Posted on 09/09/2017 2:08:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse
New waterspout warning, to pass midway between Miami and Ft. Lauderdale, radar indicated, moving NW at 60 mph.
sheer,over small bit of land?
That makes perfect sense.
And some of those young bucks will ride out the storm and by the grace of God survive and act like it was no big deal instead of admitting they were scared $***less.
A couple decades ago, I had an experienced meteorologist explain it to me while watching a storm come ashore. This was when the NHC had some truly epic spokesmen.
I don’t know why, Rod, the eye just lost most of the 40 dBz and greater eyewall precip return. Yellow and red now down to 30 to 50 % of the eyewall perimeter.
Pea k winds now ashore, 7 miles west of Summerland Key
I would say it could but with a storm this size, it may not be a factor.
I see you got some other really good answers, too.
https://mobile.twitter.com/MikeTheiss/status/906840530532929537?p=v
Following Mike for Key West. He’s got photo of surge into KW.
NWS warning for 115+ mph gusts in that same area, per TWC.
Structures can be built pretty well, but I cannot fathom much of anything that can stand up to a prolonged, hours long beating with the waves on top of a storm surge.
Yes, it is a terrible, destructive event. Lives and homes will be shattered. But virgil is correct on the economic increase in the contruction and contractor businesses during rebuilding. I went through Sandy, and for months afterwards, the contractors (carpenters, plumbers, electricians, stone masons, etc.) were so busy with work they would not even return your phone calls.
>>Sooooo many dynamic variables. Eeegads.
So my academic background includes thermodynamics, fluid mechanics, heat transfer, and mass/momentum transfer/diffusion. All the core physical processes at the micro level, that are at the heart of “weather” at the macro level.
That said, you are spot on. Eeegads^2, or cubed, or to the 4th, for me. I’m amazed the weather guys get it as well as they do. From my perspective, weather is an area that moves into Chaos Theory in a heartbeat.
That Miami- Ft. L waterspout now ashore and tornado warned, still bearing NW at 50-55 mph.
New Tornado Warning, Jupiter, moving NW at 50 mph, 3 minutes old.
Multiple TVS sigs at inner edge of eyewall.
That southern tip of FL is really screwed.
They’ve been getting it the whole time Irma has been bumping along Cuba and now as it slows and pivots north, they will be under it until it exits the area. And they are on the dirty/right side of the storm.
Cannot fathom......
I also live in an area of high mobile home and temporary housing production. Just as with Katrina we are certainly going to be helped in the coming months by billions worth in FEMA contracts...the only issue this time with the tight labor market will be finding enough qualified workers.
The point is that overall, from a big picture standpoint, there is not an upside, and we should be cognizant and explicit about that.
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