No Demography is not destiny ... not at least for the next 30 years... Arousing 10-20 percent of the 50 million AMERICANS who did not vote in 2008 is the answer that you chose to ignore... again and again ...
Allowing true / actual Conservatives to rise to the fore in Republican Presidential nominations is the answer... and that excludes most of the ‘chosen’ few that the RNC would love to see run...
I say again - if the Republicans keep slapping down the 40% of American voters - CALLED CONSERVATIVES then they will become a NON PARTY... and currently the ELITIST REPUBLICANS are doing just that ... and will not stop.
For the 2012 Elections - courting Hispanics and Blacks is a WASTE of time that the Republican Party should just GET OVER.
I am not ignoring anything. The demographic changes that have happened over the last 40 years have electoral consequences. In 1970, one in 21 was foreign born in this country. Hispanics made up 1% to 2% of the population. Today, one in 8 is foreign born and 16% of the population is Hispanic. Add the 14% black population and the 5% Asian population and you have a growing Democrat constituency that supports the welfare state.
I provided you the data from the 25 largest counties in America that show how Reps are losing power and influence over the past 10 years. Your mythological 50 million conservative whites who did not vote in 2008 are not going to save the day. 130 million Americans voted in 2008 compared to 120 million in 2004. Obama received 10 million more votes than Kerry in 2004 and McCain 3 million less than Bush in 2004.
You are in a state of denial about the demographic impact that immigration and minority birth rates are having on the electoral process. The Census Bureau states, "The non-Hispanic, single-race white population is projected to be only slightly larger in 2050 (203.3 million) than in 2008 (199.8 million). In fact, this group is projected to lose population in the 2030s and 2040s and comprise 46 percent of the total population in 2050, down from 66 percent in 2008." We don't have 20 to 30 years to regain control of this country.
Allowing true / actual Conservatives to rise to the fore in Republican Presidential nominations is the answer... and that excludes most of the ‘chosen’ few that the RNC would love to see run...
It is not a matter of allowing. Unless the Conservatives can muster the votes and influence, that is not going to happen. The 2010 election results should have sent a clear signal to the Republican establishment, especially the Tea Party movement, which I am deeply involved in here in VA. If the GOP establishment fails to get the message, there will be a third party movement. Conservatives are not going to hold their noses to vote for some one who does not represent their values. A third party movement will more than likely guarantee a victory for the Dems in the short term at least.
For the 2012 Elections - courting Hispanics and Blacks is a WASTE of time that the Republican Party should just GET OVER
Couldn't agree more. I have been telling Reps from Cantor to local GOP functionaries that we should be going after white, blue collar workers. Conservatives have a golden opportunity to take advantage of the Democrat’s abandonment of the American worker. By increasing the supply of labor between 1980 and 2000, immigration reduced the average annual earnings of native-born men by an estimated $1,700 or roughly 4 percent. Among natives without a high school education, who roughly correspond to the poorest tenth of the workforce, the estimated impact was even larger, reducing their wages by 7.4 percent. Conservatives need to target blue collar Democrats using immigration as a wedge issue. American jobs for American workers.
Instead, both parties are controlled by corporate elites. They have become disconnected from most of the the electorate.
Heavily Democratic minority voters (80 percent for Obama) increased their share of votes in U.S. presidential elections by 11 percentage points between 1988 and 2008, while the share of increasingly Democratic white college graduate voters rose 4 points. But the share of white working-class (not college-educated) voters, who have remained conservative in their orientation, has plummeted by 15 points.
That’s a pattern that’s repeated in state after state, helping send those states in a Democratic direction. In Pennsylvania, for example, the white working class declined by 25 points between 1988 and 2008, while white college graduates increased by 16 points and minorities by 8 points. And in Nevada, the white working class is down 24 points over the same time period, while minority voters are up an amazing 19 points and white college graduates by 4 points.
These trends will continue, and the United States will be majority-minority nation by 2042. By 2050, the country will be 54 percent minority as Latinos double from 15 percent to 30 percent of the population, Asian Americans increase from 5 percent to 9 percent, and African Americans move from 14 to 15 percent.
Other demographic trends accentuate Democrats’ advantage. The Millennial generation (those born between 1978 and 2000) is adding 4 million eligible voters to the voting pool every year, and this group voted for Obama by a stunning 66-32 margin in 2008. By 2020—the first presidential election in which all Millennials will have reached voting age—this generation will be 103 million strong, and about 90 million of them will be eligible voters. Those 90 million Millennial eligible voters will represent just under 40 percent of America’s total eligible voters.
Professionals are now the most Democratic and fastest-growing occupational group in the United States, and they are a huge chunk of the burgeoning white college graduate population. They gave Obama an estimated 68 percent of their vote in 2008. By the middle of this decade, professionals will account for around one in five American workers.
Democrats also generally do better among women than men, and they do particularly well among growing female subgroups such as the unmarried and the college educated. Seventy percent of unmarried women voted for Obama, and an estimated 65 percent of college-educated women supported him. Unmarried women are now 47 percent, or almost half, of adult women, up from 38 percent in 1970, and college-educated women are an especially rapidly growing population. Their numbers have more than have tripled in recent decades, from just 8 percent of the 25-and-older female population in 1970 to 28 percent today.
Finally, growing religious diversity favors Democrats as well, especially rapid increases among the unaffiliated (75 percent of whom voted for Obama). Unaffiliated or secular voters—not white evangelical Protestants—are the fastest-growing “religious” group in the United States. The percentage of adults reporting no religious affiliation almost tripled from 1944 to 2004, rising from 5 percent to 14 percent. Projections indicate that by 2024, 20 percent to 25 percent of U.S. adults will be unaffiliated.
This trend—combined with growth among non-Christian faiths and race-ethnic trends—will ensure that by the 2016 election (or 2020 at the outside) the United States will have ceased to be a white Christian nation. Looking even farther down the road, white Christians will be only around 35 percent of the population by 2040, and conservative white Christians, who have been such a critical part of the Republican base, will be only about a third of that—a minority within a minority.