A constant growth rate of new cases implies a constant death rate, unless there are further breakthroughs in therapy. We know the Trump cocktail is working in many cases, and is probably being prescribed by most (though not all) physicians, so I surmise the death rate would be significantly worse without it. But it is probably not going to represent a future breakthrough.
Patients don't stay in the system. They either recover or they die. So, barring that breakthrough cure, a constant flow of new cases means a constant stream of deaths--currently averaging about 2,000 per day.
Do the math. Over any extended period of time, this rate of deaths is problematical, politically, for the President's program of reopening the country.
The Left wants us to commit economic suicide, but they are not who worries me. I am worried about those on our side who do not fully recognize we are at war, and that there will be LIVES LOST in defeating the enemy.
United States COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Date Daily Total Linear Model
Growth Cases Since
Actual Actual 4/2/2020
3/14/2020 2,717
3/15/2020 761 3,478
3/16/2020 1,167 4,645
3/17/2020 1,717 6,362
3/18/2020 1,407 7,769
3/19/2020 5,911 13,680
3/20/2020 5,605 19,285
3/21/2020 7,462 26,747
3/22/2020 8,478 35,225
3/23/2020 11,107 46,332
3/24/2020 8,816 55,148
3/25/2020 13,870 69,018
3/26/2020 16,635 85,653
3/27/2020 19,363 105,016
3/28/2020 19,448 124,464
3/29/2020 17,892 142,356
3/30/2020 22,003 164,359
3/31/2020 25,151 189,510
4/1/2020 27,005 216,515
4/2/2020 28,698 245,213 245,213
4/3/2020 32,740 277,953 277,216
4/4/2020 34,123 312,076 309,219
4/5/2020 25,544 337,620 341,222
4/6/2020 30,576 368,196 373,225
4/7/2020 31,916 400,112 405,228
4/8/2020 32,020 432,132 437,231
4/9/2020 33,618 465,750 469,234
4/10/2020 35,551 501,301 501,237
4/11/2020 31,942 533,243 533,240
4/12/2020 27,289 560,532 565,243
4/13/2020 26,623 587,155 597,246
4/14/2020 26,937 614,092 629,249
4/15/2020 30,468 644,560 661,252
4/16/2020 35,221 679,781 693,255
4/17/2020 30,550 710,331 725,258
4/18/2020 29,521 739,852 757,261
4/19/2020 . 789,264
4/20/2020 . 821,267
4/21/2020 . 853,270
4/22/2020 . 885,273
4/23/2020 . 917,276
4/24/2020 . 949,279
4/25/2020 . 981,282
4/26/2020 . 1,013,285
4/27/2020 . 1,045,288
4/28/2020 . 1,077,291
4/29/2020 . 1,109,294
4/30/2020 . 1,141,297
5/1/2020 . 1,173,300
egads, who could have believed this 4 months ago.
We have lost many many lives every damn year from influenza, we lost lives from polio, we lost lives from measles, we lost lives from HIV, BUT we have NEVER destroyed people’s businesses, livelihoods, BAM in one damn day this damn government took everything from the citizens of this country!! I think the people on our side want our damn country back!!! I was very disappointed at how many our side jumped on this hysteria bandwagon HOWEVER I think most are realizing that yes there will be fatalities but this has been completely overblown!!!
back on the downside.
that’s looking good
the daily rate of growth is still coming down.
04/01 = 14%
04/08 = 8%
04/15 = 4.9%
04/17 = 4.4%
04/18 = 4.1%