note 1
i think my total lack of expertise ... my amateur status ... gave me an edge this year, early in the year.
I did not buy into the insider-knowledge crowd that KNEW miami nyj and buff all stunk ... so I got off to a good start. Plus I am a conservative picker. I go with the favorite team unless I see a reason for an upset.
note 2
if ya look at the SD schedule when they were 5-7, you can see why they were counted out ... considering they had no tiebreakers ... it was almost impossible for them to win.
Even after the victory over DEN on THUR nite to go 7-7, their hopes were crushed when BALT and MIA both won that week.
That left them with a 3% chance of playoffs
http://files.nfl-forecast.com/
all 6 remaining games had to go their way
2 SD wins
2 MIA losses
2 BALT losses
At 50/50 each game, that is one out of 64 or 1.5%
note 3
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
1/4 4:35 ET At Indianapolis -2.5 Kansas City
1/4 8:00 ET At Philadelphia -2.5 New Orleans
1/5 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -7 San Diego
1/5 4:30 ET San Francisco -2.5 At Green Bay
Chudzinski, Shanahan, Frazier and now Schiano, gone.
I did not buy into the insider-knowledge crowd that KNEW miami nyj and buff all stunk ... so I got off to a good start. Plus I am a conservative picker. I go with the favorite team unless I see a reason for an upset.
note 2 if ya look at the SD schedule when they were 5-7, you can see why they were counted out ... considering they had no tiebreakers ... it was almost impossible for them to win.
Even after the victory over DEN on THUR nite to go 7-7, their hopes were crushed when BALT and MIA both won that week. That left them with a 3% chance of playoffs http://files.nfl-forecast.com/ all 6 remaining games had to go their way 2 SD wins 2 MIA losses 2 BALT losses At 50/50 each game, that is one out of 64 or 1.5%
note 3 Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog 1/4 4:35 ET At Indianapolis -2.5 Kansas City 1/4 8:00 ET At Philadelphia -2.5 New Orleans 1/5 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -7 San Diego 1/5 4:30 ET San Francisco -2.5 At Green Bay
And I called this back then too. Check out my prediction of all three games last week the Chargers needed to go their way. I was pretty much dead on in Post 21, which was days before the games.