Posted on 09/26/2019 4:56:26 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends)
The Biden lead is crashing like the 1929 stock market. – Today’s Campaign Update has been predicting since April – when he formally entered the race – that Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and that he would leave the race for the presidency shortly after March 4, 2020, which is Super Tuesday.
As things turn out, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator is right on pace to achieve the first piece of that two-pronged prediction. The three most current new polls out this week all now show him in a statistical tie with Fauxcahontas, the life-long fraud who is now the candidate with all the momentum in the race. The polls all come from legitimate polling groups – Economist/YouGov, Emerson and Quinnipiac – which are independent from major U.S. fake media outlets. That’s an important distinction, since those major fake news outlets produce their “polls” as a means to create fake news instead of any real effort to measure the state of the race.
Biden’s once-strong leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two contests in the race, have already disappeared into the ether, although he does still cling to leads in the most current polls in South Carolina and Nevada, the two contests that come after New Hampshire. Faced with this reality, the Biden campaign has now taken to saying that it is not important for their confused candidate to win Iowa or New Hampshire, which smart observers will note is exactly what the campaign of Rudy Giuliani kept saying back in 2008. How did that work out for the Mayor?
The big outlier in the national polls is The Hill/HarrisX poll. HarrisX is a legitimate polling group, and its poll, taken on September 20/21, came out before the controversy about Biden’s interference in the Ukraine on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son Hunter, broke into the news cycle. That one still had Biden’s support up over 30%, and Fauxcahontas way down at 14%, trailing even The Commie.
That is a real outlier compared to these three more-recent polls, and it will be interesting to see where it comes out in its next iteration. That may not happen until after October 1, since it has been on a two-week cycle.
Lots of other interesting stuff in these three most-recent polls, including:
– Bernie Sanders is basically dead in the water at this point. He is stuck in the mid-teens, mainly because he has no new ideas that aren’t recycled from his 2016 effort. He just keeps on repeating the same tired Marxist talking points over and over again, and that just bores the short-attention-span Democrat voter base back to playing games on their IPads. Fauxcahontas has become the more interesting and energetic Marxist of the day.
– Irish Bob O’Rourke has now fallen behind Andrew Yang. His strategy of attracting support by being the loudest, shrillest and most profane finger-pointer in the crowd has failed just as everything else he has ever tried in his life. He gone, he just don’t know it yet.
– The same can and should be said of Cory Booker. He polls at dead zero in two of those three polls. His campaign recently let it be known that it is almost out of money and that he would probably have to leave the race soon if fundraising doesn’t pick up. There is no reason whatsoever why fundraising for the goofy Senator should pick up.
– Like The Commie, Kamala Harris is also dead in the water. Her support numbers, which had been stuck in the 6-8% range throughout July and August, are now stuck in the 3-4% range. Like Booker, it is hard to see any reason why they might suddenly pick up. As bad as she has been as a senator, she is even worse – absolutely horrible – as a candidate. For you college football fans, Harris is the Jim Harbaugh of the political world – blessed with more hype than Barack Obama, but unable to meet expectations on the field of play.
– Then there’s Mayor Pete, or Preacher Pete as The Campaign Update prefers to call him. The little Deacon has one of the most loyal bases of support of any candidate in this race. The trouble is, that base of support has settled in right at 6%, and no one should expect him to move substantially above or below that level. He is the 6% candidate, waiting to become VEEP arm candy for Fauxcahontas in next year’s general election.
– The only other thing worth noting here is that Tulsi Gabbard has now qualified under the DNC’s very mysterious rules for the October debate. Thus, there will be one actually interesting person on stage with 11 circus clowns for that one. Given Democrat voter preference for circus clowns, that will likely be Tulsi’s last stand.
All that having been said, the odds are now getting a little better for one of these candidates, most likely Fauxcahontas, to accumulate the necessary majority of delegates during the primary races to win on a first ballot at next year’s nominating convention. Biden’s rapid fall, combined with the inability of candidates like Harris, Booker, Preacher Pete or Irish Bob to gain any real traction, make it more likely that only 2 or 3 of those who survive into 2020 will be able to get to the 15% threshhold in each state to be awarded delegates.
This is now Fauxcahontas’s race to lose, which should come as no surprise to readers of The Campaign Update. We have consistently told you that Democrat voters love a good liar, and will pretty much always nominate the single biggest life-long fraud in the field. That has been the case in every nominating battle since 1992, and there was never any reason to think this one would turn out any differently.
Given that, here are my new odds for the ultimate winner of this race:
Fauxcahontas – Even money
Someone not in the current field – 2 to 1
Biden – 5 to 1
The Commie – 20 to 1
Preacher Pete – 50 to 1
Kamala – 50 to 1
The Field – 100 to 1
That is all.
Depends on how much of a death wish old Lizzy has.
WHOEVER picks Hillary Clinton as VP... lookout!
Seems to me with her network of corrupt friends if the Rats are up to something Hillary is behind it. With enough degrees of separation to maintain deniability but she is back there and Soros is behind her.
And, he’ll be out before the end of this year, if not sooner.
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Agree. Most people, including many Dems, are aware of his declining acuity. There is no way he’ll be the nominee.
what the campaign of Rudy Giuliani kept saying back in 2008. How did that work out for the Mayor?...
Yeah that was brilliant of conservatives.
Destroying a guy who, although not conservative, would have been a very good president and going with mccain, a RINO POS, thereby ensuring victory for a man who almost DESTROYED our country win.
I DO NOT think obama would have beat Rudy
I am glad he is a loyal ally to our Great President.
Unfortunately there is in today’s America a substantial percentage of the population that is attracted to their vile message and bizarre beliefs.
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That is true. Lies and false promises sell in today’s America. That’s why there are so many advertisements and commercials running every minute of the day. They work.
It’s a 2 fer for the Dems. They get rid of Biden and Trump.
Someone in the Dem group will die mysteriously near election day, to get the sympathy vote, ala Obama’s grandmother.
Putting too much stock in the polls is not a good idea. They are all over the place. At best, they represent the average of a thousand or so emotional responses to an intrusive, unexpected telephone call made to a random person who has only some shallow impressions of the candidates.
The only thing you’re missing in that insightful analysis is that Michelle doesn’t want the job. Too many demands and too much pressure. That’s just not her. There’s nothing in her past to indicate that she is looking for big challenges and implementing big visions. She would rather shop, vacation and lecture others than do any real work.
I just don’t see her jumping into the race under any circumstances.
In order to get him max support, the DNC allowed the circus clowns to occupy Center Ring for the time being. When all looks lost for 2020, Michael will appear, fresh after just having his pole smoked, and will have all the political clout his wife Barry and the rest of the DNC can muster.
And don't think Oprah will stay silent. She and Michael will appear as BFFs on the campaign trail to gin up as much white guilt they can muster. The parade out of Hollywood will be deafening.
And then the Big Joker gets played. Hildabeast will be ordered to stump for Obama......or go to jail by more leaks. That includes Chelsea.....because she was on the Board of Directors for the Haiti fiasco of sifting donated funds into Clinton's campaign.
It’s a 2 fer for the Dems. They get rid of Biden and Trump.
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In other words, they are happy to sacrifice a horse to checkmate the king.
“I just don’t see her jumping into the race under any circumstances.”
Very good point! She does come across as lazy. And for many of us, $100 million or so would be enough for living a good life.
I wonder, though, could her husband and others convince (force) her to jump in for the good of the (communist) cause?
A Tale of the Ticker--Frank Crumit (1929)
Oh, the market's not so good today,
Your stocks look kind of sick.
In fact, they all drop down a point
Each time the tickers tick.
We've got to have more margin now,
There isn't any doubt.
So you'd better dash with a load of cash
Or we'll have to sell you out.
I wonder, though, could her husband and others convince (force) her to jump in for the good of the (communist) cause?
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Its a good question. I don’t think she would because the thought of being confined in the White House with all its attendant duties and pressures just isn’t what motivates her. Living a life of luxury suits her just fine.
I think Barry is shoveling as much mud in Ukraine’s direction as is possible. Apparently “the football”, that is the server, was or is floating around the Ukraine. If Trump gets that Barry is toast. Barry and the DS can only try to poison the coming source of the information that might well hang him.
BINGO,
There is no possible way Hillary can physically run for POTUS. She has been officially put out to pasture.
Their best chance is Warren/Tulsi. Warren attracts the middle aged women that do not like Trump. It brings in the crazy liberals. Tulsi brings in the college age girls and guys. Tulsi also then gets a chance at being promoted to a national stage and if they do not win she runs again in 2024 as the front runner.
Tulsi has the best resume of any of the Dems. Military service, officer, good looking, and not a total commie.
She could actually attract some middle of the road voters.
FYI, I see Tulsi signs here in Manchester, NH in the SAME yard that had TRUMP signs up 4 years ago. These people very completely ANTI HILLARY. They had Hillary for Prison signs up too. SO, Tulsi has an appeal that the other completely crazy Liberal Dems do not: THE MIDDLE, THE UNDECLARED (35% of the voters here in NH).
Do you have a prediction as to whom it will be ?
No.
I am not an insider with any special knowledge. I do however have to ability to observe the way the current crop of clowns are acting with no push back from “moderate” democrats which leads me to believe it is all for show and nothing more.
There is also a history of Democrats bringing in ringers such as Clinton and Obama. Two relatively unknown on the national stage that were presented as “moderates” and reformers.
So I am guessing that this is what we will see happen this time.
"I'll be back" -- Hitlery
I believe Trump wants Warren to be the one he runs against. He has more on her then the fake Indian. If he doesn't she would be is their strongest corrupted candidate.
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