I'm sure she thinks she's quite advanced. I believe this is her:
Posted on 10/15/2017 9:38:29 AM PDT by SunStar
Quick question, anyone know if any of the victum families are suing the drug manufactures? Surely if a slide / bump fire stock “contributed” to the shooting then so did the drugs he was on.
Harvey is a case of women who went along with it as part of doing business in hollywood and jumping on the bandwagon as the ship is going down.
From the article:
“ Even if a computer model achieves 100% certainty, are we prepared to take preventative measures based on intent? Should law enforcement know that a person predisposed to psychopathology (Paddock) was prescribed and began taking Diazepam in June–a drug known to produce violent behavior among individuals with preexisting aggressive tendencies? Or that he lived in 27 residences in four states and was considered an antisocial loner in each of those communities? Or that Paddock sent his live-in girlfriend away so that she would be out of the country when he planned his attack? Should they have access to the fact that he reserved a room at the Las Vegas Ogden, located across the street from the Life is Beautiful concert as well as the Blackstone Hotel in Chicago, overlooking the Lollapalooza music festival? How about his internet searches for Fenway Park and the Boston Center for the Arts, which also recently held open-air events? How about his attempt to purchase tracer ammunition—used to improve the accuracy of nighttime shooting—just a few weeks beforehand?”
The only way this happens is if we, willfully or by force, give up our right to be secure from government oversight and our privacy expectations. This will only happen if the Feds get another couple of generations of controlling public education and growing a welfare dependent popular majority across enough of the US to steal elections forever.
” It turns out a 5 centimeter per second decline in their normal walking gait is the precursor to a fall.”
My gait has dropped by at least twice that amount in the past decade (I can tell by trying to keep up with my kids); in that period the only time I’ve fallen is when my dang dog dragged me down an incline while I was walking him so he could take a dump.
Just one data point, sure, but it helps convince me at least that most of the supposed predictability described is largely hype.
“..case the “Reality” was not sexual.”
Exactly, which is I think the profilers are mostly silent on this one.
“Well, you know....in the history of DDR...there never was a mass shooting.”
And that’s largely because people tried to sneak across the border one or two at a time, instead of in a mass rush!
I surmise this would work as well as the global warming climate computer models are at predicting what the weather will be in 5 years. Not everything is as predictable as they seem to think they are.
The left is practicing stochastice terrorism. Violent anarchy as a result of making violence acceptable knowing that someone will take the first move to be violent.
Unprecedented pre-mature release by technocrat press.
I follw predictive analytics for my day job. Currently it is little more accurate than the flip of a coin. Its failure in election predictions is typical of non-election predictions. There are many types of bias. Builders of predictive models seem to be blind to their biases, often more blind than the non-modeler with common sense.
Can the modelers eventually overcome their biases in building their models? I suggest that some can and have. But how do we know which have and which have not?
Most distressing is the lack of honesty, even after their biases are exposed.
Wait, the whole article was here, no clicky-the-linky, and you tell us you didn’t read the article and ask a question that could be answered by reading the article!
1. See my tag line
2. Who does your homework?
3. Sorry to be so snarky
Them sure be some snazzy uniforms. Guess that time it wasn’t Hugo Boss?
Just need Nully’s big eyes and ears....well, not Nully’s but....
[I did not read the article but it occurs to me that if smart ass Rebecca Costa can claim after the fact that this was so predictable why they hell didn’t she predict it?]
Because she was suppressed by a Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy?
Otherwise, she would have been breaking down the door on the 32nd floor of the Mandalay Bay hotel in full Rambo gear?
I believe paddock was duped into thinking he was making an arms sale but he was really a decoy who was killed before hand to a terrorist event planned away ahead of time
I believe paddock was duped into thinking he was making an arms sale but he was really a decoy who was killed before hand to a terrorist event planned away ahead of time
Seems to me that if you repeatedly allow events in venues such as this one which placed 22,000 people beneath a perfect sniper position and well within effective range of the weapons used that sooner or later somebody will seize the opportunity.
This could have been prevented with better security. Remember, Las Vegas has been specifically targeted by ISIS, and given their record it appears it would have been quite appropriate to devote some serious attention to threats against large gatherings. It is apparent to me that Las Vegas did not do this. One hotelier did take steps, Steve Wynn, and he says the guy could not have pulled it off from his hotel.
The security they had didn’t consider the basic security situation: a gathering of 20+ thousand people below a perfect sniper(s) position. Without guard towers manned with sharpshooters watching the building you have what is basically a huge attraction (much like so called “gun free” zones) for anyone wanting to harm people. LA PD revealed in the last few days that they have been doing this for years at large gatherings such as the Academy Awards.
An even better alternative would have been to have held the concert at a different, less vulnerable location.
Seems to me that the families of the dead and those who were wounded have good cause to sue for negligence on the part of the event operator. (I also believe that is true of every other “gun free” zone where similar murders have occurred).
The article recently about an ISIS attack foiled in NYC mentioned an informant who had suggested to them killing a lot of people at a music event, and the ISIS guys figured out he was an informant. Probably was Paddock. Operation was, imho, a sting that went very bad.
The theory of psychohistory developed by Dr Hari Seldon in Asimov’s Foundation novels had applied only to predicting the behaviors of large populations as a whole. The analogy was where each person was like a gas particle and the theory predicted the behavior of the gas on a macroscopic scale. (Think macroeconomics.)
It could not predict behavior on small scales. (The theory’s predictions got trashed anyway when a Napoleon appeared.)
At no point in history has any government ever wanted its people to be defenseless for any good reason ~ nully's son
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