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Poll: Upside Down Frelinghuysen ‘Vulnerable’ in CD11 (NJ)
Insider NJ ^ | December 21, 2017 | Insider NJ

Posted on 12/25/2017 11:10:57 AM PST by GuavaCheesePuff

In New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District, Republican incumbent U.S. Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen has an approval rating of 28%, and 54% disapprove of his job performance. according to a Public Policy Polling Memo.

President Donald J. Trump has an approval rating of 40% and a disapproval rating of 56% in Frelinghuysen’s district. Speaker Paul Ryan is also unpopular with 26% of voters saying they approve of the job he is doing and a majority (63%) responding that they disapprove. These percentages, along with a hypothetical matchup between Frelinghuysen (40%) and a “Democratic opponent” (49%), indicate that Frelinghuysen is quite vulnerable in his upcoming re-election.

(Excerpt) Read more at insidernj.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: 2018; democratpollsters; fakenews; frelinghuysen; inhousepolling; nj2018; ppp; rodneyfrelinghuysen
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To: GuavaCheesePuff

Republicans will be lucky to hold the House. Their performance was pathetic.


21 posted on 12/25/2017 1:38:55 PM PST by Angels27
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To: vette6387

Millions of voters exactly like yourself in every single respect enabled the takeover of the republican party by the likes of Mitt Romney, John McCain, and Lindsay Graham.

I reject the uniparty agenda which you are right now attempted to promote.

No sale.

Primary the twerp or vote write in.

When enough people refuse to vote for your globalist agenda, a Trump becomes possible.


22 posted on 12/25/2017 1:53:46 PM PST by MrEdd (Caveat Emptor)
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To: GuavaCheesePuff

There are a lot of Republican congressmen in New Jersey, New York, California, and Illinois that are going to be facing the same problem because of the tax plan.


23 posted on 12/25/2017 2:11:32 PM PST by DoodleDawg
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To: MrEdd

“Millions of voters exactly like yourself in every single respect enabled the takeover of the republican party by the likes of Mitt Romney, John McCain, and Lindsay Graham.”

I guess you really jumped on the sauce last night at Christmas Dinner ( or did you opt for Festivus?). There isn’t anything in what I said that promotes the “uniparty,” or really the GOPe, because I simply want to preserve the Republican leadership in the House and the Senate ( as bad as it is ). Because if we loose either House, Trump’s agenda is finished. Do you understand that, FINISHED! Now this asshole in NJ needs to go, and it would appear that he’s going whether he likes it or not. So the options are: Let the RATs have the seat ( and thereby add one to the list of only 24 changes in the House that are necessary for the RATs to regain control), work, as distasteful as it is to see if you can get this turd re-elected, or alternatively, primary him with the hope that the hopefully conservative challenger wins both the primary and the general elections. You have your head up your a$$ if you think that by “refusing to vote for my globalist agenda,” that it will, in this case advance Trump’s agenda is simply dumb. Sadly, somehow you have deluded yourself into thinking that by kicking out the RINOs, that everything will be solved, when that is foolish if by so doing, we give up control of the Congress.


24 posted on 12/25/2017 2:24:38 PM PST by vette6387
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To: ml/nj

” I’ve been voting for the DEMOCRAT in the past several general elections. Frelinghuysen is the quintessential RINO. He needs to be defeated; by a Democrat if necessary. After two years it will be easy to dispose of the Democrat.”

Did the same in Virginia - taught that DAMN GOP A LESSON!!! ...and now they have a Democrat governor.

And then they thanked us in Alabama by engineering the loss of Roy Moore.

So, New Jersey 11 is our chance to again TEACH THE GOP A LESSON, by turning over the seat to Democrats.

Yep - that’s winning! Really winning.


25 posted on 12/25/2017 2:28:45 PM PST by BobL (I shop at Walmart...I just don't tell anyone)
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To: Steamburg

Read up on the history of the Frelinghuysen family in New Jersey. If Rodney loses in a GOP primary, that seat will end up with a Democrat rep.


26 posted on 12/25/2017 2:29:44 PM PST by Alberta's Child ("Tell them to stand!" -- President Trump, 9/23/2017)
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To: MrEdd
Don't ever assume that there are sufficient like-minded voters to elect a Trump clone in these wealthy suburban districts in "blue" states like New Jersey.

New Jersey had a GOP Congressman named Scott Garrett who was among the most conservative House members in the U.S. On the same day Donald Trump was winning his historic presidential race, Garrett lost to a Democrat who nobody had ever heard of.

27 posted on 12/25/2017 2:35:37 PM PST by Alberta's Child ("Tell them to stand!" -- President Trump, 9/23/2017)
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To: ml/nj

Your head is up your rearend.


28 posted on 12/25/2017 4:44:11 PM PST by DarthVader ("The biggest misconception on Free Republic is that the Deep State is invulnerable")
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To: ml/nj

Your head is up your rearend.


29 posted on 12/25/2017 4:44:19 PM PST by DarthVader ("The biggest misconception on Free Republic is that the Deep State is invulnerable")
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To: ml/nj

Your head is up your rearend.


30 posted on 12/25/2017 4:44:21 PM PST by DarthVader ("The biggest misconception on Free Republic is that the Deep State is invulnerable")
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To: GuavaCheesePuff

2018 is a ways off yet. I could see this seat being lost, though. We lost Garrett up in NJ-5. This would be the next to fall. He was weaker than Garrett to begin with.


31 posted on 12/25/2017 4:48:28 PM PST by GCFADG (Pardon me.)
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To: GuavaCheesePuff

Wait ‘til the folks start getting more take-home pay in February - the upsidedown numbers will go upsidedown.....


32 posted on 12/25/2017 5:16:17 PM PST by Intolerant in NJ
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To: GCFADG

The NJ GOP needs to rebuild.

Christie ruined the NJ GOP.

I see Frelinghuysen winning reelection by 5 points.


33 posted on 12/25/2017 6:27:47 PM PST by GuavaCheesePuff
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To: GuavaCheesePuff

I’ve said all along we’ll miss Christie next time there’s a Democrat in there, but yeah, he was less than ideal. Forget it, Jake...


34 posted on 12/25/2017 6:49:02 PM PST by GCFADG (Pardon me.)
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To: ml/nj

And you probably laughed when the Dems called some close losses “wins”....how do you think we ended up in the swamp in the first place....Dems are relentless to maintain their seats and we have “principled” fools who claim a few more lost seats is a good thing....lots of them “principled” fools also think voting is the only important thing and never actually invest themselves in the dynamics (time and money) of trying to mold the political structure...giving money is for chumps as far as they’re concerned....then they try to explain how astute they are - kind of like the LSM Fake News gambit.


35 posted on 12/26/2017 3:41:05 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone? I think Trump may give it back...)
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To: Alberta's Child

Rodney has more than sufficient time to raise his profile and to fix his credentials. Sitting on his laurels and name aren’t going to cut it.


36 posted on 12/26/2017 6:05:46 AM PST by Steamburg (Other people's money is the only language a politician respects; starve the bastards)
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To: trebb
FTR, I volunteered and worked for Jeff Bell's campaign long ago.

I continue to think that Frelinghuysen who supports amnesty and voted AGAINST the recently passed Republican tax bill is bad news.

ML/NJ

37 posted on 12/26/2017 6:34:23 AM PST by ml/nj
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To: ml/nj

My rep, too.

To paraphrase Winston Churchill, an empty cab arrived and Rodney Frelinghuysen got out.


38 posted on 12/26/2017 6:40:04 AM PST by Peter W. Kessler ("NUTS!!!")
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To: Steamburg
Frelinghuysen has been winning consistently for 20+ years, has strong support among major industries in his district, and is chairman of the House Appropriations Committee. He is the one person who has successfully prevented every effort to close down Picatinny Arsenal and move those 7,000+ civilian contractors to Maryland and Alabama. I'm not sure what exactly you expect him to do to "raise his profile" and "fix his credentials."

There are two major threats to Frelinghuysen's seat in Congress:

1. Out-migration of wealthy Republican voters from New Jersey. His district has a lot of them.

2. The abject stupidity of many conservatives in his district (you'll find plenty of evidence right here on this thread) who are delusional enough to believe that a candidate who runs on a middle American GOP platform or a Rust Belt "Make America Great Again" platform has a snowball's chance in hell of winning in his district.

39 posted on 12/26/2017 7:57:05 AM PST by Alberta's Child ("Tell them to stand!" -- President Trump, 9/23/2017)
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To: Alberta's Child
if the Democrats control Congress after 2018,

That's a tall order. They've FINALLY won 2 races recently (VA and AL), after 6 previous tries in "referendum on Trump" elections, by outspending the GOP candidate by 8-to-1 and 14-to-1. They cannot do that nationally next year, when they are already down to almost nothing.

Even if they could take the House, the Senate, even at 51-49 currently, is a HUGE problem for them. Of the 33 races, they are the incumbent in 24... and 10 of those are in states that Trump won in 2016. Using just the Hillary v Trump map as a guide, the Senate is slated to go up to 61-39, GOP, next year. To reverse that, the Dems would need to win 26 of 33... while facing a sudden strong economy thanks to Trump's policies and massive tax cut.

40 posted on 12/27/2017 9:46:30 PM PST by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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