Posted on 04/29/2024 8:37:24 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
In 2016 our polling location was at the church we attend.....when we walked out a poster tried to ask us exit poll questions. My 1st thought was “how do I know what your gonna do with my answers?” ......I declined and kept walking....ersonally, I found it very uncomfortable
That was the 1st and last time that has ever happened to me.
“The election will tell us the winner.”
They will tell us after the “election” who the official “winner” is.
I was paying attention to that monthly Harvard poll until about January when they panicked after Kennedy hit 20% and the next month Biden started suddenly going up and RFK Jr going down.
If the cheat and successfully steal it again, will it be legal to object?
—
That would be a big no no, spoken at the risk of being shot on sight.
I knew about it months ago.
Had an idiot that the other day insist that war with Russia is really popular because of “all these polls”.
Gotta love it.
Ron DeSantis
@GovRonDeSantis
Florida’s response to Joe Biden trying to inject gender ideology into education, undermining opportunities for girls and women, violating parents’ rights, and abusing his constitutional authority:
“We will not comply!”
Doesn’t matter if they’re cheating or not (they are). The democrats have violated their oath and are violating the law and are overseeing a literal invasion of this counter of people they are bribing with money and encouraging to vote illegally.
I respectfully disagree. The left's vote cheating may not show up in polls, but they show up in gas prices. The fact that Biden's handlers aren't working to bring gas prices down tells me that they're confident in their ability to win by cheat.
1. Polls are all biased. An unbiased poll is something of a work of art and they're difficult and expensive to prepare. Professional researchers allow for this in the analysis section, which is also expensive.
2. Polls are merchandise. They're something prepared for money sold to somebody who pays for them. If you're getting them for "free", meaning somebody else is paying for them, then that somebody is trying to sell you something.
3. Polls can be descriptive or normative, but not both. The cost for using them to influence behavior is that the results no longer work as objective descriptions. Political staffs tend to forget this and take their push polls' results seriously. It results in nasty surprises.
4. Polls are transient. They are a snapshot of answers given at a specific time and the longer it takes to gather and analyze the results, the bigger the error bars.
5. Online polls are worthless.
6. Polls about sexual behavior are worthless. Polls of teenagers concerning sexual behavior are hilariously worthless.
7. Polls whose answers may get the respondents in trouble with the law are worthless.
8. There is no such thing as anonymity.
9. Never confuse polls and data analytics. (Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign made that mistake). Past behavior is only an indirect predictor of future performance.
10. The best, most up-to-date, most accurate (and most expensive) political polls are not shared with the public because campaign staffs are planning tactics on their basis. These are termed internal polls. If you see them and you're not a campaign wonk, they're bogus.
I do not intend this to disparage polling at all - it's simply that like most things in politics it isn't quite what it appears to be. All IMHO, of course.
No. But it will be time for CW2
Yes, but can’t we un-skew the polls?
So true. What do you think of Nate Silver, since he does the latter?
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