Free Republic 4th Quarter Fundraising Target: $88,000 Receipts & Pledges to-date: $75,112
Woo hoo!! And now over 85%!! Less than $12.9k to go!! Thank you all very much!!

Posts by x

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Ted Cruz makes his move

    11/25/2015 2:21:21 PM PST · 18 of 28
    x to SmokingJoe
    I also pointed out that most winning GOP nominees have in fact won Iowa, including George W Bush. The point being, historically, the one that wins Iowa also wins the nomination, irrespective of Santorum and Huckabee.

    The comparison that makes sense is when there's an open race for the nomination. If there's an incumbent Republican President, that's who's most likely to win the caucus and the nomination.

    Six open races since 1976. Two caucus winners went on to win the nomination (Dole 1996, Bush 2000). Four didn't (Bush 1980, Dole 1988, Huckabee 2008, Santorum, 2012).

    Of course, Dole was from a neighboring state and that probably helped him win Iowa, but it doesn't look like the state is that great a predictor of who will win the nomination.

  • University Students Comforted with ‘Counseling’ after Seeing Confederate Flag on Laptop

    11/25/2015 1:24:35 PM PST · 65 of 100
    x to lowbridge; rockrr; raccoonradio; DoodleDawg
    University students in Massachusetts who were upset by an image of a Confederate flag sticker on another student's laptop were offered counseling services at Framingham State University.

    It could have been a reference to the bitter conflict between Framingham North HS and Framingham South HS, but they were merged some years back.

    The Union Army was there just last month.

    I think they caught the kid who did it:

    Then much jollity:

    What is it with these kids nowadays and their crazy newfangled hoop skirts and crinolines?

  • Cancer Loves Sugar CBS 60 Minutes April 2012

    11/24/2015 4:52:44 PM PST · 99 of 155
    x to WhiskeyX
    Cancer loves broadcast network TV.

    (I think it's the x-rays or something).

  • Mayor Mike Rawlings admits he’s more afraid of white terrorists than Syrian refugees (Dallas)

    11/24/2015 4:50:00 PM PST · 40 of 41
    x to 2ndDivisionVet
    We were better off before everybody started getting stuff off the Internet.

    Politicians would say stupid things, but at least they'd be original or homegrown or wacky.

    Now they're just repeating stupid stuff somebody else said.

  • Mayor Mike Rawlings admits he’s more afraid of white terrorists than Syrian refugees (Dallas)

    11/24/2015 4:46:55 PM PST · 39 of 41
    x to ManHunter
    The fact that Oklahoma City had one of the highest populations of expatriate Iraqis in the country was irrelevant.

    People say that when they advance conspiracy theories, but is it really true?

    Oklahoma City isn't one of the top ten cities for Iraq-born residents, and Oklahoma isn't among the top ten states.

  • Trump's Appeal as American as Andrew Jackson

    11/24/2015 4:25:33 PM PST · 23 of 26
    x to freddy005
    Historian Walter Russell Mead once wrote a memorable essay on the Jacksonianism that, so many years later, serves as a very rough guide to the anti-PC and fiercely nationalistic populism of the 2016 Trump campaign.

    Mead originally presented "Jacksonianism" as a counterpole to "Jeffersonianism," "Hamiltonianism," and "Wilsonianism" in foreign policy: "Jacksonians" were nationalistic, populist, and unilateralist in contrast to isolationist Jeffersonians, materialistic Hamiltonians or idealistic, internationalist Wilsonians. When the terminology caught on he started to apply it to other aspects of American politics. Few administrations fit neatly into just one category, and just how much his terminology has to do with the real, historical Andrew Jackson would take a little effort to sort out.

  • Why Does Official Washington So Hate Trump?

    11/24/2015 4:15:21 PM PST · 30 of 45
    x to baltiless


  • Why Donald Trump may think he saw people cheering on 9/11

    11/24/2015 2:24:06 PM PST · 97 of 136
    x to SeekAndFind
    He didn't "see" it and there weren't "thousands and thousands" but he's just repeating what the mainstream media was reporting on 9/11/2001.

    I remember the TV news reports, and a lot of other people do too, but I don't recall any video of celebrations in New Jersey, though there was plenty from overseas. It would have been easy to get the location mixed up, given what the networks were saying and showing.

    As to whether it happened or not, that's harder to say. You can't prove a negative and there are people in Paterson, who claim to have seen such celebrations, not large scale and not likely to attrack major attention, but still happening.

    It's like people telling you that no Vietnam veteran was ever spat on. Not one? Not ever? When people remember incidents clearly? It's may be be hard to prove it happened, but it's impossible to prove it never happened.

    If this wasn't a "gaffe" it's brilliant on Trump's part, making the media who attack him the guilty partner responsible for comments that they usually object to.

  • Exposed: Obama’s Love for Jihadis and Hate for Christians

    11/24/2015 1:45:37 PM PST · 28 of 32
    x to detective
    So there are absolutely no secular moderates in the country?

    Between what you think you know, and what the reported facts are, I'm going to go with the facts.

    I'm not saying we should let them into the US (we shouldn't) or that they're a very strong force in region, but we should at least try to find out what's actually going on over there, rather than just rely on what we think we already know.

  • Exposed: Obama’s Love for Jihadis and Hate for Christians

    11/24/2015 1:18:59 PM PST · 23 of 32
    x to detective
    "how are Sunnis "refugees"? Who are they fleeing? Considering that the Obama administration defines refugees as people "persecuted by their government," most of those coming into the U.S. either aided or at least sympathized with the jihad against Assad (even if they only revealed their true colors when the time was right)."

    There are plenty of different factions in Syria. Not all of those in the majority Sunni community who opposed Assad sympathize with a religiously-motivated jihad against him. I'm not sure how that should affect our refugee policy, but you should get up to speed on the various factions.

  • Coincidence? (vanity)

    11/23/2015 3:07:07 PM PST · 18 of 32
    x to MeshugeMikey
    1609 - Expulsion order announced against the Moriscos of Valencia; beginning of the expulsion of all Spain's Moriscos.

    1649 - Massacre of Drogheda, Ireland - Oliver Cromwell kills 3,000 royalists

    1973 - Chile's President Salvador Allende deposed in a military coup

    Much much more

  • The Most Important Film of All Time: 26.6 Seconds by Abraham Zapruder

    11/23/2015 2:51:14 PM PST · 42 of 54
    x to Borges
    Everything changed in the aftermath of that moment -- captured in frame 313 of Zapruder's home movie.

    Boomer arrogance? Laziness?

    What actually changed?

    And what did the film clip do or cause?

  • WHAT NO ONE SEEMS TO KNOW about Ted Cruz’s past.

    11/23/2015 2:02:35 PM PST · 52 of 53
    x to Old Retired Army Guy
    Maybe the truth about Cruz is going to come out. He is a Conservative Imposter. This guy graduated from Princeton and then Harvard Law School. His biggest contributors are Trial Lawyers and big Wall Street friends of his wife who is a Goldman Sachs Analyst. If you search his background you will find that his experiences are a direct contradiction to what he espouses in his speeches. In summary, Cruz is a Fraud !

    Law firms give his campaign contributions, but are they Trial Lawyers? That is to, say, are they the tort plaintiff's attorneys who get large rewards, or just firms that do a variety of work in a variety of fields for different clients?

    It is said that there's a discrepancy between lawyer Cruz who didn't see anything wrong with those big rewards to plaintiffs and politician Cruz who wants to limit them, but isn't it likely politician Cruz is the one who'd move into the White House if he gets elected?

    Finally, is it really likely that a complete outsider -- somebody wholly unconnected to the financial system and the global economy could even get into the Senate? Maybe the wise thing to do is to assume that they are all hooked into the system and proceed from there.

  • The French Way of War

    11/23/2015 1:48:35 PM PST · 34 of 42
    x to chajin
    In general, the former French colonies are much worse at running themselves than the former British colonies: places like Jamaica, Kenya, and Nigeria have problems, but Haiti, Ivory Coast, and Mali are all basically basket cases.

    Maybe. But Haiti broke loose very early on. They've been independent almost for as long as we have. Differences between English and French possessions might not have been as great then as they were later on.

  • ‘Black Lives Matter’ Activist Calls for Trump’s Assassination… IMMEDIATELY Pays the Price

    11/22/2015 1:48:17 PM PST · 28 of 31
    x to 2ndDivisionVet
    Will the "Black Justice League" join in?

    Or will it foil the plot?

  • WSJ Wrong on Cruz Again

    11/22/2015 1:44:50 PM PST · 17 of 32
    x to Isara
    [Reagan] He had not the slightest hesitation in vetoing a bill when he knew his veto was certain to be overridden, because it drew a contrast with his opponents.

    Because voters can rally around a president who's veto is overridden.

    A senator whose bills are always getting defeated or vetoed is more likely to be seen as wasting people's time.

    Presidents have a residual monarchical appeal with people that 1 out of 100 senators or 1 out of 435 congressmen doesn't.

  • To Pope Francis Christmas only a “charade”

    11/22/2015 1:12:09 PM PST · 23 of 43
    x to polymuser
    "During all of World War II, which claimed more lives than any other conflict in modern history, Pope Pius XII never claimed Christmas was only a charade. No pontiff ever cast a shadow on lights, parties,Christmas trees and Nativity Scenes."

    Maybe he should have said something like that.

    Happy Germans, gathered around a Christmas tree, singing "Silent Night" -- maybe somebody should have tried to poke a hole in that charade, the pretense that all was well.

    But of course Pius couldn't.

    Mussolini was across town and had Hitler to back him up.

  • After Paris Attacks, a Political Leader Wants to Bring Back This Medieval Execution for Jihadists

    11/22/2015 12:36:35 PM PST · 76 of 132
    x to DogByte6RER

    LePen is yesterday’s man. He’s almost 90 and so his career is pretty much over. Even when he was active, he’d say embarrassing or outrageous things (the Nazi gas chambers were “a detail of the history of WWII”). He was expelled from the FN and his daughter heads his party now.

  • What are you reading? (Vanity)

    11/22/2015 12:27:39 PM PST · 116 of 159
    x to vis a vis
    William Deresiewicz's Excellent Sheep: The Miseducation of the American Elite and the Way to a Meaningful Life was a good read if you care about higher education. If you don't want to read the whole think you can read his New Republic article, Don't Send Your Kid to the Ivy League: The nation's top colleges are turning our kids into zombies, that gives the basics of his argument. Then read Amy Wax's critical review in Commentary, Trashing the Ivies and see which side you come down on.

    Speaking of Commentary magazine, there is Benjamin Balint's Running Commentary: The Contentious Magazine that Transformed the Jewish Left into the Neoconservative Right. It's a pretty thorough history and because you can find many of the articles mentioned on the magazine's website, the book opens out into a larger experience, if you want to do more reading.

    I get the feeling Balint's on the side of the magazine, even in its current Podhoretz II phase, but he's scrupulously fair, giving all of its critics and opponents say. There are so many critics, though, and because so many of them started out writing for the magazine they're an important part of the story that can't be left out, so the result is sourer and more negative than the author or the magazine would probably have liked. Anyway, the book points you in all kinds of different directions if you're interested.

  • David Vitter somehow manages to lose the Louisiana governor’s office

    11/22/2015 12:11:57 PM PST · 42 of 56
    x to goldstategop; alloysteel
    A liberal Democrat has no chance in the South.

    That's it.

    In the Deep South Democrats run whoever they think can win, and it doesn't have any effect on the Democratic Party at the national level.

    It's sort of like with Republicans in the Northeast, though it's been going on a lot longer.

  • Bizarre Cases of People Who Spontaneously Ceased to Exist

    11/22/2015 12:05:25 PM PST · 3 of 115
    x to BenLurkin
  • Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg Announces He Will Take 2-Month Paternity Leave

    11/21/2015 1:08:34 PM PST · 7 of 51
    x to BenLurkin
    PDB Scandal finally got to him?

  • Outrage After Political Cartoon About Governor Elect Bevin

    11/21/2015 1:04:50 PM PST · 11 of 23
    x to Republican Wildcat
    The cartoonist really "Kelly Osbourned" that attack.

  • Are Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio Eskimos? Space Aliens?

    11/21/2015 12:53:00 PM PST · 22 of 34
    x to mad_as_he$$
    Rubio grew up Mormon.

    He says he isn't now.

    Unclear what he is.

    Catholic or Protestant Evangelical?

  • Professor: "White Christians" Must Repent for Privilege by Paying Reparations to Blacks

    11/21/2015 12:47:05 PM PST · 103 of 119
    x to rightistight
    It's not actually about race.

    But really we don't have to come out and say what it is about.

  • Are Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio Eskimos? Space Aliens?

    11/21/2015 12:44:58 PM PST · 20 of 34
    x to Verginius Rufus
    Castro is a white Hispanic.

    Well-off Cubans held Batista's mixed-race ancestry against him.

  • Vanity - Has anyone seen "The Man in The High Castle"?

    11/21/2015 12:34:56 PM PST · 35 of 53
    x to BenLurkin
    Why is Hollywierd doing a fantasy about America in need of rescue from the Nazis - when we are genuinely in need of rescue from the Communists?

    It's a classic SF novel.

    You might as well ask why make the Martian invasion story "The War of the Worlds" into a movie when we have enemies here at home.

    It's entertainment for one thing.

    There's also an intriguing "counterfactual history" angle that you don't get in movies or novels about the present-day.

  • First They Came for Andrew Jackson, Now They’ve Come for Woodrow Wilson, So Who’s Next?

    11/21/2015 12:05:30 PM PST · 30 of 33
    x to afraidfortherepublic
    To give you an idea of how deep moral equivalency is imbedded in our university students, I recently attended a Halloween Party where I spoke with several Harvard students (one is at Harvard Law while the rest are at the Harvard School of Public Health) about how Palestinians glorify the deaths of Jews by naming streets, schools and soccer fields after them. In response, one of the students told me, "America put Andrew Jackson on the $20 bill." I dismissed her moral equivalency as fatuous nonsense and this ended the discussion.

    You're quite the party animal ...

  • Should we scrub all memorials to Woodrow Wilson?

    11/21/2015 11:47:25 AM PST · 49 of 62
    x to celmak
    Maybe the point is to remember who we were and where we came from. So we keep the name and just say under our breath, "but he was a jerk."

    If everything is "scrubbed" people may not remember why it needed to be scrubbed. I don't doubt that somebody will be yelling racism all the time, but the specifics eventually get lost.

    So if you go to Woodrow Wilson School, it gives you something to think about and maybe you remember a complicated heritage of good and bad mixed together, and maybe you're less shallow than you would be otherwise.

  • People need to stop scaring cats with cucumbers, say animal behaviorists

    11/20/2015 2:45:55 PM PST · 61 of 88
    x to sparklite2
    Scaring a cat with a cucumber could cause your pet 'psychological problems', experts have warned

  • Sherrod Brown: ‘Generally white males’ to blame for terrorist attacks in U.S.

    11/20/2015 2:02:50 PM PST · 32 of 34
    x to LS
    This creep is disgusting and should be immediately forced to resign.

    Sounds like he's getting ready to self-deport.

  • Paris Muslims complain of ostracism after terror attacks

    11/20/2015 2:01:40 PM PST · 34 of 125
    x to PROCON
    That a mosque was allowed to be built in the first place was the beginning of France's downfall.


    You don't think maybe the Germans might have had a little to do with it?

    The mosque was founded in 1926 as a token of gratitude, after World War I, to the Muslim tirailleurs from France's colonial empire, of whom some 100,000 died fighting against Germany.


    During World War II (when France and Paris were occupied by Nazi Germany), the rector Si Kaddour Benghabrit managed the mosque to serve as a secret refuge for Algerian and European Jews. He ensured they were provided shelter, safe passage, and fake Muslim birth certificates to protect them from German persecution. Wikipedia

  • Arrested Trump Rally Protester is Convicted Bomber of Marine Recruitment Center

    11/19/2015 5:23:53 PM PST · 87 of 186
    x to Osage Orange
    Massachusetts Code - Section 102A. Infernal machine; possession; definition; notice of seizure.

    Section 102A. Whoever, other than a police or other law enforcement officer acting in the discharge of his official duties, has in his possession or under his control an infernal machine or a similar instrument, contrivance or device shall be punished by imprisonment in the state prison for not more than ten years or in jail for not more than two and one half years, or by a fine of not more than one thousand dollars, or by both such fine and imprisonment, and the said machine, instrument, contrivance or device shall be forfeited to the commonwealth. The term "infernal machine", as used in this section, shall include any device for endangering life or doing unusual damage to property, or both, by fire or, explosion, whether or not contrived to ignite or explode automatically and whether or not disguised so as to appear harmless. Notice of the seizure of any such machine, instrument, contrivance or device shall be sent forthwith to the commissioner of public safety and the article seized shall be subject to his order.

    Makes you wonder when the law was passed.

    Over a hundred years ago, probably.

  • Rep. Mia Love endorses Marco Rubio for president

    11/19/2015 5:09:32 PM PST · 19 of 36
    x to Baynative
    I'm not sure I understand the politics behind this one.

    He's competing against others in his lane or niche or heat -- Bush, Christie, Kasich, Fiorina. If they're not doing well, those votes go to Rubio and he becomes a real possible nominee. Maybe Trump or Carson or Cruz from another lane or niche will beat him out, but right now he's attractive to elected officials who don't much care for Bush or Christie or Kasich.

  • By electing a Muslim, the Ummah already consider the USA has been conquered for Islam

    11/19/2015 5:03:35 PM PST · 62 of 82
    x to Black Agnes
    How would the Muslim world know that?

    And if enough Muslims did know that, how would they be able to keep it a secret?

    Obama definitely sympathizes with Muslims, but I doubt he's a very convinced believer in any religion.

  • HuffPo Chronicles "11 Blackest Moments in the Obama Presidency"

    11/19/2015 4:54:37 PM PST · 26 of 27
    x to glennaro
    ... his father was mostly arab ...

    That's the rumor.

    But where's the evidence?


    11/19/2015 4:36:28 PM PST · 2 of 11
    x to Impala64ssa
    Terrorists Once Used Refugee Program to Settle in US


    The 2013 ABC News investigation also revealed that several dozen other suspected terrorist bombmakers, including some who were believed to have targeted U.S. troops, may have mistakenly been allowed to move to the U.S. as Iraq and Afghanistan War refugees, among the tens of thousands of innocent immigrants.


    In the wake of the Kentucky case, the U.S. halted the refugee program for Iraqis for six months, a fact the Obama administration did not disclose to Congress at the time, officials told ABC News in the 2013 investigation.

  • By electing a Muslim, the Ummah already consider the USA has been conquered for Islam

    11/19/2015 4:20:36 PM PST · 56 of 82
    x to ETL

    Fine. I’m not arguing. I’m just saying that radical Muslims don’t necessarily think of him as Muslim or think of the US as a Muslim country because he was elected.

  • Rep. Mia Love endorses Rubio

    11/19/2015 4:16:49 PM PST · 24 of 55
    x to MichelleWSC3
    It's a rational decision.

    A congresswoman is almost by definition part of the GOPe.

    What is the GOPe?

    Look at it this way: you might like Ted Cruz bringing all kinds of things up for vote that he can't win.

    If you're a congresswoman or congressman it gets on your nerves. It means more chances to alienate people with your vote and lose support.

    If some roll-call is going to hurt you and not achieve anything, you're not going to like having to vote on it. So she's not going to be backing Ted Cruz.

    And probably not a loose cannon like Donald Trump either. Who knows what he's going to do or what shape a party will be in after he's done with it?

    Her decision may not be yours, but it makes sense for her. And it doesn't mean she's a traitor or a bad person.

  • By electing a Muslim, the Ummah already consider the USA has been conquered for Islam

    11/19/2015 4:08:05 PM PST · 54 of 82
    x to ETL
    Reverend Wright's UCC "church" is part of the commie left "National Council of Churches".

    Doesn't matter on this thread. They aren't Muslim. Certainly not in Muslim eyes.

  • By electing a Muslim, the Ummah already consider the USA has been conquered for Islam

    11/19/2015 3:40:14 PM PST · 50 of 82
    x to Trumpinator
    Because they don't see him as a Muslim or as someone likely to impose Sharia law.

    There's something a little funny that someone who may be so suspicious that Obama's not a Christian won't see that there's enough in his life to make Muslims suspicious about whether he's really a Muslim: married to a Christian woman, attending a UCC church for decades, claiming to have been baptized, chief of a country fighting radical Muslims, etc.

  • Tape found on portraits of black Harvard law professors

    11/19/2015 3:21:40 PM PST · 23 of 47
    x to sparklite2
    Sounds like a case for the Black Justice League:

  • By electing a Muslim, the Ummah already consider the USA has been conquered for Islam

    11/19/2015 2:53:08 PM PST · 20 of 82
    x to Trumpinator
    As soon as Obama became president, in the eyes of the "Ummah" (Muslim community) the USA is "fatih" (conquered) and the non Muslims dhimmis of that land to be enslaved as the Muslims see fit. If it falls out of the hands of Muslims then a jihad needs to be waged till it returns to Muslim rule.

    Not actually true. And not at all what your link says. But I guess if the world is clamoring to discuss it you just had to post it.

  • Six reasons Ted Cruz is in trouble

    11/19/2015 2:42:45 PM PST · 84 of 98
    x to detective

    Some of the things she thinks are negatives are actually positive — like staying out of Syrian Civil War, or not being a “strong man” (a phrase that usually appears with negative connotations).

  • When a Racist Restaurant Opens on the Edge of Campus, What Is a University's Responsibility?

    11/19/2015 2:29:53 PM PST · 31 of 56
    x to Drew68
    Can a restaurant be racist?

    In a related story, these guys are glad they stayed on the right side of the law ...

  • Obama Should Do Hillary a Solid and Elevate Cruz

    11/19/2015 2:18:35 PM PST · 8 of 12
    x to G Larry
    It is not possible for Bambi to “elevate” Cruz, except via his continued attacks.

    I think that's what they mean. And what's been going on already for a while.

    Obama attacks Cruz. Cruz gets publicity. Cruz rises in the polls. Hillary thinks it will be easier to beat him.

    Not exactly anything new.

  • Why France will do nothing about the Paris Massacre: Spengler

    11/19/2015 2:07:00 PM PST · 17 of 18
    x to Moltke
    So his contribution is basically just writing "France is not Israel" over and over again. That will achieve a lot.

    As with the Paul Ryan article, some people just want to p*ss all over something from the beginning, chewing people out for failing before they've even started trying.

  • Garrison Keillor to Retire

    11/19/2015 1:57:09 PM PST · 65 of 65
    x to Cecily
    The guy works only one day a week as it is and sounds exhausted all the time and he's "retiring"?

    I'm still angry about actually paying real money to see the PHC movie ten years ago.

  • Some Historical "Revision" questions to ponder.

    11/19/2015 1:50:41 PM PST · 82 of 93
    x to US Navy Vet
    Reagan was a realist. He knew what was possible in politics. He knew what he could do and what he couldn't and what it would take to achieve his goals. Most likely, he would have stuck with Bush.

    What would happen when the conservative VP became POTUS in 1988? It might not have happened. There was no guarantee such a person would win the presidential race -- especially if somebody other than Dukakis ran against him -- and no guarantee he'd even win the nomination. Probably Bush ran a stronger campaign than Kemp or Laxalt or some other conservative alternative would have.

    But of course, if Reagan had picked a conservative VP who went on to run for president, we probably wouldn't think of that politician as a conservative at all. Either he'd lose and be a loser who wasn't conservative enough. Or he'd win and not be a conservative because of all the compromises he'd have to make to win and govern (and because he wasn't Ronald Reagan).

  • Some Historical "Revision" questions to ponder.

    11/19/2015 1:34:17 PM PST · 81 of 93
    x to US Navy Vet
    The Lincoln and Kennedy assassinations were such shocks to the country (and in Kennedy's case to the world) that one can't assume that somebody else would have killed them somewhere else if Booth or Oswald hadn't.

    I suspect if Lincoln or Kennedy hadn't been assassinated, they'd just have succumbed to the inertia and mess of politics. They'd grow frustrated at their inability to do what they wanted to do and the country would grow frustrated with them.

    Lincoln would be stuck between those who wanted major changes in the South and those who didn't. It would be hard to please either camp and impossible to satisfy both. Lincoln wouldn't have been as disastrous as Andrew Johnson, but he would have faced immense difficulties and the strain alone might well have killed him.

    Similarly, Kennedy would have some achievements but wouldn't have been able to pass all the legislation that LBJ did. He would have gone into Vietnam and stayed, but wouldn't have committed as many men or as much money as Johnson did. The country would grow sick of him, though not as much as the did with Johnson. Whether his East Coast liberal base would stick with him or desert him is harder to say.

    If you're interested in stuff like this, Jeff Greenfield does a lot of counterfactual history. I'm not really impressed. Basically, the idea is that if something in politics didn't happen when it did, it would have happened four or eight years later.