The “models” can only calculate results based on the information that is available to them at the instant that they run. Some people foolishly give the models far too much credibility than they deserve.
When carried into the future, a small change in input parameters results in a big change in the outcome. In other words, the models are useless for predicting what will happen.
They are useless. The real problem is idiot people who put their faith in the models because “it’s on the computer and can’t be wrong. “
She said yesterday that the weather forecasts are a blessing, even if the exact predictions aren't precisely accurate. Because it gives people time to react, prepare, evacuate or whatever they need to do to make themselves and their properties safe.
Years ago, before better weather forecasting and TV and the internet, the hurricanes would just slam the state out of nowhere with no warning at all she said.
It was much worse not knowing they were coming than knowing they're out there and headed in your direction even if the information was not certain.
So instead of wondering whether "we were played", you should count your blessings that we have some information nowadays rather than no information about the hurricanes, as was the case decades ago.