Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II

NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Core of Category 4 Hurricane Michael closing in on FL Panhandle...

Pressure down to 928 MB...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM Advisory...
----------------------------------------------
About 60 MI...SSW of Panama City FL
About 65 MI...SW of Apalachicola FL
Maximum Sustained Winds...145 MPH
Present Movement...NNE at 14 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...928 MB...

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.

[NautiNurse]

NHC presser live. Apalachicola recently received wind gust 70+ mph.

[DCBryan1]

Wright Patterson got the fighters. LRAFB has Moody’s A10s, Hulburt’s AC-130s, and AF SOC U-28 Pilatus. Lots of AT6 Texans at LIT (Adams Field).

[hardspunned]

When exactly is land fall predicted?

[halo66]

~3-4hours

[clintonh8r]

Great idea. Thanks.

[caww]

Yes looks like it. Stunning to see these flood waters first thing before it actually hits. Anyone who hangs around there is just asking for death.

[caww]

Yes looks like it. Stunning to see these flood waters first thing before it actually hits. Anyone who hangs around there is just asking for death.

[SE Mom]

928, huh? Dear God.

Just checking in for a minute - getting pretty bad.

[caww]

Brother lives in Jacksonville and said yesterday the wind field is so wide they were getting winds 70 to 80 mph.....Said he went outside and you could hear the gusts at a distance roaring then when they hit you could hear tree limbs snapping as all trees were getting the force of those gusts.

[NautiNurse]

Yes. It’s bad.

[Alas Babylon!]

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) - Some of the worst storm surge from Category 4 Hurricane Michael is expected to hit Florida’s Tyndall Air Force Base, which has ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate.

The National Hurricane Center’s latest forecast shows as much as 13 feet of water on top of the usual waves and tides could inundate the base, which is home to more than 600 families and on an island about 12 miles east of Panama City.

All base residents were ordered to leave when Tyndall moved to “HURCON 1” status as the storm closes in.

The base provided transportation but limited families to one large piece of luggage per family and one carry-on piece per person.

Tyndall is home to the 325th Fighter Wing.

[commish]

I really hated to see that 928. I knew it was probably coming, but this just confirms that intensification is still ongoing.

I would not put it out of the realm of possibility that this may hit 150 right before land fall.

The question is whether the NWS will call it a CAT 5 at that point. At that point is there really any difference?

All we can do know is pray for those that stayed, and hope those that left have something/anything to come back to.

[NautiNurse]

If you are talking about Jax FL, the almanac I viewed shows a couple of gusts ~25 mph. Nothing over 30 mph yesterday.
Jacksonville Naval Air Station Wx Almanac 10-9-2018

[alancarp]

"Hmmm...I posted that “not wanted” poster last night and nobody laughed."

Sorry I missed it!

[NautiNurse]

Michael doesn’t need to be Cat 5 at landfall. Cat 5 = sustained winds 157+ mph. This strong Cat 4 is plenty bad enough.

[dirtboy]

Down to 919.9 mb in latest recon.

[caww]

Well my brother ‘stood in it’.. on his cell phone with my brother in law in the east so he could hear and listen to it. I’ll go by what he says any day over an anything the news/almanac says.

[cll]

“Michael doesn’t need to be Cat 5 at landfall. Cat 5 = sustained winds 157+ mph. This strong Cat 4 is plenty bad enough”

Agreed!

[dirtboy]