Posted on 07/19/2017 1:52:44 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
Californians have been bracing themselves for a drier future accompanying a warming climate. But research by scientists at the University of California, Riverside, suggests that the state may actually get wetter in the event of severe climate change.
The study, published July 6 in Nature Communications, reports that more years in the state could look like El Niño ones, when California typically has wetter winters. The authors found that average annual precipitation in California could increase by about 12 percent if nothing is done to curb carbon emissions. Average precipitation in the winter could increase by as much as 30 percent. A wetter climate, however, might not offset the overwhelmingly negative effects of a warming climate.
Most previous studies predicted that California would be drier with climate change, said Robert Allen, one of the authors of the paper and an assistant professor of climatology at UC Riverside.
Allen and co-author Rainer Luptowitz analyzed dozens of climate models, focusing on those that best captured the climate processes behind California’s precipitation. To figure out which models were best, they used them to recreate data from California’s past.
Climate models work by breaking up the surface of the earth and the atmosphere above it into millions of boxes. Those boxes let scientists watch how water, air and heat flow among them over time, and how these flows change with increasing greenhouse gas emissions. Essentially, the models keep track of future weather, for instance at 15-minute increments, to monitor how the climate will change over a hundred years.
Allen said the projections shouldn’t change the way policymakers plan for the future just yet. More researchers need to reproduce the study’s results first.
(Excerpt) Read more at sacbee.com ...
Can we hope that increased rain will wash away all the snowflakes?
Why do we never hear of the upside to ‘climate change’, like pineapple plantations in Nebraska or year-round bikini weather in Minnesota?..............................
So somewhere between permanent drought and above average wet. Their accuracy is astonishing.
...flooded with illegal border crossers.
I am waiting for these “scientists” to claim that global climate change will cause a Unicorn epidemic....
The rock-stupid media will probably believe it.
LOL - Post of the day!
WE NEED MORE MONEY AND THEN WE'LL GET BACK TO SCARE YOU LATER.
Wasn’t “climate change” the reason cited for the drought just a couple of years ago?
Picking climate models must be as tough as picking lottery numbers. (and, in both cases, you can pick a new one next week when things don’t work out)
Is this report a setup so they can call it climate change whether it’s drier or wetter?
Swedish Bikini Team or Somali Bikini Team?
There is that magic word “could” again.
[ Why do we never hear of the upside to ‘climate change’, like pineapple plantations in Nebraska or year-round bikini weather in Minnesota?.............................. ]
Because once the CO2 levels hit 500ppm we are all going to die by spontaneously combustion just like the dinosaurs did when their CO2 level was 1500 to 2500ppm ..... for almost 100 million years.....
So, wetter winters in California and fewer droughts.
What’s the problem? Agriculture is big business in California, and the large population of the state uses huge amounts or water.
California will alternate between “wet” and “dry” in the future, in cycles, as it has in past cycles for thousands of years, regardless of any “climate change” political agenda. That agenda is tiny compared to the natural forces that have always set those cycles.
How can “scientists” accurately determine true initial atmospheric conditions for these parameters for each box?
I say that there’s no way that they can honestly do so, corrections, insights welcome.
Aka, garbage in, garbage out.
Isn’t Climate Change just amazing?
Why just 12-18 months ago, Climate Change was going to turn California into a 1000 year desert.
Climate Change is truly a powerful and capricious god.
If the left wasn’t alarmed about Climate Change, they’d be alarmed about Climate Sameness.
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