Donetsk West: no changes
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
1. Kharkiv: No changes.
••North of Kharkiv: artillery ping pong seems to have increased generally.
••Orcs tried to attack in westerly direction, but not successful.
2. Izyum bridgehead. No changes.
••Orcs continuing attacks without any success so far.
3. Popasna/Lysychansk area: Ukrainian troops still hold on to Verkhyokamyanske, Grygorivka, Spirne and section of the road from Spirne to Bahmut which provides good defensive position.
••Orcs made some westerly progress, claiming captured village of Spirne - no confirmation. Other attacks not successful.
4. Svtilodarsk area: No changes.
5. West of Donetsk: Avdiyivka and Maryinka. No changes.
••Artillery ping pong continues
6. Vugledar: No changes.
7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. No changes.
8. Kherson bridgehead: No changes.
Keep pounding. The more the Russians lose everyday is less NATO will have to contend.
I got nukes, I got nukes, be afraid of me... F him.
“Dmitry Medvedev, the former Russian president, invoked the possibility of nuclear war if the International Criminal Court (ICC) moves to punish Moscow for alleged crimes in Ukraine.
“The idea to punish a country that has the largest nuclear arsenal is absurd in and of itself,” Mr Medvedev, a close ally of Vladimir Putin, said on messaging app Telegram.
“And potentially creates a threat to the existence of mankind.””