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New York City Retail Vacancies Soar Prompting Massive Rent Concessions
Zero Hedge ^ | 03/28/2017

Posted on 03/28/2017 11:56:09 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

It used to be that taking a 10-minute walk around SoHo meant passing by at least a dozen upstart, trendy fashion retailers eager to sell you a $500 hoodie or $1,000 pair of sneakers.  But these days you're much more likely to see a whole bunch of this:

NYC Vacancies

 

As Bloomberg points out this morning, in the wake of Manhattan's retail drought, commercial landlords, who have seen retail occupancy levels plummet over the past 12 months, are doing everything possible to avoid big price cuts.  Instead, like residential landlords, commercial real estate owners are providing massive rent concessions through things like interior redesigns and moving expenses to keep storefronts from going empty.

Tenant-improvement allowances haven’t been typical in the Manhattan retail market. But now the concessions, which can pay for anything from lighting and displays to a complete overhaul, are becoming a key component in some new leases, particularly for large, flagship stores in high-profile areas, such as Madison Avenue and Fifth Avenue, according to Steve Soutendijk, an executive director at brokerage Cushman & Wakefield Inc.

 

“We’re seeing tenant-improvement and concession packages that retail landlords never, ever contemplated before,” he said.

 

The sweeteners signal that the balance of power is tilting toward merchants in Manhattan after a relentless surge in rents during the past five years. Landlords facing rising vacancies are more willing to negotiate with retailers, who have gotten battered by the rapid rise of e-commerce and have shied away from committing to costly, long-term leases.

 

The incentives are “a creative solution that landlords are using now to get deals done,” said Jeffrey Roseman, an executive vice president at Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Retail. “It’s a way to get over the hump.”

Retail Rent

 

And a perfect example of NYC's desperation to fill retail store frontage comes from a 15-year lease the Nike just signed on a 70,000 sq. ft. space on 5th Avenue.  In order to fill a space that has been empty since 2013, landlords SL Green and Jeff Sutton agreed to, among other things, take over Nike's existing lease at another location.

In the city’s largest retail lease of 2016, Nike in December signed a 15-year agreement to rent 69,214 square feet across seven floors at 650 Fifth Ave. in Midtown. Landlords SL Green Realty Corp. and Jeff Sutton had been working to fill the space since acquiring the property in 2013. They bought out the leases of Devon & Blakely and Godiva and committed to adding three additional floors and rerouting the storefront’s entrance, according to a presentation in December for SL Green’s investors.

 

“That deal did not come easy by any stretch,” Andrew Mathias, president of SL Green, said while discussing the Nike lease at the investor conference.
Nike Deal.

 

As part of Nike’s deal at 650 Fifth Ave., the landlords offered to take over the company’s lease obligation at an existing store about five blocks away and adjacent to Trump Tower, according to a person with knowledge of the transaction who asked not to be named because the terms are private.

Nike

 

As The Real Estate Board of New York recently noted, retails rents in Manhattan are down pretty much across the board with rents in trendy areas like SoHo off around 10% YoY and high-end store frontage on the Upper East Side down a staggering 24%. 

Increasing retail inventory and a slower retail sales environment in New York City have started to affect  ground floor asking rents in Manhattan’s most prominent retail corridors.  The Real Estate Board of New York’s (REBNY) Fall 2016 Manhattan Retail Report shows that average asking rents declined in 11 of the 17 retail corridors surveyed, which is a shift from Spring 2016 when availability was accumulating in some corridors, but the effect on asking rents was subdued.

 

Madison Avenue, between 57th and 72nd Streets, on the Eastside is one such corridor that is suffering from an increased availability of ground floor retail spaces.  As the corridor’s inventory level rose in Fall 2016, the average asking rent decreased eleven percent to $1,433 per square foot from $1,613 in Fall 2015.  Additionally, an increase in the availability for less expensive ground floor spaces in the corridor caused a 22 percent drop in the median asking rent to $1,350 from $1,728 per square foot last year.

 

Increased retail inventory has also hurt asking rents Downtown in SoHo, on Broadway between Houston and Broome Streets.  The average asking rent for ground floor space in this corridor fell nine percent to $755 per square foot from $831 last fall. 

 

Midtown South asking rents in Herald Square on West 34th Street, between Fifth and Seventh Avenues, fell eleven percent year-over-year from $836 to $745 per square foot of ground floor space.  This decline was caused by a combination of increased supply and supply being concentrated on the south side of the corridor.  Spaces on the north side of West 34th Street typically offer wider street frontage, while spaces on the south side are usually smaller and more limited in frontage.

NYC Rents

 

Seems the retail rents are just "too damn high."



TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events; US: New York
KEYWORDS: nyc; realestate; retail; vacancy
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1 posted on 03/28/2017 11:56:09 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Looks like austerity - and deflation - are still coming, one way or the other.


2 posted on 03/28/2017 12:00:45 PM PDT by Mr. Douglas (Best. Election. EVER!)
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To: SeekAndFind

We have no children therefore we have no families and thus no new customers.

“A nation that kills its own children is a nation without hope.”
St. John Paul II


3 posted on 03/28/2017 12:03:16 PM PDT by victim soul (victim soul)
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To: Mr. Douglas

“Looks like austerity - and deflation - are still coming, one way or the other.”

No, that’s just a delivery from Amazon.


4 posted on 03/28/2017 12:04:51 PM PDT by Timpanagos1
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To: Mr. Douglas

I wonder if this has anything to do with a Communist Mayor and a Socialist Governor. High taxes maybe?


5 posted on 03/28/2017 12:06:12 PM PDT by mosaicwolf
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To: SeekAndFind

Read an article the other day stating that in the US we have something like 23 sq. feet of retail space for every person. The next closest country has something like 16 sq. feet of retail space per person, and the stats just dropped after that. The point of the article was that a retail rental crash was coming given the growth of online shopping.


6 posted on 03/28/2017 12:08:24 PM PDT by Obadiah (Democrats continue their crusade against normal.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The urban hipster, café movement peaked.

Millenials are wondering if they really want to live in a city past age 35.

They are moving to the burbs.


7 posted on 03/28/2017 12:08:45 PM PDT by cicero2k
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To: SeekAndFind

The rents at those stores must be just staggering.


8 posted on 03/28/2017 12:12:35 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (Apoplectic is where we want them!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Are those $1000+ prices for one square foot for a year? I haven’t looked at upscale retail space, but the last space I was involved in renting was mixed office/warehouse for around $12/sq. foot per year.


9 posted on 03/28/2017 12:14:10 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (a government contract becomes virtually a substitute for intellectual curiosity - Pres. Eisenhower)
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To: Obadiah

You should check out YouTube for interviews with Howard Davidowitz who is a 35+ year retail consultant. His interviews are just classic and hilarious. Unfortunately most of them are from several years ago, but they are relevant today.

[search for Davidowitz, not Howard Davidowitz]

I had several uncles who were just like Howard, and growing up in NYC, the idea of going into NYC and getting a pastrami sandwich with him is so easy to visualize. But that’s just for me, he’s still a great interview.


10 posted on 03/28/2017 12:22:51 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (Apoplectic is where we want them!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Wall off NYC and imprison New York’s Democrats within.


11 posted on 03/28/2017 12:28:29 PM PDT by Trod Upon (Government employees and welfare recipients are both net tax consumers. Often for life.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Never thought I would see an article by Zero Hedge posted on this site. Those people seriously hate Capitalism. Like, a lot.


12 posted on 03/28/2017 12:34:03 PM PDT by thefactor (yes, as a matter of fact, i DID only read the excerpt)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Will do. Thanks.


13 posted on 03/28/2017 12:35:19 PM PDT by Obadiah (Democrats continue their crusade against normal.)
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To: SeekAndFind
This shows how absurd the whole retail market in NYC has been. Just a few months ago there was an article about the disappearance of Little Italy in Manhattan. Many of the restaurants and retail stores were closing or moving because they couldn't afford the escalating rents.

And now we're hearing that the retail real estate market in NYC is in shambles? Oh ... OK.

14 posted on 03/28/2017 12:43:59 PM PDT by Alberta's Child (President Donald J. Trump ... Making America Great Again, 140 Characters at a Time)
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To: thefactor

Huh? Stuff from “Scare Central” gets posted here all the time. None of the apocalyptic predictions ever come true. But then again one is born every minute.


15 posted on 03/28/2017 1:05:44 PM PDT by Seruzawa (I keel you Vorga feelthy.)
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To: Alberta's Child

Landlords don’t want small businesses. They want Nike and Apple and Lululemon and they will fall all over themselves making concessions to get them.


16 posted on 03/28/2017 1:08:33 PM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: Alberta's Child

RE: the disappearance of Little Italy in Manhattan. Many of the restaurants and retail stores were closing or moving because they couldn’t afford the escalating rents.

I actually have an acquaintance who owns a restaurant in Little Italy. He was planning to move to Queens after the owner planned the jack up the rent by an unreasonable amount. A few months later, he was able to stay due to the fact that the owner did not want a good tenant to leave and risk the place being vacant ...

When I asked him if the owner raised the rent, he said he did, but at a smaller percentage ( to cover the increase in property taxes. Well, I guess we can put the blame back on city government ).


17 posted on 03/28/2017 1:14:36 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Mr. Douglas; Timpanagos1
“Looks like austerity - and deflation - are still coming, one way or the other.”
No, that’s just a delivery from Amazon.

Agree, lots of folks are buying online instead of at brick and mortar stores. My wife and family buy a lot of stuff online. If it doesn't fit or work out, they then visit the retail stores to return the item. They love online shopping. Lots of packages arrive at our door.

18 posted on 03/28/2017 1:20:29 PM PDT by roadcat
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To: Seruzawa

I’m sure there are plenty of people on FR who would LOVE for this story to be true because it is a negative story about NYC. But it’s all BS.


19 posted on 03/28/2017 1:21:56 PM PDT by thefactor (yes, as a matter of fact, i DID only read the excerpt)
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To: thefactor
Sir...are you insinuating that the media might seek to mislead?

Will you deplorables never cease?!?

20 posted on 03/28/2017 1:27:24 PM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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