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Articles Posted by Rocky

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  • On the Biases Caused by Omissions in the 2014 NOAA State of the Climate Report

    01/17/2015 9:25:50 PM PST · by Rocky · 7 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | January 17, 2015 | Bob Tisdale
    Of course, the global highlights are what the mainstream media and alarmist blogs parrot. Some may even report on the Global Temperatures and Regional Temperatures portions of the NOAA report. Few will venture beyond that. BIAS OF OMISSION 1 It’s not until readers scroll down to the rankings table in the SOTC report that NOAA introduces uncertainties. See my Figure 1. So, according to NOAA, the “annually-averaged temperature was 0.69°C (1.24°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F), easily breaking the previous records of 2005 and 2010 by 0.04°C (0.07°F)”, but then NOAA clarifies their global surface temperature anomalies...
  • A Simple Truth; Computer Climate Models Cannot Work

    10/17/2014 3:59:00 AM PDT · by Rocky · 13 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | October 16, 2014 | Tim Ball
    The acronym GIGO, (Garbage In, Garbage Out) reflects that most working around computer models knew the problem. Some suggest that in climate science, it actually stands for Gospel In, Gospel Out. This is an interesting observation, but underscores a serious conundrum. The Gospel Out results are the IPCC predictions, (projections), and they are consistently wrong. This is no surprise to me, because I have spoken out from the start about the inadequacy of the models. I watched modelers take over and dominate climate conferences as keynote presenters. It was modelers who dominated the Climatic Research Unit (CRU), and through them,...
  • Carbon capture and storage – the Edsel of energy policies

    10/16/2013 1:43:35 AM PDT · by Rocky · 11 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | October 16, 2013 | Steve Goreham
    The war on climate change has produced many dubious “innovations.” Intermittent wind and solar energy sources, carbon markets that buy and sell “hot air,” and biofuels that burn food as we drive are just a few examples. But carbon capture and storage is the Edsel of energy policies. Carbon capture and storage (CCS), also called carbon capture and sequestration, is promoted by President Obama, the Department of Energy (DOE), and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for coal-fired power plants. In September, the EPA proposed a limit of 1,100 pounds of CO2 emissions per megawatt-hour of electricity produced, a regulation that...
  • Cronyism, incompetence cited in failure of site

    10/15/2013 6:23:37 PM PDT · by Rocky · 23 replies
    American Thinker ^ | October 15, 2013 | Rick Moran
    A report by a private foundation on how the Obamacare website was designed reveals that cronyism and sheer incompetence is at fault for the spectacular failures of the rollout. InfoWorld summed it up: "It was built by people who are apparently far more familiar with government cronyism than they are with IT." ---------------- (snip) --------------- All the same, CGI Federal -- which received $88 million for its work since March of this year -- told Congress in September it was indeed ready for the onslaught of users that would come when opened to the public. The same was claimed...
  • Only one peer-reviewed paper that claims to provide forecasts of long-range global temperatures

    10/15/2013 5:40:05 PM PDT · by Rocky · 1 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | Kesten C. Green
    The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they will sometimes be better or worse. Are things different now? For the fifth time now, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change claims they are. The difference, the IPCC asserts, is increased human emissions of carbon dioxide: a colorless, odorless, non-toxic gas that is a byproduct of growing prosperity. It is also a product of all animal respiration and is also essential for most life on Earth, yet in total it makes up only 0.0004 of the atmosphere. --------------- (snip) ------------------...
  • My Obamacare experience

    10/13/2013 4:47:06 AM PDT · by Rocky · 14 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | October 13, 2013 | Anthony Watts
    First, apologies to my readers for the diversion from the usual fare, but I’ll point out that this entry is covered under the masthead in the category of “recent news” and there’s a relevant WUWT category. Since like many of you, I’ve been forced to sign a document (at my radio station where I employed part-time) a document that confirms I’ve been given another document that advises me of my Obamacare rights, and of course being in tune to the news, I’ve been wondering if the claims about the Obamacare websites are as bad as claimed. I read an article...
  • IPCC Calls Off Planetary Emergency?

    10/04/2013 9:23:50 PM PDT · by Rocky · 5 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | October 4, 2013 | Marlo Lewis
    Okay, they don’t do so in as many words. But in addition to being more confident than ever (despite a 16-year pause in warming and the growing mismatch between model projections and observations) that man-made climate change is real, they are also more confident nothing really bad is going to happen during the 21st Century. The scariest parts of the “planetary emergency” narrative popularized by Al Gore and other pundits are Atlantic Ocean circulation shutdown (implausibly plunging Europe into a mini-ice age), ice sheet disintegration raising sea levels 20 feet, and runaway warming from melting frozen methane deposits. As BishopHill...
  • Met Office concedes the error

    09/26/2013 11:00:52 PM PDT · by Rocky · 6 replies
    Bishop Hill ^ | September 25, 2013 | Andrew Montford
    Over the last day or so, Julia Slingo has sent a polite, but somewhat evasive response to Nic Lewis regarding his critique of the UKCP09 model. It can be seen here. Nic Lewis's reaction is here. I don't think he is very impressed. The key exchange relates to the following paragraph in Slingo's paper: Having said that, it is true that the relationship between historical aerosol forcing and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) depicted in your Figure B1 is based only on the PPE. But we disagree with your assertion that the results from HadCM3 are fundamentally biased. It is certainly...
  • Sea Level Rise: Climate Change and an Ocean of Natural Variability

    09/21/2013 5:43:30 PM PDT · by Rocky · 20 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | September 20, 2013 | Steve Goreham
    Today, leading scientific organizations support the idea that the ocean level is rising due to man-made emissions. Further, they claim to be able to measure ocean level to a high degree of accuracy. But a look at natural ocean variation shows that official sea level measurements are nonsense. ------------ (snip) -------------- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change stated in 2007, “Global average sea level rose at an average rate of 1.8 mm per year over 1961 to 2003. The rate was faster over 1993 to 2003: about 3.1 mm per year.” This translates to a 100-year rise of only 7...
  • Dialing Back the Alarm on Climate Change

    09/14/2013 2:36:48 AM PDT · by Rocky · 14 replies
    The Wall Street Journal ^ | September 13, 2013 | Matt Ridley
    Later this month, a long-awaited event that last happened in 2007 will recur. Like a returning comet, it will be taken to portend ominous happenings. I refer to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) "fifth assessment report," part of which will be published on Sept. 27. There have already been leaks from this 31-page document, which summarizes 1,914 pages of scientific discussion, but thanks to a senior climate scientist, I have had a glimpse of the key prediction at the heart of the document. The big news is that, for the first time since these reports started coming out...
  • More settled science: Climate change/warming speeds up tree life cycles instead of causing migration

    09/12/2013 4:12:14 AM PDT · by Rocky · 9 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | September 12, 2013 | Anthony Watts
    From Duke University and the “I was sure those tree rings were linear indicators” department, comes this news: Climate Change May Speed Up Forests’ Life Cycles DURHAM, N.C. – Many climate studies have predicted that tree species will respond to global warming by migrating via seed dispersal to cooler climates. But a new study of 65 different species in 31 eastern states finds evidence of a different, unexpected response. Nearly 80 percent of the species aren’t yet shifting their geographic distributions to higher latitudes. Instead, they’re staying in place – but speeding up their life cycles. The Duke University-led study,...
  • A question for Oreskes – But what do we mean by consensus?

    09/07/2013 11:56:06 AM PDT · by Rocky · 2 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | September 7, 2013 | Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
    Politicians pay for science, but scientists should not be politicians. Consensus is a political concept. Unwisely deployed, it can be damagingly anti-scientific. A reply to Naomi Oreskes (Nature, 4 September 2013). The celebrated mathematician, astronomer and philosopher of science Abu Ali Ibn al-Haytham, or Alhazen, is justly celebrated as the founder of the scientific method. His image appears on Iraqi banknotes and on the postage stamps of half a dozen nations of the ummah wahida. Al-Haytham, unlike Naomi Oreskes,[1] did not consider that consensus had any role in science. He wrote that “the seeker after truth” does not put his...
  • Cooks ’97% consensus’ disproven by a new peer reviewed paper showing major math errors

    09/03/2013 6:04:29 PM PDT · by Rocky · 8 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | September 3, 2013 | Anthony Watts
    A major peer-reviewed paper by four senior researchers has exposed grave errors in an earlier paper in a new and unknown journal that had claimed a 97.1% scientific consensus that Man had caused at least half the 0.7 Cº global warming since 1950. A tweet in President Obama’s name had assumed that the earlier, flawed paper, by John Cook and others, showed 97% endorsement of the notion that climate change is dangerous: “Ninety-seven percent of scientists agree: #climate change is real, man-made and dangerous.” [Emphasis added] The new paper by the leading climatologist Dr David Legates and his colleagues, published...
  • 50 to 1 Video Project (Cost of Global Warming)

    09/01/2013 11:42:45 PM PDT · by Rocky · 5 replies ^ | September 1, 2013 | Topher Field (Sorry, I don't know how to embed the video. You'll have to follow the link.) Welcome to the 50 to 1 project! The best place to start is the video you see above, and after that feel free to explore by watching the full length interviews, checking out the source documents and joining the Facebook page and Twitter feed!
  • Can The IPCC Do Revolutionary Science?

    08/31/2013 7:56:31 PM PDT · by Rocky · 23 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | August 31, 2013 | Barry Brill
    The timing couldn’t be worse. On 23-26 September, scores of representatives of the world’s Environment Ministries are scheduled to meet in Stockholm to wordsmith the final draft of the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the key WG1 (physical science) portion of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPPC). ------------------------------- (snip) -------------- The temperature standstill has been apparent in the data for many years, but the tribalism of climate science rendered it unmentionable until the public disclosures of early 2013. Once spoken, it demanded an explanation – and it then became clear there was...
  • New Paper Corroborates Svensmark's Theory of Cosmoclimatology

    08/15/2013 1:36:41 AM PDT · by Rocky · 2 replies
    The Hockey Schtick ^ | March 21, 2013 | Unknown
    A paper published today in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics finds "strong evidence" of a link between thunderstorm and solar activity in Brazil from 1951-2009. According to the authors, thunderstorm "behavior with respect to the 11-year solar cycle suggest a global mechanism probably related to a solar magnetic shielding effect acting on galactic cosmic rays as an explanation for the relationship of thunderstorm and solar activity," which would corroborate Svensmark's theory of cosmoclimatology. The relationship between thunderstorm and solar activity for Brazil from 1951 to 2009 Osmar Pinto Netoa, b, Corresponding author contact information, E-mail the corresponding author,...
  • Watch yesterday’s blockbuster performance by Dr. Pielke and Dr. Spencer at Senate climate hearing

    07/21/2013 4:26:43 AM PDT · by Rocky · 7 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | July 19, 2013 | Anthony Watts
    Marc Morano reported: ‘Senate global warming hearing backfires on Democrats’ — Boxer’s Own Experts Contradict Obama! — ‘Skeptics & Roger Pielke Jr. totally dismantled warmism (scientifically, economically, rhetorically) — Climate Depot Round Up ‘Sen. Boxer’s Own Experts Contradict Obama on Climate Change’ — Warmists Asked: ‘Can any witnesses say they agree with Obama’s statement that warming has accelerated during the past 10 years?’ For several seconds, nobody said a word. Sitting just a few rows behind the expert witnesses, I thought I might have heard a few crickets chirping’
  • A step in the right direction? Major shift in the UK’s government attitude to climate change

    05/11/2013 9:16:51 PM PDT · by Rocky · 6 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | May 11, 2013 | D. McNeil
    I’d like to bring some points to the attention of your readers that were raised in an article in the Independent published on 11th May 2013 It would appear to indicate a major shift in the UK’s government attitude to climate change. “The Government is facing an exodus of senior energy and climate change advisers amid growing concerns that decisive action to tackle global warming is falling victim to Treasury intransigence.” … “A Government offshore energy industrial strategy document, due to have been published this month, is understood to have been delayed after Treasury objections. At the same time as...
  • A case of the vapors – another global cooling mechanism found

    05/06/2013 6:50:48 PM PDT · by Rocky · 15 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | May 6, 2013 | Anthony Watts
    “We discovered that organic compounds such as those formed from forest emissions or from vehicle exhaust, affect the number of droplets in a cloud and hence its brightness, so affecting climate,” said study author Professor Gordon McFiggans, from the University of Manchester’s School of Earth, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences. “We developed a model and made predictions of a substantially enhanced number of cloud droplets from an atmospherically reasonable amount of organic gases. “More cloud droplets lead to brighter cloud when viewed from above, reflecting more incoming sunlight. We did some calculations of the effects on climate and found that the...
  • Lords a leapin

    05/03/2013 6:54:36 PM PDT · by Rocky · 1 replies
    Watts Up With That ^ | May 3, 2013 | Mike Jonas
    From the UK’s BBC comes this news item: Trillion-euro shortfall facing EU energy sector – Lords Committee Under the obligatory photo of chimneys spewing steam, is a totally uncritical article on the final report from an eight-month inquiry by the UK’s House of Lords into the EU power sector. The report accuses the EU of having a muddled energy policy, but the horribly disturbing aspect of this report is that their lordships are the ones that are muddled. For example, they say that a muddled Brussels energy policy is putting off big investors. Well, they really got that wrong. Brussels’...