Clearly it’s not so out of whack as those numbers. But Sears will have a lot of trouble. This stupid off year election in VA is specifically tailored to make sure the GOP doesn’t win the governor’s race the year after a Republican wins the White House.
My church is a big fan of sears but I don’t think she has a chance of winning.
she might pull some blacks in the tidewater but whatever she gains there—she’ll lose in the mountains. Otherwise the same dynamics holds—including republicans not coming out in the off year elections and then with Northern VA deciding the election for democrats.
thats conventional wisdom. If the race were held in 2026 imho things might be different —given what I think will be an economy on a tear.
NJ is trending Red. Scott Presler has been doing great work, and we have a good chance of flipping the Governor l. VA is too tied to the swamp.