The Cubans don't run our state though. There are more NY transplants than Cubans. And there are a whole lot of elderly who don't want government monkeying with social security and medicare. Medicare is going to be a big issue in 2008 because it's expected that the medicare system will go broke some time between 2010 and 2012. Jeb will be gone, and we'll probably have a Democrat in the gov's mansion, judging from how the field is shaping up now.
I'm trying to think of which Blue State won't vote for Hillary? CA? NY? Washington? MA? VT? NH? ME? DC? Ill? PA? All slam dunks for Hillary.
The best bets are MN, WIS, and perhaps MI or OR, but I'd put money on all of those states voting for Hillary, and even if she'd lose WIS or OR, it would not matter, provided that she wins Fla.
I think the GOP needs to start thinking realistically about Hillary. She'd be a disaster of epic proportions.
Off the bat, she could lose Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire and possibly Oregon
Cubans don't run Florida, and I'll grant there are alot of New York transplants there, but, as close as Gore got, there was a grudge there against him, it got even thicker with Janet Reno getting her rear handed to her in a primary against a guy no one had ever heard of.
Florida is also turning redder and redder, only one state elected official is a dem.
I honestly think that she could lose kerry voters in Florida, and she ranks with Janet Reno popularity. The fact that Kerry lost by a wider margin the Gore did suggests a trend.
I can't even see her peeling a single red state over to the her side.