Well, I have no idea there. The point isn’t that the poll is accurate. I’m not saying anything about a poll that is accurate. The last “real” poll was Rasmussen, taken 10/14, showing Christine down by 11.
What this article is about is an ancedotal story about how Democrats are responding to information they are getting.
Personally, I’m not sure that “early voting” is an option for Delawareans. Absentee voting perhaps? But I’ll let that slide.
People who don’t like polls, but like rumors of polls with no evidence that those polls exist, will appreciate the report of a poll with Christine down by 5. An improvement over the other fictional polls that had Christine down by 6.
Paging Techno. Christine down by 5.
Polls aside, I think she wins. She’s had the opportunity to come across as not a crazy idiot in the debates, and she did even way way better than that. She even beat Coons (Yale Law) at Constitutional Law.
This is the same BS retread we heard in 2008. Some insider somewhere saying Dems are worried and talking about polls that never get released. They are attacking her to make a point that whenever these Tea Party types are nominated, they are beaten bad. A couple of days ago there was some talk of a poll showing her 6 points down. Of course no poll has been released. Let’s not be blind to the facts.
Rumor has it that Sarah Palin will be in Wilmington this Sunday with the Tea Party Express campaigning for Christine.
http://texas4palin.blogspot.com/2010/10/delaware-way-rock-star-sarah-palin-in.html
I don't, if only because the demographics are badly against her.
Democrats outnumber Republicans in Delaware by 47-29%.
O'Donnell needs to make up that margin by winning hugely among independents, maybe coupled with utterly dismal turnout by Democrats and Coons-leaning independents.
Unfortunately for her, polls have been showing her trailing among independents by about the same as she's trailing in the overall results.
Some polls have her doing poorly even among Republicans (e.g., this one has her only getting 64% of Republicans, whereas Coons gets 19% Republican and 81% Democrat support....)
She’s had the opportunity to come across as not a crazy idiot in the debates, and she did even way way better than that. She even beat Coons (Yale Law) at Constitutional Law.
Arguable... but mainly irrelevant, given her demographic disadvantages. She's not going to get the dismal Democrat turnout she needs.