I don’t think that we’re getting played...not yet. Not until they have to explain why their predictions are so unreliable...which they won’t. They’ll wash their hands of it and call it Dorian.
Forecasting hurricane tracks is extremely difficult, though we are getting better and better at it. If you look at the predicted tracks since it formed, it is still within the “cone” and has been for pretty much it’s entire life so far. The error has been with the media taking the center line as truth and ignoring the cone.They didn’t used to do that. It could still turn westerly and hit Florida and still be within the predicted path.
I was a meteorology major with the hope of working at the Hurricane Center, unfortunately life intervened.
Of course they do. Dig into it.
Hurricane predictions are the best they have, based on current conditions and a bunch of different computer models. They are using the best technology available to save lives. Predictions just aren't very accurate more than a few days out (deep statistical analysis comparing predictions against actual results).
Climate change forecasts, on the other hand...
Much like inaccurate political polls, too many wanted direct hit on Mar-a-Largo.