Free Republic

Make me a promise? Don’t look at the polls. Don’t believe the polls. We’ve got to make this election #TooBigToRig and the only way to do that is to think we are coming from behind.

"Crucial takeaway in new poll showing why polls will continue to be an issue: "only 37 % of @realDonaldTrump voters would want their friends and family to know how they had voted while 74 % of @JoeBiden supporters are comfortable with it being known"

How bad is the tension getting out there on the streets these days in the midst of all of the unrest, protests and rioting? According to a new survey from Rasmussen Reports, more than one-third of likely voters in America believe that a second civil war is likely within in the next five years. As depressing as that may sound, it’s an uptick from people who felt that way in recent years. And unsurprisingly, there are marked differences in the crosstabs as to who is more likely to feel that away along both party affiliation and racial lines. Considering...

PRESIDENT Trump is losing the women's vote to Joe Biden by a historic margin that has not been seen in more than 50 years, according to new research. Biden is leading Trump among female registered voters by 59 percent to 35 percent, polling compiled by The New York Times reveals.

Washington(CNN) President Donald Trump's campaign is demanding CNN retract and apologize for a recent poll that showed him well behind presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. The demand, coming in the form of a cease and desist letter to CNN President Jeff Zucker, was immediately rejected by the network.

It appears that America is in for another long night of Election Day results pouring in to declare a presidential winner in what is a tight race. The latest Zogby Poll said that President Trump is tied with Democrat Joe Biden at 46% each. Some 8% remain unsure of who to vote for.--- Election polls have so far been all over the map with some giving Biden a big advantage. Zogby’s surveys have shown the race to be closer, and he has Trump at a 48% approval rating in his survey of 1,007 likely voters. While many pollsters overweigh Democrats,...

PRESIDENT Donald Trump has a dramatically more enthusiastic voter fan base than Joe Biden, according to a new poll. But the presumptive Democratic nominee still leads, nationally, benefiting from a deep desire among his supporters to get Trump out of office. The national survey, conducted by SSRS for CNN, found that 7 in 10 Trump voters are voting to reelect the president primarily because they support Trump, with 27% saying their decision is a vote against Biden. The former vice president, meanwhile, has a less-devoted following, with 37% of Biden voters saying they plan to cast a pro-Biden vote, and...

A Twitter pal reminds me that John McLaughlin, the pollster who wrote the memo featured in Trump’s tweets below, was also hired by the campaign in June 2016 to help Trump develop a strategy to win, ah, New York State. So.“Trump is malignantly crazy about the bad poll numbers,” said a former White House official to Vanity Fair, quoted in a story that went live coincidentally right around the same time as these tweets. “He’s going to broom Kushner and [Brad] Parscale—the numbers are not getting better.” It’s not the public polling that’s bugging him, I’m sure, as he’s...

This weeks national polls: NBC/WSJ: Biden +7 ABC: Biden +10 Monmouth: Biden +11 Fox News: Biden +8 Before we start with the Hillary comparisons, running as a challenger for an open seat is fundamentally different than running for reeelection as an incumbent. Things can change but right now this is an easy win for Biden and the Senate will go Dem too.

Confounding media’s effort to blame him for riots. Despite the recent riots over police brutality, Rasmussen has indicated that black approval for the job President Trump is doing is now over 40%. “Our Daily Presidential Tracking poll today shows Black Likely Voter approval of the job @realDonaldTrump is now over 40%,” tweeted the polling agency. The full results of the poll are yet to be published, but the number suggests that the media’s campaign to frame Trump’s response to the riots as draconian and racist has completely failed. Our Daily Presidential Tracking poll today shows Black Likely Voter approval of...

With the 2020 election now less than five months away, polls show former Vice President Joe Biden pulling further ahead of President Donald Trump, even as the apparent Democratic nominee’s campaign remains hampered by the coronavirus. While Biden has outpaced Trump in most national polls since launching his White House bid in April 2019, the former vice president’s lead has widened significantly since last month, according to polling averages from RealClearPolitics. RCP’s average currently gives Biden a 7.8 percentage point lead over Trump — a significant jump from the 5.3-point edge Biden held in early May. On June 4, 2016,...

It’s been nearly half a century since a Democratic presidential candidate carried Texas. You have to go all the way back to Jimmy Carter in 1976. But a new poll in the Lone Star State suggests that Texans are split right now between President Trump and Democrat challenger Joe Biden, with five months to go until the November general election. According to a Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday, 44 percent of registered voters in Texas say they’d vote for the GOP incumbent if the election were held today, with 43 percent saying they’d support the former vice president and presumptive...

Project Veritas founder James O’Keefe taunted Democrats on Sunday and revealed he will be releasing the ‘first bombshell tape’ of the 2020 election this week. “You aren’t going to want to miss what we expose in 2020,” O’Keefe said reminding Americans that his undercover videos exposed “bird dogging” and other schemes cooked up by the Democrats to start fights at Trump’s rallies in 2016. O’Keefe released a teaser of his first undercover bombshell video exposing 2020 Democrats and it looks like Bernie Sanders will be O’Keefe’s first target based on hints in his vignette. In the teaser James is seen...

Just when the public needed the media to play it straight, the growing bias in the press let them down and made the coronavirus crisis “worse than it needed to be,” according to a new analysis. Already facing a substantial trust gap, the latest Gallup/Knight Foundation survey found that people in the United States were concerned about the media exaggerating the illness or downplaying how the crisis caused substantial harm.

...The New York based Zogby Poll and pollster Jonathan Zogby spelled out the problems Biden faces. In his analysis, he said, “On the national front, presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden received a 52% favorable/40% unfavorable rating. What's worrisome for Biden is he did not receive a majority favorable rating from younger voters aged 18-29 (45% favorable/47% unfavorable), white voters (48% favorable/45% unfavorable), suburban voters (48% favorable/45% unfavorable) and suburban women (49% favorable/42% unfavorable).”...

Despite a wave of critical news coverage and Democratic catcalls, President Trump sits at his “highest” approval in the latest Gallup survey, and above where four of the last six presidents, including Barack Obama and George W. Bush, were at this point of the first term.After two weeks of bad news on the coronavirus and economic front, Trump maintained his 49% approval rating, and his disapproval crept up just 1 point, to 48% in the Gallup survey of adults, a broad test.Gallup said that Trump’s approval is “tied for the best of his presidency.” From the Gallup Presidential Job...

A CNN poll published Wednesday shows President Trump with a seven-point lead over Joe Biden in several battleground states – but the network was accused of burying its own findings. A review of transcripts found that only one CNN program on Wednesday mentioned the poll of registered voters that indicating 52 percent favor Trump, as opposed to 45 percent for Biden, in key battleground states.

5/1 - 5/13 1028 A 49 48 +1 President Donald Trump's job approval ratings have also been higher in recent months, including 49% in the current survey, unchanged from the prior measure in late April and tied for the best of his presidency.

A RealClear Opinion Research survey of 2,122 registered voters shows that support for educational choice is strong, and that a significant portion of parents are more likely to pursue homeschooling opportunities after the lockdowns end. The results show that 40% of families are more likely to homeschool or virtual school after lockdowns, and that 64% support school choice and 69% support the federal Education Freedom Scholarships proposal. More Likely breakdowns: Age: 18-34: 44.9% 35-44: 40.8% 45-54: 35.3% Race & Ethnicity: White: 36.3% Black: 50.4% Hispanic: 38.2% Asian: 53.8% Party ID Democrat: 45.7% Republican: 42.3%