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Was Late Shift to GOP About Polling Error or Late Deciders?
Intelligencer ^ | 09 Nov 2020 | Ed Kilgore

Posted on 11/09/2020 6:17:41 PM PST by blueplum

... it is increasingly clear that the “blue shift” we all expected in late results may not be as large as originally expected (especially in California, the very blue state with millions of votes still out), in part because Democrats tried very hard to cast mail ballots as early as they could.

So what happened? Was there a late shift of support to Republican candidates, or just systemic polling error? Or both?

...this year’s exits are suspect for multiple reasons, not least of which is the reliance on preelection surveys to capture the views of those casting mail ballots....

... they show a relatively small number of voters deciding late, but the latest deciders tilting toward Trump: the 3 percent who say they decided “in the last few days” going for POTUS 50-45, while the 2 percent who say they decided “in the last week” preferring Trump 63-30...

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: elections; maga; trump
Dems voted in person early. Dems mailed early. Late voters tended to break for Trump.

Early inperson voting would be shown in same-day voting numbers, yes?. Dems which 'tried hard ' to mail early would be reflected in the early mail-in voting numbers, yes?

To add to the curious things column.

1 posted on 11/09/2020 6:17:41 PM PST by blueplum
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To: blueplum

Please.....Washington post had Biden by 17 in Wisconsin. It was garbage and reflected the pathetic efforts at lying by the pollsters


2 posted on 11/09/2020 6:22:21 PM PST by irish guard
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To: blueplum

It was the garbage polls. Nearly everyone knew who they wanted to vote for. It was a matter of whether they would take the time to do so.


3 posted on 11/09/2020 6:25:09 PM PST by CatOwner
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To: CatOwner

Ask Trafalgar.


4 posted on 11/09/2020 6:27:07 PM PST by vrwconspiracist (The Tax Man cometh)
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To: blueplum

So what happened?
_____________
Give me a break..... Trump was always way ahead and dragged a whole crowd over the finish line with him. The only thing that happened in the waning days is that more Dem-Rats and Indies started to support PDJT once they understood the scope of the Bye-Done corruption related to the Hunter revelations...


5 posted on 11/09/2020 6:27:38 PM PST by hecticskeptic
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To: blueplum
The media can eat shiite and die. They’re lying sacks of 💩 all
6 posted on 11/09/2020 9:05:41 PM PST by Truthoverpower (The guv-mint you get is the Trump winning express ! Yea haw ! Trump Pence II! Save America again)
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To: blueplum

Nice try - yeah maybe voters who by 65% they were better off than they were four years ago changed their mind and “Nah I was better off unemployed like Pelosi told I was.”


7 posted on 11/10/2020 4:13:36 AM PST by jmaroneps37
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