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It's about the rate of the Black Death in speed and mortality, or like smallpox in the New World. There may be billions of unburied corpses. Survivors either have innate immunity or acquire it from having the disease. Like the Black Death after 1348, there may be lesser outbreaks for centuries but this is how species immunity is acquired. You can also see it happening today among honey bees and starfish.

I guess we'll know for sure whether it is more than a math exercise if the doubling rate continues for a few more months.

1 posted on 09/30/2014 7:40:47 PM PDT by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/2014-west-africa/qa-mmwr-estimating-future-cases.html


2 posted on 09/30/2014 7:43:28 PM PDT by Mount Athos (A Giant luxury mega-mansion for Gore, a Government Green EcoShack made of poo for you)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

There is a researcher (on threads here) that makes a compelling case that the Bubonic Plague was actually Ebola, after examining the texts of the physicians and survivors.


3 posted on 09/30/2014 7:44:49 PM PDT by txhurl (2014: Stunned Voters do Stunning Things!)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

Why does the CDC own a patent on Ebola ‘invention?’

http://www.naturalnews.com/046290_ebola_patent_vaccines_profit_motive.html#


4 posted on 09/30/2014 7:46:11 PM PDT by Mortrey (Kenites occupy the White House)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

Anyone who believes this will come to pass, please contact me -— I have a bridge to sell in NY cheap.


5 posted on 09/30/2014 7:46:40 PM PDT by House Atreides (ANOTHER CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN FOR CHILDERS 2014 .... Don't reward bad GOPe behavior.)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

Was this posting peer reviewed? The formula should be I = Pe^(kT).


7 posted on 09/30/2014 7:47:03 PM PDT by Perdogg (I'm on a no Carb diet- NO Christie Ayotte Romney or Bush)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide; bgill; null and void; Tolerance Sucks Rocks; Smokin' Joe

BUT...But...but the FR Ebola experts told us Ebola would never darken our door.


8 posted on 09/30/2014 7:48:21 PM PDT by Kartographer ("We mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.")
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

And just like in The Masque of the Red Death by Edgar Allan Poe, the elites will think they are safe behind their walls.


10 posted on 09/30/2014 7:48:50 PM PDT by SpaceBar
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

that’s not going to happen unless it goes airborne, and that’s not a high probability. This virus spreads like hepatitis and HIV, by contact with body fluids, not like influenza or the common cold. Its not difficult to isolate using standard western practices of medical care and hygiene.

The problem in Africa is burial traditions that include touching and kissing the corpse. The corpse continues to shed the virus due to micro-hemorrhaging from systemic cytokine storm. But that comes late in the infection, and causes the rapid death by volume depletion, shock and organ failure.


13 posted on 09/30/2014 7:50:31 PM PDT by Brian Kopp DPM
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

Okay, so ... The whole continent of Africa is dead like several thousand times over? I missed that, dangit!


14 posted on 09/30/2014 7:50:50 PM PDT by JennysCool (My hypocrisy goes only so far)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide; neverdem; ProtectOurFreedom; Mother Abigail; EBH; vetvetdoug; ...
The game of Ebola Roulette continues...

*click* spin *click* spin *click* spin…

Eeeee-bolllll-aaaaaa ping!

Bring Out Your Dead

We’re gonna need

a bigger cart!

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

15 posted on 09/30/2014 7:51:31 PM PDT by null and void (If the wage gap were real, American companies would be hiring millions of women to save a buck)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide
Well then screw all the save the whales crap! Live it up, use it up! We'll all be a dyin long before globull warming gets us.

Do I have to tag it?

16 posted on 09/30/2014 7:52:32 PM PDT by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

There is a difference in knowing the grave seriousness of this situation, and trying to divine the future with math.

There are many different ways this can play out. There is a great difference in the Western populations, where people know about germs, and tribal peoples in Africa. The spread of the virus will be completely different in the West than in the Third World.

The main danger in the West, really, is that many Third-Worlders liver here now and have brought their lack of understanding of germs with them.


17 posted on 09/30/2014 7:52:51 PM PDT by PastorBooks
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

There have been 26 outbreaks since Ebola emerged in 1976, all of them in Africa, and 25 of them ended in Africa, now we are in our 26th, and during all these decades and dozens of outbreaks, the total deaths are equal to about 2 days of AIDs deaths.

How do you numbers work if variables and new conditions, for instance Western medical and housing conditions, and educated populations become part of them?

Right now 9/30/14, it looks like Nigeria got control of and ended their outbreak, just like African nations have been doing for decades, how does that figure into your numbers?

Don’t you think your numbers are absurd?


19 posted on 09/30/2014 7:53:31 PM PDT by ansel12
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

21 posted on 09/30/2014 7:55:07 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide
…so why aren't the Oh, no! The Earth is overpopulated!-types dancing with joy?
23 posted on 09/30/2014 7:57:31 PM PDT by OneWingedShark (Q: Why am I here? A: To do Justly, to love mercy, and to walk humbly with my God.)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

Stick with your day job.


24 posted on 09/30/2014 7:58:00 PM PDT by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc OÂ’Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide
In the space of one hundred and seventy-six years the Lower Mississippi has shortened itself two hundred and forty-two miles. That is an average of a trifle over one mile and a third per year. Therefore, any calm person, who is not blind or idiotic, can see that in the Old Oölitic Silurian Period, just a million years ago next November, the Lower Mississippi River was upwards of one million three hundred thousand miles long, and stuck out over the Gulf of Mexico like a fishing rod. And by the same token any person can see that seven hundred and forty-two years from now the Lower Mississippi will be only a mile and three quarters long, and Cairo and New Orleans will have joined their streets together, and be plodding comfortably along under a single mayor and a mutual board of aldermen. There is something fascinating about science. One gets such wholesale returns of conjecture out of such a trifling investment of fact. - Mark Twain
30 posted on 09/30/2014 8:09:52 PM PDT by LibWhacker
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

I would be scared if I hadn’t already died from AIDS and global warming.

It is curious that all of the cures for these “plagues” is to send the despots lots of money.


32 posted on 09/30/2014 8:14:07 PM PDT by Nota particle (Born yesterday in Biblical terms)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

Everyone except Keith Richards.


33 posted on 09/30/2014 8:14:18 PM PDT by xp38
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

Guess I better get on “The Last Ship” or a little island, south of Mexico staffed with honeys to repopulate the earth.

Maybe 40-50 will do.

I’ll catch food all day and build stuff.

Laz can be my wingman...


34 posted on 09/30/2014 8:16:16 PM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously-you won't live through it anyway-Enjoy Yourself ala Louis Prima)
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