Economy –
The biden regime is stuggling to cut off a potential Big 3 auto strike in the coming weeks that could end up coinciding with a govt shut down.
Chances that the govt will have to go into shut down mode are increasing as the Republican Freedom Caucus continues to press for accountability in various budget bills.
***
Furniture retailers are seeing sales slow as experts claim America’s cooling housing market means fewer shoppers are purchasing sofas.
OBSERVATION - The ongoing housing market crash is increasingly affecting other peripheral markets.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Dean Obeidallah, a SiriusXM radio host and columnist for MSNBC, insisted Friday that Trump “must die in prison” to set an example for the public and protect democracy.
He made the comments after his guest, Mediaite reporter Tommy Christopher, brought up the alleged double standard of nobody taking issue with Nikki Haley making controversial insinuations about Biden.
Haley, a 2024 Republican presidential candidate, had suggested in a July interview with Fox News that the 80-year-old Biden, because of his old age, could die in office.
In response, Christopher queried how conservatives would react if Biden said Trump could die in prison if he potentially goes to jail for one or more of his indictments.
But Obeidallah went a step further – contending that Trump “must” die in prison.
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/donald-trump-2024-primary-prison/2023/09/11/id/1134066/
OBSERVATION - This desire for the death of Trump continues to grow from the left. It doesn’t matter how, just that it happens. This continues to open up the potential of a leftist actually attempting to kill Trump. A very real danger and one that could blow the top off the current restraint by the right.
***
The NM governor triples down - New Mexico Governor in a message to sheriff who believes her carry ban is unconstitutional: “I don’t need a lecture on constitutionality from Sheriff Allen: what I need is action... We’ve given you the tools, Sheriff Allen— now stop being squeamish about using them.”
Terrorism -
A POLITICO report of federal data and interviews with a dozen security, extremism and electricity experts revealed a record surge in attacks on the grid nationwide. However, the report claims that law enforcement and utilities are not combining efforts to effectively track these attacks.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
On going NATO exercises in the Baltic region - reportedly the largest since the end of the cold war.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
NY state appealed a recently struck down law - “Isolation and Quarantine Procedures” that allowed them to illegally lock up or lock down persons without any proof you were sick, and without any due process protections.
OBSERVATION - Remarkably, the tyrannical powers that be do not want to give up powers they thought they acquired during the plandemic. NY gov Hochul is one of the leaders of these leftists. In this case - one allowing for quarantine camps for alleged wuhan sufferers or more specifically - those who refused to take the jab.
***
The new Pfizer and Moderna Covid-19 injections have been approved by the FDA. Full-approval was given to inject into arms of people over 12-years-old and Emergency Use Authorization covers them for jabbing babies as young as six-months-old.
The new jabs are NOT designed for the current dominant variants. These jabs were built for the XBB.1.5 subvariant, which has basically died out.
OBSERVATION - Follow the money, honey. Plus the EUA continues to grant them immunity from lawsuits from injuries caused by the jabs.
BTW, this announcement essentially acknowledges that previous vaccine versions were ineffective.
POLITICAL FRONT –
House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) is expected to endorse a formal impeachment inquiry against President Biden during a closed-door meeting with the Republican Conference on Thursday, 14 September.
OBSERVATION - McCarthy is seen as dragging his feet on the impeachment issue. Be it because he is scared by the deep state or just has no fight in him - considering there is already a big fight over the budget brewing that he seems to be on the verge of capitulating on - non-action has been the name of his game.
Biden / Harris Watch –
First time in 22 years the president has not been commemorating 9/11 at the sites either in PA, pentagon or NYC.
**
On Sept 11 The Biden administration has agreed to a deal with the state of Iran. The deal will swap 5 American hostages for 5 Iranian prisoners, and will also release $6 billion for Iran.
Many experts are calling this a huge mistake as it’ll give Iran the impression that the Biden admin will pay large ransoms every time the take hostages.
**
BIDEN: “Ground Zero in New York — I remember standing there the next day and looking at the building. I felt like I was looking through the gates of hell.”
On September 12, 2001, Biden was in Washington, D.C., for a Senate session.
**
Some potential dot connecting.
In 2020, there were discussions about the possibility of Harris eventually replacing Biden. The timetable for this seemed to accelerate when the DNC didn’t expect to lose the House.
On a recent Sunday, The New York Times, known for leaks favorable to the DNC, published an article on Biden’s approval ratings and Harris expressing readiness to take over as president.
Even Gavin Newsom voiced support for Harris.
Biden has essentially begun to vacation in place and his gaff filled public appearances are not being edited or apparently controlled by his controllers - see recent G20 - Vietnam - Alaska 9/11 appearances.
Are we seeing the initial stages of biden being forced to bow out?
Illegal Immigration –
Of the city services being hit with budget cuts in order to pay for housing illegals, the NYC PD is getting hit the hardest. Already understaffed due to several years of it officers being attacked by the city and leaving, overtime has been slashed. This right when crime by illegals is starting to spike.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated August 6, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces are increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Russian attempt at launching a counter offensive to take pressure off its southern and eastern fronts has sputtered out. Initially, reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv morphed into Russian assaults that initially gained some ground but was quickly reversed, due largely to poor coordination between units.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
The Russian Rosgvardia (national guard) may be recruiting previously imprisoned former Wagner Group fighters, likely to further subsume Wagner remnants while bolstering Russia’s domestic security apparatus.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 70’s with chances of scattered showers.
RUMINT –
While it has been confirmed that Britain is flying air cap over shipping to/from Ukraine. The unconfirmed word out is that this was due to Russia targeting a civilian cargo ship on the Black Sea. On August 24, Russia allegedly fired 2 Kalibr missiles at a Liberian-flagged cargo ship
Ukraine was able to neutralize Russia’s missile strikes by Odesa based ADA assets
Thus a casus belli for Britain’s enhanced monitoring mission of Russian strikes on Ukraine’s ports and weaponization of grain
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraine continues to make small advances in its various fronts. Details continue to be relatively foggy. Ukraine defense forces have success to the South and South-East to Robotyne of Zaporizhzhia region, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine says in the morning report
The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces shot down 12 Shaheds and another unspecified drone. Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Head Kyrylo Budanov stated on September 11 that Russian forces are changing tactics and using drones “en masse.”
NOTE - The term “en masse” may refer to the attempt to have the drones strike at the same time, in order to locally overwhelm the defenses.
OUTLOOK –
Continued ‘fog of war’ conditions continue but info breaking through suggests that Russian forces are increasingly strained not only the main Ukraine assault axes but in other sectors as well.
It seems the practice of Ukraine seizing ground, digging in and demolishing Russian counter attacks - though slow - is effectively degrading the Russian forces capabilities.
Belarus -
The Ukrainian Resistance Center reported on September 11 that Belarus plans to create its own private military company (PMC) out of Wagner Group fighters who remained in Belarus.
Europe / NATO General –
EU: There will be consequences for holding elections in the new territories of Russia
“The European Union does not recognize and will not recognize the holding of these so-called elections, nor their results. The political leadership of Russia and those involved in organizing them will face the consequences of these illegal actions,” said the high representative of the European Union for foreign policy, Josep Borel
Israel –
Israel’s national security advisor said today that “the prime minister made it clear to all world leaders that if we detect uranium enrichment above 60% then Israel will have no choice but to act” against Iran.
***
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant reveals Iran has established an airfield in southern Lebanon. Expect Israeli air strikes to neutralize in the near future.
Armenia/Azerbaijan –
Start of the Armenian-American military exercises “Eagle Partner” involving 85 U.S. and 175 Armenian soldiers in Armenia.
Kremlin officials are quite upset calling the current Armenian administration “two-faced”.
OBSERVATION - Anything goes if these US forces are targeted by Azeri forces. Armenia’s exercises with the US illustrate the degree that they feel they’ve been abandoned by Russia and are seeking more help to fend off the Azeri forces.
Africa general – WAR WATCH
Niger’s new military junta accused France of building up a military invasion force in the West African ECOWAS political bloc countries. The junta’s spokesman said France had deployed military aircraft and armored vehicles in nearby Ivory Coast, Senegal, and Benin.
OBSERVATION - Tensions still high and likely that conflict will occur as some time in the near future. How invested will France be is the question. Some see their ‘negotiations’ over removal of its forces stationed in Niger as foot dragging to keep these forces in place to assist the eventual assault on Niger.
Normally, I'd say send the FBI to talk with him, but with today's FBI, I'd be scared they'd collude on a plan.
Globalism / Great Reset –
The California legislature passed a bill Friday that would threaten parents with losing custody of their children if they question their child’s supposed desire to undergo disfiguring hormone regimens or surgeries to appear more like the opposite sex. The legislation is now headed to the desk of Gov. Gavin Newsom, who is expected to sign it.
OBSERVATION - Communist control of children and the separation of them from their parents has been a common practice over the years. Under the current, demonically inspired ‘trans’ fad, these children grabbers / groomers have seized the moment in radical leftist states to start legally punishing parents for protecting and raising their kids contrary to the demands of the state. As noted over at least the past year, this drive by the left has not been without pushback, but in Kalifornia, the heavy hand of the leftists will do what it wants. This only widens the blue / red cultural gap.
On a globalist aspect - decimation of the family unit is essential for their goals - part of a multifaceted effort to control the population, starting with children as a lever to control adults. Hence, similar efforts in other countries to forcibly remove children from parents.
Economy –
Median household income fell by 2.3% in 2022 on an inflation-adjusted basis, the Census Bureau reported Tuesday.
The report, which is released on an annual basis and is taken from the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement, shows real median incomes falling for the third year in a row. Median household incomes peaked at $78,250 in 2019, the year before the pandemic. They declined in 2022 to $74,580, a year that saw inflation soar, undercutting household purchasing power.
OBSERVATION - Its been all downhill under biden’s regime. This places the country in general in danger if the recession is deep.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
The NM AG is not going to defend Gov Grisham’s gun edict in court. Essentially defaulting to the many lawsuits that have sprung up in the past days.
OBSERVATION - The massive lack of support for Grisham (with the minor exception by Arizona democrats) has ripped their whole anti-gun platform apart in many ways. It will be interesting to see what further damage to NM and gun grabber goals these lawsuits will bring to bear.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The U.S. Air Force will fall short of its active-duty recruiting goals this year, something that has not happened in more than two decades, Secretary Frank Kendall said.
“We’re almost to the end of the fiscal year, and the expectation is we’re going to come in short about 10%,” Kendall told Military.com on Monday, adding that the service plans to address long-standing recruiting problems so it doesn’t happen again in 2024.
OBSERVATION - The biden regime has made it clear through its military leadership choices that it despises red state America - the very demographic that our military services have routinely counted on to fill out its ranks. Why place your life on the line for a govt that hates your values and in many ways considers you to be a domestic terror threat - especially when you’ve completed your service.
As a veteran I cannot recommend military service anymore to anyone. I’m not the only one either.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Scientists from Duke-NUS Medical School and elsewhere have identified several novel strains of swine flu viruses circulating in Cambodian pigs that pose a potential pandemic risk. The new strains include viruses that have jumped from humans to pigs and some strains with genes that originate from North America.
OBSERVATION - For the many that believe (with some good justification) that the wuhan plandemic was engineered, here is a new tool with a virus that has in the past demonstrated greater threat of death.
**
A U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) advisory panel on Tuesday called for a broad use of the updated COVID-19 vaccines approved by the government - covering ages 6 months and up - paving the way for a broad use of the shots in a vaccination campaign due to begin within days.
The shots are part of a push by public health officials to align the next COVID vaccines more closely with the actual circulating variant of the virus, much as annual flu shots are designed. A vaccination campaign is expected to be kicked off in the coming days.
OBSERVATION - These jabs are targeting old versions of wuhan for starters, nothing for the current scary variants.
The U.S. government ended the COVID public health emergency declaration in May and handed over the responsibility for vaccinations to the private sector. However, this latest authorization maintains the EUA - in spite of there being no longer an “emergency”.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Beltway rumors are that McCarthy’s move on impeachment is designed to motivate Freedom Caucus members to come on line and support the Continuing Resolution. Initial evidence suggests that this move has not convinced them to drop their budget cut demands.
Additionally, House leadership is expected to unveil a short-term plan to fund the government ahead of a possible October 1 shutdown, that will include Ukraine and disaster funding as well as a path to passing all 12 appropriations bills.
***
The deep state is increasingly aiming their guns on Musk with a broad spectrum of attacks - from the FTC to the FAA to calls of having him arrested for treason, etc. Much like Kennedy, his moderate positions are abhorrent to the left and his movement of restoring X (the site formerly known as Twitter) back to the middle with equal footing for both the left and the right.
Biden / Harris Watch –
While biden was hiding in Alaska, harris was making an a$$ of herself at 9/11 ceremonies in NY.
Illegal Immigration –
Growing violence by predominantly black and middle eastern ‘migrants’ into europe is finally getting European govt attention. Migrant mobs isolating and beating predominately white europeans is now common place.
Similar black on white violence here in the US. The ‘migrant’ aspect is yet to appear. Could be that in dark blue metro areas, the blacks are pushing back because they are losing priority to govt handouts to the migrants. This could set up a scenario of blacks vs illegals in the future.
Given that, the overwhelming anti-europeans bent of European migrants will hit the US eventually. The vast majority of the illegals coming here are military aged males coming from cultures where they are used to using violence to get their way.
China –
Yesterday, Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense reported 20 People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) vessels and 22 aircraft incursions around the island. This comes after American and Canadian ships transited the Taiwan Strait on Saturday.
Included in this flurry of activity is the Chinese aircraft carrier Shandong sailing toward the western Pacific Ocean to the southeast of Taiwan on Monday for training, Taiwan’s military said.
OBSERVATON - Part of China’s ongoing escalation of incursions in response to US/western actions. See Japan below for more.
**
U.S. and Philippines armed forces are jointly upgrading an airport and naval airbase on the Philippines’ northernmost island next to Taiwan.
OBSERVATION - This is part of the recent agreement between the US and Philippines. The Philippines is concerned about Chinese attempts to seize islands clearly within its exclusion zone and the hope is that US military presence will help deter that. Also naval upgrades are underway to service US ships.
North/South Korea –
Putin and Kim Jong-un met at the Vostochny Cosmodrome. Kim was very interested in the missile technology.
NK also fired an unspecified ballistic missile toward East Sea - South Korean military
OBSERVATION - putin is desperate for ammo sources comparable with his systems. Kim has a boat load - though reliability is highly questionable. Also continued rumors that putin wants NK troops on/near the battle lines, possibly the Russian / Ukraine border to free up Russian forces there for the fight in the east and south.
Japan –
Japan’s military said six Chinese destroyers and two Chinese frigates were spotted on Monday morning close to Japan and monitored as they sailed southeast between the Japanese islands of Okinawa and Miyako into the Pacific Ocean.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated August 6, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces are increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Russian attempt at launching a counter offensive to take pressure off its southern and eastern fronts has sputtered out. Initially, reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv morphed into Russian assaults that initially gained some ground but was quickly reversed, due largely to poor coordination between units.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
NUCLEAR THREATS –
At least 5 trains suspected of transporting Russian nuclear warheads (or associated parts/components/equipment) have recently arrived in Belarus, to Baranovichi-Polesskiye and Luninets stations. 3 more trains are expected to Prudok in October/November.
Economic Impact –
Four Russian regions in the first half of 2023 faced a double-digit drop in tax revenues to local budgets. This data is provided by experts of the Gaidar Institute in their report on the financial condition of the Russian Federation’s regions.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 70’s with chances of scattered showers.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
It was a wild night with a lot of drone activity, and this round went soundly for Ukraine. Russia targeted the Odessa region, with 32 drones were shot down, there are also damage to port infrastructure, 7 person wounded.
Ukraine hit, using yet unspecified rockets, Russia’s main Black sea fleet shipbuilding and maintenance plant, SevMorZavod in Sevastopol. Russia claims to have taken down 7 of 10 missiles, but that may be propaganda as substantial damage was caused to the dry dock facility there. And bonus - The Russian MOD confirmed that two ships undergoing repairs at the Sevastopol Shipyard drydocks were damaged in a Ukrainian strike this morning. According to Russian media sources the Ropucha Class Landing Ship “Minsk” and the “Rostov-on-Don”, a Kilo Class submarine, were damaged.
History - the Minsk was damaged over a month ago by a seaborne Ukraine drone. The strike on the “Rostov-on-Don” is actually a bigger matter as it is (was) an improved Kilo class sub capable of launching Kaliber missiles. Russia has only 4 such subs in the Black Sea and this attack reduced that capability by 25%.
Morning assessment is that the dry dock facilities are pretty much shredded out and will be unusable for a considerable time. The extent and success of the attack has placed Russia’s entire port facilities under the gun. As a major port repair facility, Russia’s ability to service its Black Sea fleet has suffered a serious blow.
Tokmak Axis -.
Ukrainian defense forces have partial success near Robotyne Further reports of significant Russian counter attacks that have failed to dislodge Ukraine forces.
Bakhmut Axis -
S of Bakhmut, Ukraine forces are currently sweeping Klishchiivka of Russian forces and it is expected the General Staff will announce its liberation shortly. This places remaining Russian forces in Bakhmut in increasing peril.
Russian Territory –
Explosions and fire near the Ostankino Tower in Moscow .
Cellular connection equipment was damaged as result of arson attack in St.Petersburg, suspect detained.
OUTLOOK –
While the war on the ground grinds on with continued measured Ukrainian success, the overnight strike on the Sevastopol naval facilities was the culmination of a number of Ukrainian strategic attacks that has created a big blind spot in the Russian defense network for Crimea. Though seemingly small - Ukraine has picked apart Russian radar defenses and the main S400 missile defense set up along the coast. Building upon the recapture of Snake island last year - Ukraine seizing its oil platforms has been critical in further blinding Russian intelligence / early warning assets in the Black Sea.
Successful Ukrainian attacks earlier this year have forced Russian naval assets bo move southward to the Sevastopol base to try to get out of range of Ukrainian assets. now Russian faces a new, dire decision - expend a lot of resources to bolster air defense around Sevastopol as well as other regions in Crimea - against increasingly effective Ukrainian attacks or pull back its assets further to the east to ports in Russia. These ports have been shown not to be immune to Ukrainian sea drone attacks.
Threats to primary Russian sea launched missile assets and operational areas are now even more serious. Should Ukraine arm the oil platforms with adequate ADA assets as well as their Neptune anti ship missiles, operational areas that were favorable to Russia will be denied.
Russia is clearly losing this war. On the ground, in the air and now definitely in the Black Sea.
Europe / NATO General –
From 10 a.m. on September 13, Estonia prohibits the entry into the country of vehicles with license plates of the Russian Federation. Information was officially confirmed by the Estonian Foreign Ministry
Iran –
State dept says the US will be watching the Iranian funds transferred to Qatar closely to make sure they are only spent on humanitarian goods and will “have the ability to freeze them again if we need to.”
Iranian leadership has come out and said they will spend the money as they see fit and not according to ‘humanitarian” reasons.
OBSERVATION - This whole payment scheme only declares US weakness that Iran will exploit. They haven’t honored their word in the past and there is not reason not to doubt their statements that this 6 billion will only be used for humanitarian purposes.
Iraq -
Iraq FM is expected to visit Iran tomorrow on Wednesday as the deadline on the implementation of the Baghdad-Tehran security agreement on Iraqi Kurdistan region nears. Iraq FM will visit Iran tomorrow on Wednesday. Bilateral relations, regional and int’l issues are expected to be discussed in his visit to Tehran. The visit transpires as September 19 deadline regarding Tehran-Baghdad security agreement on Iraqi Kurdistan region looms
OBSERVATION - Iranian influenced Iraqi govt is drawing closer to cooperation because the US is losing influence in the region.
Armenia/Azerbaijan –
The Azerbaijani Armed Forces opened fire using small arms at Armenian positions located in the Srashen sector (Syunik region), reports the Armenian Ministry of Defense.
OBSERVATION - These kinds of skirmishes have been on and off over the past several weeks now.
Misc of Note –
Midweek and a direct U.S. landfall from Hurricane Lee is not expected as of the latest National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory and instead, the forecast calls for Lee to hit Canada (and possibly Maine). But on Monday, land was included in Lee’s forecast cone for the first time in the storm’s history.
Lee is anticipated to shift towards the north-northwest later today. This will be followed by a northward turn and an acceleration in its speed on Thursday and Friday, September 14 and 15. Based on current projections, the hurricane’s center will bypass Bermuda to the west on Thursday and Thursday night. By the end of the week, it is expected to approach the coastlines of New England or Atlantic Canada.
While some weakening of the hurricane is forecasted over the next few days, Lee is projected to remain a large and dangerous hurricane into the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend up to 185 km (115 miles) from its center, with tropical storm-force winds reaching out to 390 km (240 miles).
OBSERVATION - Keep situationally alert as things can change in short order.