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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 5
ISW ^ | March 5, 3:00 PM EST | Fredrick W. Kagan, George Barros, and Katya Stepanenko

Posted on 03/05/2022 2:47:38 PM PST by CarolinaReaganFan

"Russian forces in Ukraine may have entered a possibly brief operational pause on March 5 as they prepare to resume operations against Kyiv, Kharkiv, Mykolayiv, and possibly Odesa in the next 24-48 hours. Russian troops did not launch major ground offensive operations against Kyiv, Kharkiv, or Mykolayiv in the last 24 hours. Ukrainian forces near Kharkiv, on the other hand, conducted a counter-offensive that reportedly penetrated to the Ukrainian-Russian border.

Key Takeaways

Russian forces conducted no major offensive operations against the cities of Kyiv, Kharkiv, or Mykolayiv in the past 24 hours; Russian troops continued to encircle, bomb, and shell Mariupol; Russian forces east of Kharkiv and in northern Luhansk Oblast appear to be trying to link up; Russian troops around Kherson city are likely preparing to resume offensive operations against Mykolayiv and ultimately Odesa; and Russian naval infantry in Crimea continue to prepare for amphibious operations, which would most likely occur near Odesa."

(Excerpt) Read more at understandingwar.org ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: russianinvasion; ukraine
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not much change today. control of terrain map at link
1 posted on 03/05/2022 2:47:38 PM PST by CarolinaReaganFan
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

3/5 update from danzig mapper (8 day or so graphic )
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0J-XHxOlbHk


2 posted on 03/05/2022 2:50:43 PM PST by CarolinaReaganFan
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

This site is perhaps the beat neutral site to get info from IMO

please they go into great detail


3 posted on 03/05/2022 2:51:28 PM PST by janetjanet998 (ev)
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

Thanks for posting. Always enjoy their analysis.


4 posted on 03/05/2022 3:00:33 PM PST by datura (Eventually, the Lord and the Truth will win.)
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

I just saw a video on TV of a Russian jet that had been shot down. It was definitely for real. Saw the canopy in the debris and the red star on the fuselage. The Ruskies will probably win but the Ukes are making them pay.


5 posted on 03/05/2022 3:04:26 PM PST by HighSierra5 (The only way you know a commie is lying is when they open their pieholes.p)
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To: HighSierra5

See this? Pretty dramatic.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f5GoePlcsLg


6 posted on 03/05/2022 3:16:47 PM PST by griffin (When you have to shoot, SHOOT; don't talk. -Tuco)
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To: griffin

Pretty dramatic. One shot. One kill.


7 posted on 03/05/2022 3:30:04 PM PST by HighSierra5 (The only way you know a commie is lying is when they open their pieholes.p)
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To: janetjanet998; All

This is a Neocon globalist front group. Bill Kristol Jack Keane , Prtreaes are board members.


8 posted on 03/05/2022 3:39:37 PM PST by robowombat (Orth, all)
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To: robowombat

Sshhh!!! Don’t burst the rush to nuclear war bubble


9 posted on 03/05/2022 3:46:00 PM PST by Long Jon No Silver
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

Ping


10 posted on 03/05/2022 3:47:39 PM PST by alternatives? (The only reason to have an army is to defend your borders.)
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To: janetjanet998

This is the VERY first piece of information I’ve seen coming out of Ukraine that I’m tempted accept at face value. Thank you very much. Do you know where we can find a recap of the competing cease fire/peace negotiating positions? It’s as if they’ve been squelched.


11 posted on 03/05/2022 3:50:11 PM PST by hardspunned (former GOP globalist stooge)
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To: CarolinaReaganFan
My assessment of Putin/Biden


12 posted on 03/05/2022 3:50:15 PM PST by caww ( )
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

Bttt.

5.56mm


13 posted on 03/05/2022 3:52:45 PM PST by M Kehoe (Quid Pro Joe and the Ho need to go.)
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To: Long Jon No Silver

Also one of the execreable Kagins
is listed as a founder.


14 posted on 03/05/2022 3:56:48 PM PST by robowombat (Orth, all)
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To: robowombat

I was concerned about that too but the site doesn’t seem to have hype and BS like many others (ABC/SeeBS,NBC,AP,Daily Mail,NYT,WaPo, etal)
.
If you have the time and energy much of the details can be confirmed on sites that our military folks use like Early Bird Brief and Military Times(links below)
https://www.defensenews.com/ebb/

https://www.militarytimes.com/flashpoints/ukraine/2022/03/04/ukraine-invasion-live-updates-march-4/


15 posted on 03/05/2022 3:58:28 PM PST by CarolinaReaganFan
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

The tipoff is the insertion of War Crimes! Crapola, a classic Neocon tipoff.


16 posted on 03/05/2022 4:12:28 PM PST by robowombat (Orth, all)
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To: hardspunned

Try Pravda. There’s both a Russian and a Ukranian version
It’s biased but no worse than most US/UK media
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/
https://english.pravda.ru/


17 posted on 03/05/2022 4:17:07 PM PST by CarolinaReaganFan
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

18 posted on 03/05/2022 4:19:10 PM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: CarolinaReaganFan

I doubt the assessment that Russia will attempt to take Odessa anytime soon.

They have troops around Mykolaiv already. Mykolaiv is half the population of Odessa, but it is a much more important port on the Black Sea, the center of shipbuilding and Navy headquarters.

According to their map, Russian forces have it surrounded already and have pushed north on the east side of the Bug. The Russian naval troops may land on the west side of the Bug to seize the western approach to the highway bridge over the Bug and cut off supplies to Mykolaiv, although air power should pretty much isolate it already. The next upriver crossing is a rail bridge at Pisky, and then there are no bridges until Voznesens’k about 40 miles further upriver.

Traversing the coast from Kherson to Odessa appears almost impossible due to north south rivers and estuaries and reservoirs.


19 posted on 03/05/2022 4:57:34 PM PST by FarCenter
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To: All

The occupation will be 10 times worse for Russia.

You can come in but you can’t leave

https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1499648943520727042?t=l6bGj6ftL7ZbYt6pWHXMng&s=19


20 posted on 03/05/2022 5:00:36 PM PST by rbmillerjr (Defeating China is impossible without understanding that Russia is our enemy)
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