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It appears that Saxby Chambliss is going to have to have a runoff in Georgia for his Senate seat. Just heard John Kyl say that Obama is moving people and money into the state. Chambliss could be the difference in keeping the dems under 60 votes. If you can give $20-25 bucks to his campaign https://www.saxby.org/Contribute.aspx

Oregon return discussion thread.

Franken 208,357 44% Coleman (Incumbent) 190,986 40% 11% of precincts reporting

Some GOOD News for a change... Mary Landrieu is only 3000 votes ahead of her challenger!

SENATE PREDICTIONSELECTION DAY...FROM NOV 2008 election, here’s a list of the 35 Senate races. (including 33 regular and the MS & WY special elections)The GOP is defending 23 seats, and the Dems defend 12.THere are 65 Senate seats that are not up for election. The GOP starts with 26 carryover seats, and the Dems start with 39 (counting the 2 “independents” Lieberman-CT and Sanders-VT).I was way TOO OPTIMISTIC in the 2006 Midterms, so I am trying to be less optimistic this time...There are another 26 seats that appear SAFE, barring some major change of events over the next 50...

The Minnesota U.S. Senate race remains a tossup on the final weekend of the campaign, with the outcome likely to be decided by who can snatch away the most voters from third-party contender Dean Barkley. A new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll shows DFLer Al Franken clinging to a slim lead over Republican Sen. Norm Coleman among likely voters, 42 percent to 38 percent. That's within the poll's 4.1 percentage point margin of sampling error. Independence Party candidate Barkley, who held steady at 18 percent in the two previous Minnesota Polls, slipped three points to 15 percent. The fluid nature of...

Poll: Dole leads Senate race, but plenty still undecided Posted: 20 minutes ago Raleigh, N.C. — U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Dole is supported by many North Carolina voters that other Republican candidates haven't reached, according to a new WRAL News poll. Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. surveyed 800 likely voters statewide between last Wednesday and Friday and found Dole leads Democratic challenger Kay Hagan by 46 to 42 percent. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

<p>WASHINGTON (Legal Newsline) -- A Washington jury on Monday found U.S. Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska guilty of all seven corruption counts he was charged with over gifts he accepted from an oil industry contractor but failed to report.</p> <p>Jurors said Stevens, who is running for a seventh term, deliberately failed to disclose on mandatory Senate financial disclosure forms more than $250,000 in home renovations and other gifts from the oil company VECO and its chief executive officer, Bill Allen.</p>

Illinois political insiders say Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., who defended Barack Obama after his father famously threatened to castrate him, is the favorite to replace the Democratic nominee in the Senate. Jackson Jr. (D-Ill.) scolded his father, the Rev. Jesse Jackson, publicly after his comments were caught unexpectedly on tape before an interview with Fox News this summer.

Incumbent Democrat Tom Harkin continues to hold a solid lead over Republican challenger Chris Reed in Iowa's U.S. Senate race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Harkin leading 57% to 41%. Harkin has expanded his lead somewhat from late September,, when he led by 14 points. The senator has been well ahead since tracking of the race began in June. Harkin is seeking his fifth term in the Senate. In his last re-election bid, Harkin beat his Republican opponent, Greg Ganske, 54% to 44%. Reed is a Navy veteran and businessman. The race is noticeably close...

Former Gov. Jim Gilmore picked up the endorsements of two veterans groups today. Vets for Freedom and Iraqi Veterans Group said they are backing Gilmore's U.S. Senate campaign because of his military background and experience in fighting terrorism. Appearing with veterans at a news conference at the General Assembly Building, Gilmore said he supports the U.S. military's "don't ask, don't tell" policy, which allows gays and lesbians to serve in the military until their behavior becomes overt. Gilmore, a Republican, is running against Democrat Mark R. Warner, also a former governor, for the seat of Sen. John W. Warner, a...

WASHINGTON - New campaign finance reports show that DFL challenger Al Franken raised nearly twice as much money as Republican Sen. Norm Coleman. But Coleman still had a healthy advantage in cash going into the campaign's final weeks.

Senate Republicans are pulling advertising from the Louisiana Senate race, the only contest in which they were on the offense. The decision, reported by local media, is a blow to the GOP candidate, Louisiana state Treasurer John Kennedy, and good news for Sen. Mary Landrieu, long seen as the lone vulnerable Democratic senator in this cycle. Landrieu won election in 2002 with just 52 percent of the vote, and some believe the state has turned more Republican since Hurricane Katrina, which shrank the size of New Orleans. Still, Landrieu has been comfortably ahead in recent polls. She led by 13...

Last time we wrote this very article, it was 9/26/08. So, let’s take a look at whether any changes are in line. Revisions or changes will be in RED. Here is the Tracker –> Senate Race Table. (Our Methodology: We take the polling average of the 4 MOST RECENT polls and average them together to reach a real number of where the race is at, statistically. That prevents outliers from effecting our numbers too much and needlessly shifting races) We have listed THREE GUARANTEED DEM Pickups: Virginia, New Mexico, and Colorado. Out: Virginia, Senator John Warner and New Mexico Senator...

The slogan on the Morton Salt boxes is, "when it rains, it pours." For Republicans, the past few years must seem like monsoon season. On the presidential level, the Gallup national tracking polls have shown Sen. Barack Obama with 50, 51 or 52 percent in every three-day moving average since Oct. 4, with Sen. John McCain between 41 percent and 43 percent in every average over that same period. No presidential contender in modern times has successfully closed this wide a gap in this short a time. At this point, a major international event would be required to shift the...

Anyone who has been involved in a school yard fight knows the old rule, 2 against 1 will win every time. At tonight's debate Norm Coleman sat literally in the middle of Independent candidate Dean Barkley and Democrat Al Franken. He was eviscerated by both men. The most devastating moment came when one of the moderators asked, "What do you think is the greatest threat to our country"? The moderator went on to say it could be any threat, not just of the military kind. Al Franken went first and said the biggest threat was Al Qaeda, and that the...

A new SurveyUSA poll suggests Oregon's Senate race may be shifting in the direction of Democrat Jeff Merkley. The poll, broadcast on KATU's noon news, showed Merkley with 46 percent to 41 percent for Sen. Gordon Smith, R-Ore. Constitution Party candidate David Brownlow had 7 percent and the remaining 6 percent were undecided. The margin of error is 4.1 percentage points, plus or minus.

Minnesota Sen. Norm Coleman, locked in an increasingly tight and bitter election contest with Democrat Al Franken, said Friday that his campaign would halt negative advertising in a race recently dominated by it. Coleman, a Republican, said the unstable economy demands that the race focus on issues. He said he would also ask independent groups advertising on his behalf to pull negative ads, although by law they are not required to do so. "I decided I was not all that interested in returning to Washington for another six years based on the judgment of voters that I was not as...

Democrat Mark Udall still leads among Colorado's likely voters, but his Republican rival, Bob Schaffer, is narrowing the gap, according to a Denver Post poll. Udall, who had been up by as many as 10 percentage points in previous polls, is favored by 43 percent of registered voters surveyed, to Schaffer's 38 percent. But with 14 percent of respondents saying they haven't made up their minds less than a month before the election, it's clear the race is much tighter than it appeared to be over the summer, said Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling and Research.

FIGHT FOR JIM GILMORE By Dick Armey Dear Virginia Taxpayer, I know what it's like to fight for what you believe in. As a member of the U.S. House of Representatives for 18 years, and the Majority Leader from 1995 to 2002, I know it takes courage and dedication to stand up for working families and protect taxpayers who are facing an ever growing burden as a result of what's happening in Washington. There is always someone who believes bigger government and higher taxes are the answer to every problem, someone determined to take away more and more of...

Schumer rips Chamber of Commerce By J. Taylor Rushing Posted: 10/08/08 01:17 PM [ET] DSCC Chairman Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) came out swinging Wednesday against the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, saying the business lobby was no longer nonpartisan and “has turned into a wing” of the GOP. In a press conference at Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) headquarters, Schumer said the path and pattern of the contributions indicate that the Chamber is afraid of the Democrats winning the critical Senate threshold of 60 seats — a goal he said is within reach now more than ever. Democrats already have 51 seats...

The National Rifle Association has endorsed New Mexico congressional candidate Ed Tinsley. Tinsley is vying for the seat being vacated by Congressman Steve Pearce, who is running for the U.S. Senate. The Republican candidate is running against Hobbs businessman Harry Teague. The National Rifle Association awarded Tinsley an A rating, which means the candidate is solidly pro-gun. The A rating is usually reserved for incumbents. Teague received an A-Q rating, which means his rating is based solely on a questionnaire. The Tinsley campaign recently criticized Teague's position on the second amendment, citing an Albuquerque Journal interview where the Democrat was...

WINCHESTER — Taxpayers will pay now or later for the $700 billion financial bailout signed into law by President Bush last Friday. Former Gov. Jim Gilmore, a candidate for the Senate seat being vacated by fellow Republican John Warner, talks about the financial bailout package approved last week. He was interviewed Tuesday at The Winchester Star. (Photo by Jeff Taylor) That glum perspective was offered Tuesday by former Gov. Jim Gilmore, campaigning in Winchester for the Senate seat being vacated by fellow Republican John Warner, who is retiring after 30 years. Gilmore is running against his successor as governor, Democrat...

This is a very thin bulwark against an Obama/Lib rampage through America.

John Warner might vote for Democrat By MIKE ALLEN | 10/4/08 1:55 PM EDT Text Size: Retiring Sen. John W. Warner (R-Va.) beat his Democratic opponent, Mark R. Warner, by 6 percentage points in the Old Dominion’s “Warner vs. Warner” race of 1996. Now, he might cross party lines and vote for him. Mark Warner, who went on to become a popular governor, is running to succeed John Warner in the Senate. Mark Warner’s opponent is another former governor, James S. Gilmore III, a Republican who has received little support from the state’s power structure and lags by 26 points...

  October 3, 2008 For Immediate Release   THE CHOICE IS CLEAR: JIM GILMORE WHO FIGHTS FOR THE TAXPAYERS OR MARK WARNER WHO WILL FIGHT FOR THE HIGH ROLLERS ON WALL STREET Alexandria – Former Gov. Jim Gilmore, candidate for the Virginia U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Sen. John Warner, said today in a debate with Mark Warner on statewide television the choice for Virginia voters in the November 4th election is clear -- a U.S. Senator like Jim Gilmore who will fight for taxpayers and oppose federal government bailouts or a U.S. Senator like Mark Warner who...

Udall has 7�Point Lead in U.S. Senate Race In the latest Ciruli Associates statewide voter poll, conducted just prior to the September 26 presidential debate, the race in Colorado was deadlocked at 44 percent for Senator Barack Obama and 43 percent for Senator John McCain. Presidential Election Senate Election Mark Udall has a seven-point lead in the U.S. Senate race over Bob Schaffer, 45 percent to 38 percent. Senate Election Ciruli Associates, N501, 2008 Question: Let me ask you about the U.S. Senate race here in Colorado. If you had to vote today for U.S. Senator, would you vote for...

After months of showing the U.S. Senate race as a statistical dead heat, the latest SurveyUSA poll finds Norm Coleman with a solid 10-point lead. The incumbent draws support from 43 percent of respondents, with Democrat Al Franken trailing at 33 percent. Perhaps most notable, however, is the strong showing of Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley. Despite his late entry into the race and raising almost no money, Barkley garners support from 19 percent of those polled. Assessments of the IP candidate’s strength have varied widely in recent weeks. A pair of polls last month showed him in double digits,...

Rep. Mark Udall (D-Colo.) said Sunday that House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Charles Rangel (D-N.Y.) should step down from his chairmanship while an ethics investigation takes place. Questioned by host Tom Brokaw on NBC’s ‘Meet the Press’, Udall initially cited the ethics process and demurred. When pressed, though, he said that it would be “helpful” if Rangel stepped down. “I think it would be helpful if Charles Rangel stepped down,” Udall said.

Pledging support Despite Warner’s reluctance to talk about these issues, numerous gay Virginia residents have pledged their support to the candidate. About 60 people attending the Virginia Partisans barbecue last month showed their support by cheering Warner during his speech and urging him to pursue the White House. Warner focused on non-gay issues during his speech, but he briefly acknowledged gay Virginians. “I thank the GLBT community for their active support, and more importantly for their engagement in Virginia,” he said. Osborne, who hosted the barbecue at his home, said it could be problematic for Warner to bring gay issues...

I was in Crystal City, Virginia this morning driving along Jeff Davis Hwy. In the median were 3 campaign signs: McCain-Palin, Mark Warner, McCain-Palin. The Mark Warner sign was in-between the two McCain-Palin signs. The last name Warner is in big white letters with his first name very small and above the last name. They are doing this on purpose. Voters will see this and believe it to be John Warner, especially since it is mixed in with the McCain-Palin signs. Is there any way to stop this fraud?

In her new campaign commercial, U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu highlights the endorsement of St. Tammany Parish Sheriff Jack Strain. In the commercial, Strain touts Landrieu’s leadership and what she has delivered to the parish post-Katrina. The fact that a prominent Republican in the only Republican majority parish in the state is not endorsing the Republican candidate is quite telling. Strain is not alone either, for other Republican elected officials on the Northshore are also endorsing Landrieu. For example, St. Tammany Parish Assessor Patricia Schwartz Core and St. Tammany Parish President Kevin Davis are both supporting Landrieu. What makes matters even...

Mark Warner/Obama Like Plug and Play

During John McCain's speech at the Republican National Convention, he promised to veto the kind of me-first, country-second pork-barrel spending that many legislators have used to help keep themselves in office over the years. He vowed to make the names of such earmark gluttons famous—or infamous, as the case may be. Debbie Joslin, president of Eagle Forum Alaska and the state's Republican national committeewoman, stood among the throng at the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, Minn., and watched in amazement as her fellow representatives from Alaska cheered and hollered their approval—seemingly unaware that their party's U.S. Senate nominee Ted...

The Illinois Federation for Right to Life Political Action Committee (IFRL-PAC) is pleased to announce the endorsement of Steve Sauerberg Republican Candidate for the U. S. Senate in the general election to be held November 4, 2008. The foundation upon which our country was built is the protection of human life. The protection of unborn children in Illinois is of primary importance. If we do not restore and maintain the protection of the right to life for the weakest and most helpless members of our Society, we ourselves will become endangered. We are proud to announce our endorsement of Steve...

INCREASED OIL/GAS PRODUCTION ANWR Development · Increasing domestic oil production from the vast reserves of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) is a solid first step towards making American energy independent; the Department of the Interior estimates ANWR has between 10 to 18 billion barrels of oil. · ANWR is unique among potential energy solutions in that the cost for its development would be met by private industry. · The development of ANWR would foster immediate job growth around the country; estimates show that in Virginia alone between 3000 and almost 7000 jobs would be created. Offshore Drilling · We...

HARRISONBURG - Former Gov. Jim Gilmore, a Republican, is not ready to support the Bush administration's proposed $700 billion bailout of America's troubled financial institutions. Gilmore, seeking the seat now held by retiring Sen. John Warner, R-Va., said accountability has to be built into any plan to rescue such firms as insurance giant American International Group Inc. and other lenders saddled with billions of dollars in bad debt. Gilmore, who was in Harrisonburg on Monday to address the Rotary Club, made his remarks with six weeks to go before Election Day. Gilmore is facing another former governor, Mark Warner, on...

The U.S. Senate race in Colorado has gotten even closer over the past month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state now finds Democrat Mark Udall with a modest 46% to 44% edge over Republican Bob Schaffer. In August, Udall led the race by a 48% to 41% margin. The gap has steadily decreased since Udall’s biggest lead in mid-June. The two men are competing to replace retiring Republican Senator Wayne Allard. Though his lead overall has slipped, Udall is still ahead 47% to 34% among unaffiliated voters. He also leads 50% to 39% among women. Schaffer has...

Incumbent Republican Senator John Sununu can breathe a little easier in New Hampshire if the numbers keep trending his way in his rematch race against former Governor Jeanne Shaheen. Sununu, viewed until recently as perhaps the GOP’s most endangered senator, now leads Shaheen 52% to 45%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state. A month ago Sununu was down by 10, but in July the volatile Senate race was a five-point affair. In June Shaheen had her largest lead ever.

SANTA FE — The New Mexico Secretary of State's Office can't seem to avoid controversy in choosing a new Bureau of Elections director. Just three weeks after the office's previous choice, the son-in-law of Democratic Rep. and U.S. Senate candidate Tom Udall, declined the job amidst a flurry of criticism, the new pick for the post has come under similar fire. Gerald Gonzalez, a Santa Fe attorney, also has connections to Udall, having worked for the congressman while Udall was New Mexico attorney general from 1995 to 1998 and later serving as Udall's chief of staff during his first term...

When choosing who to support in politics, different people have various standards. Some are single issue voters and won’t cast a ballot for a candidate who disagrees with them on a specific issue, such as eliminating secret ballot elections. Others choose a candidate based on specific areas of concern, like national security or fiscal responsibility. And still others may seek out candidates they believe most closely shares their values. This weekend, liberal, Hollywood Democrats are choosing to support the candidates they believe most closely represent their values. This Saturday, the Hollywood crowd is hosting a fundraiser for like-minded Senate candidates...

Colorado is turning purple because of migration. There have been other, longer explanations for why traditionally Republican Colorado is in play this election. Real Clear Politics has all the numbers. Ryan Lizza in the New Yorker has a good article on the ascendance of Democratic politicians in the state. Christopher Beam does the same fine job of parsing the politics of the state on Slate. But migration tells a better story. Colorado hasn't become what Stuart Rothenberg calls the most important state in November because of what politicians have or have not done or because of a new array of...

In an election for United States Senator from South Carolina held today, incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham is elected to his second term, according to this latest WCSC-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Today, it’s Graham 54%, Democrat Bob Conley 40%. Among men, Graham leads by 8 points; among women, Graham leads by 18. Graham leads by 8 points among voters age 18 to 49, by 19 points among voters 50+. Graham leads by 23 points Upstate, by 19 points in the Low Country. Graham ties with Conley, a commercial pilot and flight instructor, in the Midlands.

    Rally Tonight!     Join us tonight, September 24, for a rally withJack HoogendykCandidate for U.S. Senate  with special guestMichael P. FarrisChancellor of Patrick Henry College Founder and Chairman of Home School Legal Defense Association   6:00-7:00 p.m.  Oakland Hills Community Church 37150 W. 8 Mile Road, Farmington Hills, MI   48335 (1 mile east of I-275 just east of Newburgh St.)        Only $10 per family! Payable at the door. Credit card or personal check only.     AUTHORIZED AND PAID FOR BY JACK HOOGENDYK FOR US SENATE, PO BOX 10051 LANSING MI 48901    

The leading pro-abortion group Emily's List sent out an email on Tuesday to its donors naming the top seven Congressional races for them to get involved with their donations. The races cover states across the country and some of the leading contests with a pro-life vs. pro-abortion contrast. On the Senate side, Emily's List touts pro-abortion New Hampshire candidate Jeanne Shaheen who is challenging pro-life Sen. John Sununu, called the most vulnerable incumbent by the Washington Post. "Shaheen needs $10 million to defeat Sununu and the GOP attack machine," the pro-abortion activist group says. Emily's List is hoping to have...

Norm Coleman continues to lead Al Franken,

  In case you missed it:   Don't do it Durbin's wayDennis ByrneSeptember 23, 2008 When the public's loathing of Congress is soaring, why is the re-election of Sen. Dick Durbin, an architect of that body's many disorders, thought to be a cinch? How low is Congress' job approval rating? While President George W. Bush's is a dismal 32 percent, according to RealClearPoli- tics.com, Congress' is an even more wretched 21 percent. As the Senate majority whip and second in command, Durbin can't escape blame. One can find many reasons why Durbin shouldn't be re-elected and his Republican rival...

The first Rasmussen Reports poll of South Carolina’s United State Senate race shows Republican Senator Lindsey Graham attracting 50% of the vote while Democratic challenger Bob Conley earns 41%. Graham, who was first elected to the Senate in 2002, is viewed favorably by 52% of the state’s voters. Thirty-eight percent (38%) have an unfavorable view. Before serving in the Senate, Graham had been a member of the House of Representatives from 1994 to 2002. Conley is viewed favorably by 42%, and unfavorably by 32%. Twenty-five percent (25%) have no opinion of him. Although he is running for the Senate as...

GILMORE TELLS WARNER TO BE HONEST WITH VIRGINIANS GILMORE TELLS WARNER TO BE HONEST WITH VIRGINIANSTells Mark Warner "Bipartisanship Is No Substitute for Honesty" Alexandria - Today, former Gov. Jim Gilmore, candidate for the Virginia U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Sen. John Warner took his opponent Mark Warner to task insisting it is time Mark Warner be honest with the people of Virginia. "Bipartisanship is no substitute for honesty," repeated Gilmore, when Mark Warner addressed issues of taxes, drilling for oil, and Warner's support for undermining Virginia's Right To Work Law. "What the people want, --Republicans, Democrats and...