True, but no other candidate has so many wedge issues as Rudy: Abortion, Partial Birth Abortion, Gun Control, Homosexual Agenda, Stem Cell Research, Amnesty for Illegal Border Invaders... That is a lot to overcome, and I didn't even include personal baggage.
I cannot see it happening. He could very well win the nomination, but with those heavy issues hanging over his head, how could he possibly think he will pull enough GOP support?
Just look at how close 2000 and 2004 were, and those INCLUDED the Religious Right voters.
Do you think Reagan won New York State twice because of the Religious Right?
According to Michael Barone, RR voters did not come out in the great numbers they claimed either of those years, less so in 2004 than in 2000.