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In addition to the 40% who Strongly Approve of Obama’s performance so far, another 12% Somewhat Approve. That brings his total approval to 52%, an unsurprising figure since the Democrat earned 52% of the vote on Tuesday night.

< snip > Evangelicals are a small proportion of the national population - just 7% of all adults. But they tend to capture the imagination and attention of the national media and political pundits. The survey data consistently show that evangelical Christians have among the highest rates of voting turnout. . . and are strikingly different from the rest of the population - even from other born again Christians who are not evangelical. As was true in the past two presidential elections, two-thirds of all evangelicals who were registered to vote (65%) were aligned with the Republican Party. One out...

Despite some news reports suggesting otherwise, a new poll shows that Sarah Palin was a definite asset to John McCain in his run for the White House. According to a Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey, 69 percent of Republican voters say the Alaska governor helped McCain’s bid for the presidency. Twenty percent of GOP voters said she hurt the ticket, six percent said she had no effect, and 5 percent were undecided. Other results of the poll: 91 percent of Republicans have a favorable view of Palin. 65 percent of Republicans have a very favorable view of Palin. 8 percent...

For all the derision directed toward pre-election polling, the final poll estimates were not far off from the actual nationwide voteshares for the two candidates, according to an analysis by Costas Panagopoulos, Ph.D, at Fordham University. On average, preelection polls from 23 public polling organizations projected a Democratic advantage of 7.52 percentage points on Election Day, which is only about 1.37 percentage points away from the current estimate of a 6.15-point Obama margin in the national popular vote. To assess poll accuracy, Panagopoulos pulled estimates from the 23 polling organizations. Four of these polls appear to have overestimated McCain support...

Democrat Barack Obama garnered a surprising 20 percent of the vote from conservatives who cast ballots on Election Day, top-ranked radio-talker Rush Limbaugh told listeners. Citing exit polls, Limbaugh also said on Wednesday that Republican John McCain lost independents and moderates by a margin of 60 percent to 39 percent. “McCain only got 89 percent of the Republican vote,” Limbaugh said. “He only got 80 percent of the conservative vote. “And therein lies the tale, the recipe offered up by the wizards of smart in the Republican Party and on our side — for whatever reason we have to abandon...

The 2008 presidential election saw the biggest partisan shift in a generation — more of a rejection of Republicans than an embrace of Democrats — but voter surveys find no broad ideological realignment behind that shift...

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Republican voters say Alaska Governor Sarah Palin helped John McCain’s bid for the presidency, even as news reports surface that some McCain staffers think she was a liability. Only 20% of GOP voters say Palin hurt the party’s ticket, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Six percent (6%) say she had no impact, and five percent (5%) are undecided. Ninety-one percent (91%)

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Most Americans say the country's financial crisis has hurt their confidence in the Federal Reserve, according to a Reuters/University of Michigan survey released on Friday. The poll found sentiment toward banks and other financial institutions, like insurance firms and mutual funds, has also deteriorated. At the same time, the economic downturn has dented trust in the nation's financial authorities. Twenty-six percent of Americans said they were "a lot less" confident in the Fed, which is the U.S. central bank, now than five years ago. That was up from 7 percent back in 1987, before Greenspan began...

Via Drudge. According to a study performed by a Fordham University scholar, the least accurate of the 20 presidential polls were those performed by CBS/New York Times and, in dead last, Newsweek. In its final poll, CBS/Times forecast an 11-point Obama margin, 52-41. Newsweek was even more "optimistic", foreseeing a 12-point Obama win, 53-41.

On average, preelection polls from 23 public polling organizations projected a Democratic advantage of 7.52 percentage points on Election Day, which is only about 1.37 percentage points away from the current estimate of a 6.15-point Obama margin in the national popular vote. 1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)** 1. Pew (10/29-11/1)** 2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1) 3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27) 4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)* 5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)* 5. ARG (10/25-27)* 6. CNN (10/30-11/1) 6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1) 7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3) 8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27) 9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2) 10. FOX (11/1-2) 11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27) 12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3) 13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2) 14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2) 15....

The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll showed Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 46%. As of 6:30 a.m. Eastern, the actual returns showed Obama leading McCain 52% to 46%. Down the stretch, the race was remarkably stable. Rasmussen Reports showed Obama receiving either between 50% of the vote and 52% for the last 40 days of Election 2008. The ranged tightened a bit during the final two weeks--Obama received either 51% or 52% of the vote on 13 of the last 14 days. For McCain, the numbers stayed between 44% and 47% of the vote for the...

Tuesday’s presidential election was a sharp setback not only for the GOP but also for major national pollsters who saw their gloom-and-doom predictions of a double-digit drubbing of John McCain blow up in their faces. The pollsters will have some explaining to do in the election aftermath, after several predicted the McCain-Palin ticket would lose by almost twice the actual margin.

Republicans are happier with their vice presidential candidate than their presidential nominee, while Democrats feel good about both candidates on their ticket, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. With 59% in a separate survey predicting a Barack Obama win today, 45% of U.S. voters describe themselves as Very Concerned that the White House, the Senate and the House of Representatives will all be controlled by Democrats. Another 10% are somewhat concerned, while 23% are not concerned at all. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Republicans say John McCain made the right choice by picking Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as...

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Final: Obama in Double-Digit Lead, 54.1% to 42.7%

Someone on Fox News (Jim Engle, I think) was just on saying that they are seeing a large amount of "WPE" (Within Precinct Error) in the exit polling, meaning that the actual results reported by the precincts are much lower for Obama than the results that the exit pollsters gathered. In Pennsylvania, I think he said that this number was 10.4%, meaning that Obama was exit polling 10.4% better than the actual results being reported. In Florida, they reported that it was a difference of 3.4 or 3.9%. Also significant in NC, VA, and other places.

WASILLA, ALASKA –-Sarah Palin cast her vote for herself after an all-night trek, which ended in her hometown. She strolled into her old stomping ground, the Wasilla City Hall council chambers where she served both on the city council and as mayor. She walked in with husband Todd wearing jeans and a baggy brown sweatshirt with the words Gov. Sarah Palin embroidered across the right side. She hugged and kissed poll workers before spending just 97 seconds in the voting booth. She walked out and said, “Thank you!” Donning an “I Voted Today!” sticker Palin calmly walked out in the...

Gender (2,369 Respondents) Obama McCain Male (46%) 52% 46% Female (54%) 56% 44% Age, four categories (2,371 Respondents) Obama McCain 18-29 (21%) 62% 37% 30-44 (30%) 54% 45% 45-64 (38%) 53% 46% 65+ (11%) 46% 53% To which age group do you belong? (2,371 Respondents) Obama McCain 18-24 (11%) 65% 33% 25-29 (10%) 59% 41% 30-39 (19%) 55% 44% 40-49 (23%) 51% 48% 50-64 (26%) 54% 45% 65 or over (11%) 46% 53% Race (2,337 Respondents) Obama McCain White (69%) 41% 58% Black (21%) 92% 8% Hispanic/Latino (5%) 67% 32% Asian (3%) — — Other (2%) — —

McCain : 54.08% 0bomba : 44.90%

Are the Exit Pollsters Up To Old Tricks?I noticed this account of an exit pollster in Stafford, Virginia: 08:32 – AP doing exit polling in Stafford. Talking 4 to 1 to minorities over whites at a Republican precinct (Falmouth). Expect it to be skewed. Don’t trust the exit polls as they start to trickle out. Only an anecdote, but not promising. Are the exit pollsters aiming for egg on their faces two presidential races in a row? 11/04 04:02 PM

excerpt

I found this graphic at Free Republic and couldn’t resist copying it for the final Bi-Poller Report.So we finally come to the end of the 2008 Election cycle. For this final report I am including all the polls still in the RCP national poll average, allocating them out to their respective family of ‘traditional’ or ‘extended’ based on their optimism regarding the dem advantage in turnout. Gallup is being relegated to the ‘extended’ family since all their models show the same result. And I just left Pew out because it seems to be a bit Bi-Poller all by itself going...

The Latest From Inside McCain HQ November 04, 2008 11:30 AM ET | James Pethokoukis | I just talked to one of my best Team McCain sources who told me that heading into today all the key battleground polls were moving hard and fast in their direction. The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win. So add this with the new Battleground poll (Obama +1.9 only) and the rising stock market...

I just talked to one of my best Team McCain sources who told me that heading into today all the key battleground polls were moving hard and fast in their direction. The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win. So add this with the new Battleground poll (Obama +1.9 only) and the rising stock market...

Attention! Today is quite an historic day. At long last, a section of the media has discovered a "lifelong Democrat" who is supporting the Republican presidential candidate. As you might have noticed, this campaign season has seen a plethora of stories about "lifelong Republicans" who have finally "seen the light" and are supporting Barack Obama. Of course, such "lifelong Republicans" when you look beneath the surface are either Democrats who are fibbing or are formally Republicans on paper but are actually liberal Democrats such as ACLU member Jan Martin who was recently featured on the CBS Early Show. However, we...

1.Report fraud. If you experience anything, suspect anything, do two things:Immediately call 866-976-VOTE. Subsequently, send an email votefraud@gmail.com, so that a record can be built. 2. Do not listen to exit polls. They will not have any predictive value:If Obama is winning, they will show Obama winning.If Obama is losing, they will show Obama winning.3.Stay positive.This thing is tight as heck. Virtually all the movement is in our direction. Lots of battleground states are tied.The polls have been drastically wrong in the past. No poll matters anymore, except for the vote today. The undecideds will break McCain, and that may just...

With just hours to go before the polls open Tuesday, the latest and final IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll shows Sen. Barack Obama with a 7.2-point lead over Sen. John McCain (51.5% Obama vs. 44.3% McCain). All other candidates garner a combined 4.2%. This tally represents IBD/TIPP’s final estimate after allocating undecided voters.

VIDEO HERE.

The election isn’t even over, but Americans have made their opinions known. The biggest loser of the 2008 campaign is the mainstream media. In poll after poll, voters express anger and dissatisfaction at journalists’ blatantly pro-Obama position. While the media might get their wish and help elect Barack Obama president, readership, viewership, and ad dollars are crashing at the same time. Journalists will cling to hopes that this isn’t cause and effect. They are correct in saying technology in partially to blame, but that discounts their immense failure of the public trust. Washington Post ombudsman Deborah Howell called a similar...

The Drudge Report has published a McCain campaign memo advising members (and reminding them) about the historical inaccuracy of exit polling releases during Election Day. As we have seen in previous election cycles, the exit poll results do leak early and that ends up influencing the coverage of the race before even the first state polls close at 6:00 PM Eastern. However, we want to remind the campaign that the media's own post-election study of the exit polls in 2004 showed that the exit polls overstate the Democratic candidate's support. Therefore, we would discourage a rush to judgment based on...

The political pros say they'll be watching to see whether Pennsylvania goes red Tuesday - if so, Sen. John McCain might pull off one of the greatest comebacks in political history and be on his way to the White House. But if Sen. Barack Obama holds Pennsylvania and collects Virginia or Indiana, two states that haven't gone Democratic since 1964, a landslide is in the offing for Democrats, and that could help them win down-ticket races that could give them a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate. "If you think of the Electoral College, and Barack wins [Pennsylvania], it is difficult...

FReep this Digg!!! (We need FReepers to FReep the Vote over at Buzz too! Any volunteers???) Post your own links exposing ObamaNation on Digg, Buzz, Reddit, etc. Saturate these boards. They're massive and they are crawling with independents and undecideds. And don't post them all in one category, like politics or elections. Finally, repost your links on FR to we can put a protective FReep around them :o) For examples of how to do this, see my history. Let's use our combined FReeperPower to FREEP THE VOTE!!!

John McCain on Sen. Obama's dormant remarks on the coal industry: “We found out yesterday what Senator Obama really thinks about coal. In a new video talking about his policies on coal, he told the San Francisco Chronicle, “if somebody wants to build a coal-powered plant, they can; it's just that it will bankrupt them.” “Now, I believe we need to control emissions,” added McCain, “but I’m not going to let our coal industry go bankrupt. I’m not going to let coal workers lose their jobs and I’m not going to let energy prices increase even more for our families.”...

FReep this Digg!!! (We need FReepers to FReep the Vote over at Buzz too! Any volunteers???) Post your own links exposing ObamaNation on Digg, Buzz, Reddit, etc. Saturate these boards. They're massive and they are crawling with independents and undecideds. And don't post them all in one category, like politics or elections. Finally, repost your links on FR to we can put a protective FReep around them :o) For examples of how to do this, see my history. Let's use our combined FReeperPower to FREEP THE VOTE!!!

Late today, Karl Rove's Electoral College projection changed from 311, McCain 160, toss-up 67 to Obama 338, McCain 200, no toss-ups. I’ve only been doing professional GOP politics for 18 years, and Karl is a lot smart than I am. But the only way I will agree with him is when the final vote is tallied. We all know John has a huge mountain to climb tomorrow, but all the battleground states races have greatly tightened up. - FlA Latest update.....

Unbelievable that they call themselves a reputable polling firm, some even refer to them as "the gold standard." There is NO WAY there will be more I's than R's and NO WAY we are outvoted by 10%. Rediculous. Link: http://www.gallup.com

Sarah Palin, smiling radiantly and standing several feet above the crowd in Raleigh, NC, said “You want me to sign that?” An apt question—I was surrounded by excited Palin supporters, all yelling frantically and holding out pink t-shirts and Palin photos for her autograph. The lady next to me shouted “For my daughter, Sarah!” In my pocket I had found a piece of sloppily folded script left over from the phone campaigning I had done just prior to the event. I held it toward Governor Palin, upward and through the barrier of angry looking Secret Service men. “Yes!” was my...

the Wire, McCain Appears to Hold Georgia; Chambliss Appears to Hold Senate Seat for GOP ... Unless...: 48 hours till votes are counted in Georgia, John McCain appears to have enough white votes to hold onto Georgia's 15 electoral votes, according to SurveyUSA polling for WXIA-TV Atlanta and WMAZ-TV Macon. McCain leads 3:1 among whites and polls above 50% among both men and women and voters older than 35. Obama leads 3:2 in greater Atlanta, but that is offset by McCain's 2:1 advantage in Northwest GA and 4:3 advantage in Southeast GA. For Obama to win Georgia, he needs voters...

Los Angeles, Nov 3, 2008 / 05:43 pm (CNA).- As the Tuesday elections approach, a new tracking poll from the Investor’s Business Daily shows Sen. John McCain leading Sen. Barack Obama among Catholics by 51 percent to 38 percent. Among all voters, Obama leads McCain 46.7 percent to 44.6 percent. Among Protestants, McCain leads 55 to 36 percent. The October 29-November 1 poll of 844 likely voters was conducted by TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP) and claims a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. TIPP was named the most accurate pollster of the 2004...

For those of you who have been following my prediction of a McCain-Palin landslide, here is my latest take. This article was posted yesterday on Real Clear Politics and resulted in over 25,000 hits on my website. It was cross posted on a half dozen more. I am going to copy in the tables from that article that have now been updated using today's averages shown in the no toss up map page at real clear politics. I have posted this article on real clear politics, but it has not come out on the front page because it just got...

In Ohio, Early Voters May Give Obama Enough Running Head Start That McCain Can't Catch Him on Election Day: Barack Obama 48%, John McCain 46%, in SurveyUSA's final tracking poll released Election Eve. Obama leads 5:3 among those who have already voted. McCain leads 5:4 among those who have not yet voted. Obama led in the past 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls, but by tapering margins. Obama led by 5 on 10/14/08, by 4 on 10/28/08 and by 2 today. It is possible that McCain could overtake Obama in the final 24 hours, but that would require young voters to stay...

Below are the poll results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted October 31-November 2, 2008. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. 1. If the election for President were held today would you support the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joseph Biden or the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin? Obama/Biden 49% McCain/Palin 47% Other 1% Undecided 3% -- Below are the results of a three-day poll of likely voters in the state of Ohio. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in...

John McCain’s campaign manager laid out a come-from-behind-victory scenario late Sunday evening as the campaign prepared for a seven-state, 18-hour cross-country swing. Although a number of national polls, including the most recent Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, give Barack Obama a sizable lead, Rick Davis, a longtime McCain confidante who carried him through the primaries, told reporters that the campaign has many routes on the electoral map to the magic number of 270 electoral college votes. Davis dismissed scenarios that rested on winning a specific state, like Virginia or Florida, and said that recent polling in the West, which shows Obama’s...

Drudge headline on an internal memo from Republicans on the exit polls.

Barack Obama and John McCain are evenly matched in the swing states of North Carolina and Missouri, though Obama is strongly outpacing McCain in two of those states’ crucial battleground counties, according to new Politico/InsiderAdvantage polls.

After a McCain rally on Sunday that more than halved his lead, Obama is back to where he was headed into the weekend. Independents made the difference, swinging back to Obama and giving him an 11-point advantage with this key group. Final results available on IBDeditorials.com at midnight Monday.

FOX News/Rasmussen Reports battleground polling this week shows some improvements for John McCain

breaking....

“A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within . . . For the traitor appears not a traitor; he speaks in accents familiar to his victims, and he wears their face and their arguments, he appeals to the baseness that lies deep in the hearts of all men. He rots the soul of a nation . . . he infects the body politic so that it can no longer resist. A murderer is less to fear. The traitor is the plague.” — Cicero So Obama says he will change the world?...

Sarah Palin was pretty fired-up over the newly unearthed Obama comments, saying to a crowd at Marietta College that her ticket would not let that happen to the coal industry. “Instead, we’ll make clean coal a reality and to help power the American economy with clean coal technology, we’re going to be looking to the hard-working people of Ohio and West Virginia and Pennsylvania.” With a wink and a smile she said “You betcha. Drill baby drill, and mine baby mine.”