I have several objective and subjective problems with the climate alarmists:
- Computer model misuse. I have been involved in science and engineering for nearly 35 years, including 10+ years in large scale computer simulations of complex systems for over a decade. You simply cannot use the models they have in the manner they are and call it predictive. You cannot, stop it, you're embarrassing yourselves in front of real professionals.
- The models they have, even when used appropriately, are demonstrably inadequate. More accurately, they demonstrate that our understanding of the climate and climate systems is inadequate. This is actually a good thing. This is what models are for. You come up with a theory, create a model that embodies the theory, and then see if it accurately reflects reality. The models do not. You cannot feed the models climate data from say the late 1800s through 1950, then use them to predict the climate from 1950 through 1970. If you tweak and tune the models to match, then feed it the data from the 1800s to 1970 and ask it to predict the climate out to 2000 it fails. The takeaway is, the models are not detailed enough, not representative. We lack either (probably both) the knowledge of all the significant interactions as well as the capability to express them with the necessary precision.
- Finally, numerous climate "scientists" have been caught falsifying data, manipulating data, tweaking models and results to "prove" a foregone conclusion. If so-called man-caused climate change were real, they wouldn't need to lie, exaggerate, and spin to prove it.
Add those up, and I just cannot take climate scammers seriously.
And..........Baby It’s Cold outside.
posted on 01/02/2020 9:55:40 PM PST
Brilliant. Storing this in the same document where I have lily’s astronomical presentation (the sun and specks). I have brought her out with screenname attribution in a few FB posts. Might have occasion to do same with you.
My own background includes strategic defense modeling (maintaining, not writing the models.) These produced a set of probabilities of penetration based on assumptions of size of attack, weapon yield, reaction times and sequences and such. A very, very limited set of variables compared to the servo system that is our climate.
posted on 01/03/2020 3:12:23 AM PST
(My19 y/o granddaughter continues to have more quality exec experience than an 8 year Obama.)
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