Free Republic

Link only...Bloomberg is fussy about copyright issues.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUsy6rtDfHQ

As I said, predicting a VP choice is nearly impossible until the last minute because the situation is fluid. A candidate might need some help in a key state, based on current polling. Or the opponent might open up a new line of attack that needs a defense. A lot can change in a few weeks. But as of today, and according to the Master Persuader filter, I put the odds at 90% than Trump picks Brown as his running mate.

Here’s how Hillary Clinton plans to beat Donald Trump: She will replay the very successful 1964 campaign against Barry Goldwater. That is, she will scare the bejeezus out of Americans by describing Trump as a “loose cannon,” someone who cannot be trusted with America’s nuclear arsenal. At the same time, she will convince Republicans, alarmed at the prospect of a Goldwater-scale defeat, that backing her is the sensible choice. Her surrogates in the media are already spreading this narrative, which may prove as empty as Clinton’s record as secretary of state. Goldwater was the conservative presidential candidate who went down...

Bond guru Jeff Gundlach trusts his instincts when it comes to his investments. Now he has a prediction about the presidential race: Donald Trump will win. The CEO of DoubleLine, which manages $84 billion for clients, told CNBC he's apolitical but said, "I think it's important for investors to deal with reality."In fact, he said the presumptive Republican presidential nominee is just like another man many in the GOP idolize: former President Ronald Reagan. "Reagan was a debt-based economic guy and I think Trump will be," Gundlach noted. "It will probably look like it's working at first. The question is,...

Polling begun and completed after the March 10 debate shows radical changes in Ohio and Illinois ahead of their March 15 primaries. In both primaries, Ted Cruz is surging, on the strength of a strong debate performance. In Ohio, a winner take all primary with 66 delegates on the line, the latest poll by CBS, conducted from March 9-11, shows Trump and Kasich tied at 33% each with Ted Cruz surging to 27% up from his pre-debate showing of 19%. Easy to dismiss as an outlier? Not if you also look at CBS' Illinois poll that has Trump leading by...

Back in late 2014, Bill Kristol foresaw that Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky wouldn’t get very far in the forthcoming Republican primary season. He also forecast that Jeb Bush, then the presumed Republican front-runner, would struggle to secure the nomination. He was correct in both instances. This is newsworthy in the same sense that a man biting a dog is newsworthy. It’s an unusual, even aberrant event, a violation of the usual order of things. Kristol, 63, the eminent conservative commentator, has made so many wrong predictions that he’s become a kind of cult figure of wrong, at least among...

Republican strategist Karl Rove said Friday that the Republican Party will lose the White House and many seats in Congress if Donald Trump wins the presidential nomination. “If Mr. Trump is its standard-bearer, the GOP will lose the White House and the Senate, and its majority in the House will fall dramatically,” Rove wrote in an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal. Rove also said that Republicans will lose the White House if Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) becomes the nominee. “If the nominee is Ted Cruz the situation is still dicey,” he wrote. Rove said that all of the Republican...

Let's make our predictions for who wins the GOP caucus in Iowa. Name at least the candidate you think will win and by how much you think they will win.

Hong Kong (CNN)If Donald Trump believes his victory is written in the stars, he may just be right. With the Year of the Monkey and the New Hampshire primary upon us, CNN asked Hong Kong fortune teller Priscilla Lam to divine the fates of the candidates battling it out for the U.S. presidency. A practitioner of feng shui, the ancient Chinese system of summoning good luck, she combined the art of face reading with analysis of the candidates' birthdays and current life cycles according to the Chinese Zodiac. She says the new lunar year will fuel good fortune for "earth...

The 2016 predictions are starting to look very good for Donald Trump, with a growing number of political pundits seeing the Republican front-runner as having a very good -- or even the best -- chance at winning the presidential election. Trump took over the lead in Republican polls this summer and has held onto it through a series of controversies, including a call to ban all non-U.S. Muslims from entering the country. Through all that, his lead has actually grown, and as the calendar turns to 2016, he has started to put rivals Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio in his...

Donald Trump will win the GOP presidential nomination and pick Mike Huckabee as his running mate. The FBI will file criminal charges related to Hillary Clinton's use of a home-brew email server as secretary of state. ... One Iowa Republican offered a quasi-apocalyptic prediction: "The Beltway chattering class gets back from the holidays and the first week of January they are in meltdown panic mode with one question: What in the world are we going to do with Trump? Until now he's been an illusion. He's been off their radar. Why? Name one presidential candidate who has spent less time...

It has been an incredible year loaded with surprises but I think that the next few years will surprise even more. Whenever I feel certain about something coming, I ‘m glad to put it in print. In 2004, I had successfully forecast many economic events such as the housing bubble popping and the credit crisis among other events. Current economic conditions and political outcomes have laid the groundwork for more events that we should be prepared for. All of these events combine to create a “Financial Vortex” that will hit us in the coming years. First of all, be aware...

Let's recap my 2008 Predictions National/Political: >Rudy Guiliani/Haley Barbour will defeat Hillary Clinton/Bill Richardson in November 52-47-1 WRONG >Republicans will take back the House; Net -2 in the Senate. WRONG >Bush will pardon Scooter Libby, Ramos and Campeon Christmas eve 2008. TBD World: >The US will hit Iran nuclear program hard causing the regime to fall in Tehran. WRONG >Israel and Hezbollah will take the gloves off in 2008, by early spring. WRONG >Major upheavals in North Korea. Upheavals, yes - Major, unknown >OBL will be declared dead by 01/31/08. WRONG >Terrorist attack in Europe, probably italy. WRONG >More details...

I predict that I will try to lose weight and get into better physical shape in 2008.

"A time for choosing: It appears that a significant number of our members are so disgusted with the GOP's failure to secure our borders against illegal aliens that they are willing to risk all by voting them out of office, even if it means Pelosi, Reid, Hillary, et al, are allowed to take charge. Is this the best course of action or should we be working harder than ever to hold the line and actually try to make a difference by getting more constitutionally-minded conservatives elected? Are you willing to give it all up or are you more determined than...

News/Current events: US will balk at military actions in Iran, but Israel will strike the nuclear facilities by October. Israel will be at war with Syria by November. OBL and Zarahiri will be officially listed as dead by the US by June. John McCain will be considered the front runner by this time next year. Bush's popularity will be about 48% by this time next year. The Democrats in the new congress will be about the same. Scooter Libby will have all charges dropped against him. No terror attacks on US soil. I think one will happen against US interest...

ISAAC ASIMOVAssuming we haven't destroyed ourselves in a nuclear war, there will be 8-10 billion of us on this planet—and widespread hunger. These troubles can be traced back to President Ronald Reagan who smiled and waved too much. GREGORY BENFORD YOUR FUTURE AND WELCOME TO IT … 25 years from now. World population stands at nearly 8 billion. The Dow-Jones Industrial Average stands at 8,400, but the dollar is worth a third of today's. Oil is running out, but shale-extracted oil is getting cheaper. The real shortage in much of the world is…water. Most Americans are barely literate, think in...

Sterling has fallen sharply against the dollar as yet more bad economic data points towards a prolonged recession and further interest rate cuts. The pound was down 5.2 cents to $1.486, its largest one day fall in percentage terms since sterling crashed out of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) in 1992. Sharp falls in the FTSE 100 index - down 5.2% on Monday - also served to undermine the currency. The pound was also down 3.5 cents against the euro, at 0.851 pounds. The poor economic data increases the likelihood that the Bank of England will cut interest rates on...

http://www.portfolio.com/views/columns/economics/2007/12/17/Why-Oil-Prices-Will-Drop